Cash Game Locks: MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball

Cash games typically reward high floor rosters. You don't need to score 60 points on FanDuel or 160 on DraftKings to win money. Instead, you should aim for a nice base of around 40 and 120 points, respectively. Our MLB Cash Game Picks will highlight the top pick and a value pick at each position for both platforms.


Pitcher

Hisashi Iwakuma

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total & ML
$8,300 $8,800 Astros 3.25 21.7 50.2 7 and -158

Jake Arrieta

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total & ML
$9,200 $9,500 @Pirates 2.26 27.2 49.2 7 and +113

Matt Shoemaker

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total & ML
$8,500 $8,100 Athletics 3.26 22.8 41.2 7.5 and -139
Jake Arrieta is the rare underdog getting a tout as a cash games selection, and he's especially useful on DraftKings where his strikeout upside mitigates the risk of him getting a no decision or loss. The former Orioles prospect dominated in 2014. He didn't pitch enough innings to qualify for the ERA title, but dropping the minimum inning threshold to 150 yields him as the second best pitcher in terms of FIP. He also ranked tied for sixth with Felix Hernandez in strikeout rate and eighth in K-BB% (20.5%). The right-hander is off to a good start this year, totaling 13.2 innings in two starts with 10 hits allowed, four walks and 12 strikeouts while allowing only three earned runs. PNC Park, home to tonight's Cubs and Pirates game, ranked as one of the most pitcher-friendly parks last year, and there is a low betting total for the contest. The floor is very high for Arrieta.
The biggest betting favorite of the night is Hisashi Iwakuma and the Mariners. He, like Arrieta, is pitching in a game with a small betting total of seven runs. Also, like the aforementioned Cubs ace, he's pitching at a pitcher-friendly venue at home (Safeco Field). As for Iwakuma's pitching skills, he's got plenty of them. Last year, the splitter specialist ranked 22nd among qualified starters in FIP, 26th in strikeout rate and 13th in K-BB% (18.8%). His opponent, the Astros, have struggled mightily with right-handers this season ranking 26th in wRC+ (71) and tied for the highest strikeout rate (24.8%), according to FanGraphs.
Homers have plagued Matt Shoemaker this year. He's coaxing groundballs on just 20% of his balls in play and allowing 1.46 HR/9. The rest of his underlying stats lineup favorably with last year's work. His 4.38 ERA through two starts is higher than his 3.66 FIP, 3.53 xFIP and 3.32 SIERA. With a strikeout rate of 24.0%, he'll pile up points on DraftKings even if he doesn't get the win. That said, he's the third biggest betting favorite tonight and also makes for a great start on FanDuel. Use him with confidence.

Catcher

Miguel Montero

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,300 $3,300 A.J. Burnett RHP 0.336 0.138 108 4,6,7? 7

Derek Norris

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$2,800 $3,800 Jorge de la Rosa LHP 0.380 0.192 147 2,4,5? 9.5

Manager John Madden has moved Miguel Montero around the lineup a bit, so it's possible he'll hit in an unfriendly spot in the order. If he hits down order, his value takes a hit. The left-handed hitting catcher is far better against righties than lefties, and A.J. Burnett struggles with lefties. Since 2012, Burnett has allowed a .330 wOBA to left-handed batters.

Derek Norris is a beast against left-handed pitchers. He hit cleanup with a lefty on the hill yesterday, but the Padres were also without Justin Upton. A healthy return from Upton would result in Norris hitting elsewhere in the order, but a top-five lineup slot is a safe bet. After dispatching of a pair of qualified hitters from this year with just a dozen plate appearances (which I'll be doing for all references to qualified hitters in this piece), Norris ranks tied for 17th in wRC+ against lefties among qualified hitters since 2012. That's all hitters, not just catchers. His price point is great and allows for a ton of spending elsewhere.

First Base

Miguel Cabrera

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$5,000 $5,400 CC Sabathia LHP 0.422 0.245 170 3 8.5

Justin Morneau

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,000 $3,800 Odrisamer Despaigne RHP 0.374 0.203 133 4 9.5

Miguel Cabrera would make for a strong selection every day of the year, but today's matchup with CC Sabathia makes him worth budgeting for at first base on either site and a great play at the hot corner on DraftKings. Miggy ranks tied for fifth in wRC+, fifth in wOBA and 11th in ISO against lefties since 2012. Comerica Park is a great ballpark for Cabrera to rake in as well with right-handed batter park factors of 113 for doubles/triples, 103 for homers and 110 for runs, according to StatCorner. He's one of the safest bets as a hitter to rack up fantasy points today.

Justin Morneau is in year two with the Rockies, and he's in a great lineup spot hitting cleanup. He's long raked against right-handed pitchers, but he kicked that up to a whole new level when facing a righty at Coors Field last season. He totaled 209 plate appearances against righties at home last season and racked up a 152 wRC+, .219 ISO with a miniscule 6.7% walk rate. You'll notice when checking out the Positional Analysis article today that Joey Votto is listed as the second choice at first base, but this isn't an oversight listing Morneau as the second option in cash games. Votto is priced too close to Cabrera to advocate using him over the Tigers' star, and Morneau's gap in pricing makes him the second best cash games option at first base.

