Cash Game Locks: MLB Daily Fantasy Baseball

Cash games typically reward high floor rosters. You don't need to score 60 points on FanDuel or 160 on DraftKings to win money. Instead you should aim for a nice base of around 40 and 120 points respectively. Our MLB Cash Game Picks will highlight the top pick and a value pick at each position for both platforms.

Pitcher

Clayton Kershaw

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent Park Factors FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total
$12,000 $12,500 San Francisco Giants Basic - 86, HR - 74 3.46 32.10% 48.90% 6

David Price

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent Park Factors FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total
$11,400 $10,700 New York Yankees Basic - 104, HR - 100 2.48 23.80% 42.10% 7.5

Jimmy Nelson

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent Park Factors FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total
$7,400 $7,000 Cincinnati Reds Basic - 106, HR - 122 2.02 28.60% 69.20% 7

Joe Kelly

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opponent Park Factors FIP K% GB% Vegas
Run Total
$7,100 $6,400 Tampa Bay Rays Basic - 90, HR - 90 3.26 23.40% 37.50% 8

It's a day of aces. In addition to the two listed above, Johnny Cueto, Madison Bumgarner, and Cole Hamels are also available. Technically, you should probably target them ahead of Jimmy Nelson and Joe Kelly. We've listed small sample 2015 numbers for today's pitchers. Note that the ground ball rates should be taken with many grains of salt.

With apologies to Clayton Kershaw, it will be hard for anybody to afford him – especially on FanDuel. On DraftKings, it's possible to combine Kershaw with a cheaper option like Kelly. As we know, Kershaw is absurdly good, and he'll pitch today at baseball's most pitcher-friendly park. There's a reason the over/under is set at six runs. If there's a downside, it's that he's opposed by Bumgarner which puts the win in question.

David Price is the new Cliff Lee. His combination of great stuff and elite command allows him to pitch deeply into games. Since the start of 2013, he's averaged seven and one-third innings per start. That's the DFS triple whammy – more innings, strikeouts, and wins. It's always good to target a victory, and Price should be in prime position with the Tigers facing Adam Warren.

Jimmy Nelson more closely resembles a GPP pick. However, with the addition of a seemingly plus curveball, he should be a relatively reliable option. In his pair of starts against the Pirates, his sinker, curve, and slider were all fantastic. Both breaking balls drew whiffs on half of all swings. In addition to the short track record, there are other problems with this recommendation. The game is at hitter-friendly Miller Park, and he's opposed by Cueto. Nelson's about $5,000 cheaper than Kershaw, so choosing him is about opportunity cost.

Speaking of opportunity cost, Joe Kelly is a cheap option who should earn an easy win. He's against the Rays at pitcher-friendly Tropicana Field. His velocity is up to 97 mph this year and his slider has looked sharp. The issue with Kelly is that he relies too heavily on his fastball and sinker. The straight heater is good, but the sinker is less impressive. He'll need to get more out of his offspeed stuff if he wants to reach his ceiling. Control tends to be a problem too.

Catcher

Salvador Perez

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,600 $4,200 Mike Pelfrey - RHP .316 .137 99 7 8

Stephen Vogt

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,600 $3,600 Jered Weaver - RHP .329 .165 113 6 7.5

It's a difficult day for catchers. Some sort of plague is sending most of the best ones to the disabled list. Those who remain, like Buster Posey, have terrible matchups. Salvador Perez is something of an exception. He's against Mike Pelfrey who wasn't even good in his heyday. He's still hanging around the league. Perez is sort of a right-handed, poor man's Pablo Sandoval. Pelfrey rarely whiffs anybody, so he's a good match for Perez. It's too bad he bats down in the order.

Stephen Vogt is another high contact option. After popping nine home runs in 287 plate appearances last season, he's showing possible breakout power. He's hit four bombs in 46 plate appearances thus far. He generally hits sixth or seventh for the A's, but he sometimes bats second too. He's against soft-tossing righty Jered Weaver. To date, Vogt has the fifth highest wRC+ in the league.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,400 $4,800