Second Base

Robinson Cano

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,800 $4,900 Asher Wojciechowski RHP 0.418 0.243 169 3 7

Ian Kinsler

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,900 $4,400 CC Sabathia LHP 0.365 0.159 129 2 8.5

Robinson Cano is the best offensive player at the keystone position. He's considerably better against right-handed pitchers than lefties. Since 2012, he ranks tied for second among all qualified hitters in wRC+, third in wOBA and 10th in ISO. Those ranks would be impressive for a first baseman or corner outfielder, and they're essentially unheard of at second base. The sweet-swinging lefty is facing one of the worst starters, Asher Wojciechowski, tonight and hitting in the heart of his team's order. The low total isn't ideal, but he's on the favored side of things.

Ian Kinsler rakes versus southpaws. Almost the entire Tigers lineup does, for that matter. With that being the case, grabbing their two-hole hitter should result in plenty of fantasy points. Sabathia's skills erosion is well documented, and while his underlying stats indicate he's been unlucky, his diminished stuff suggests he simply doesn't have the goods to get hitters out at a high rate anymore. The lefty has allowed a .330 wOBA to right-handed batters since 2012, but that balloons to a .357 wOBA when eliminating his 2012 season. Kinsler should be licking his chops standing in against Sabathia, and daily gamers will enjoy watching him pile up points tonight.

Third Base

Kyle Seager

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,500 $4,700 Asher Wojciechowski RHP 0.357 0.187 132 5 7

Will Middlebrooks

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,000 $3,900 Jorge de la Rosa LHP 0.327 0.185 103 5 9.5

Kyle Seager is off to a decent start and his 10.0% strikeout rate is promising for his uptick in batting average this year sticking. He's long raked against righties, and he gets to take cuts against one of the worst pitchers toeing the slab tonight. The number-five hitter should have RBI chances hitting directly behind white hot Nelson Cruz and two spots back from my top play at second base. Seager's performance at home against right-handed pitching has improved every year in the majors, and last year he totaled a 188 wRC+, .435 wOBA and .315 ISO at Safeco Field against righties.

This is a bit of a shocking cash games pick, but Will Middlebrooks is cheap exposure to the monstrous 9.5 over/under run total. His lineup slot is more good than great, but with a high total, he isn't in much danger of missing out on at-bats the first four batters will be awarded. As a right-handed batter, he'll be hitting with park factors of 114 for singles, 111 for doubles/triples, 119 for homers and 134 for runs. He's only a slightly above average hitter when facing southpaws, but the other variables push his value up a notch or two tonight.

Shortstop

Troy Tulowitzki

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$5,300 $5,900 Odrisamer Despaigne RHP 0.399 0.220 140 3 9.5

Billy Hamilton

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,900 $4,800 Wily Peralta RHP 0.292 0.106 83 1 7.5

One would much prefer Troy Tulowitzki facing a southpaw, but a home tilt against a righty isn't a bad consolation. Just how good has he been at home against right-handed pitchers in recent years? He's been fantastic. Tulo has totaled a wRC+ north of 150 every year since 2012 with the exception of his seven plate appearances this year. He's very expensive, but he's far and away the best offensive player at shortstop.

Billy Hamilton sat yesterday, but he said he was okay and ready to play after suffering a groin strain Saturday. Check to be sure he's in the lineup, but all signs point toward that being the case. Hamilton is only outfield eligible on FanDuel, but he's a cheaper alternative to Tulo at shortstop on DraftKings. His speed is his calling card, and if he gets on base, expect him to attempt to steal. He leads the league this year in stolen bases with eight and swiped 56 last year. His chances of getting on base are higher than usual facing Wily Peralta tonight. Peralta has allowed a .344 wOBA and .343 on-base percentage to left-handed batters in his big league career.

Outfield

Corey Dickerson

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,900 $4,700 Odrisamer Despaigne RHP 0.397 0.259 139 6 9.5

Matt Kemp

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,300 $5,400 Jorge de la Rosa LHP 0.391 0.230 153 3 9.5

Shocking, another pick from the Rockies and Padres game at Coors Field. If you aren't aggressively attacking the 9.5 run total, you're going to lose the bulk of your daily games tonight. Corey Dickerson makes for one of the best picks in that game. Dickerson reached the majors in 2013, and he's been a terror for right-handed pitchers at Coors Field ever since. He has 291 plate appearances at home against righties and managed eye-popping numbers of a .350 ISO, .484 wOBA and a 199 wRC+. Odrisamer Despaigne has a deep arsenal, but he can throw the kitchen sink at Dickerson and I like the outfielder's odds of getting the best of him.

If Upton is in the lineup, I'd prefer him ever so slightly to his teammate Matt Kemp. Because that's not a given, Kemp gets the green light as my second favorite outfield selection in cash games. He wraps up tons of exposure to the big betting total. The former Dodger does a great job of squaring up baseballs when facing southpaws. Since 2012, he owns a 24.5% line drive rate with just a 1.0% infield flyball rate against lefties. That type of loud contact has resulted in the strong numbers you see in his table above, and they make him a great option in daily games tonight.





Comments
bigitaly42
Morneau's price across the industry is highway robbery tonight. I'm all over it. Love the Shoemaker call. I'm all aboard that train as well.
Mangone
Iwakuma is a lock for all my cash game lineups. He is in such a great spot! Perfect pitcher to take on a night with lots of sub par pitching options.
JasonG4s
Great mention of Hamilton under SS for DraftKings. He is in the lineup as of 4:30 ET.
joshshep50
Good eyes, Jason! Hamilton playing is awesome. I'm with you, Justin. The price on Morneau is nuts. I can't believe Iwakuma's price point on FanDuel, Mangone. He's a must use in cash games there, and I'll be using a ton of him on DraftKings, too.
sports_25tolife
I think you talked me into Iwakuma, I was debating him on the pod with Justin today and you sold me.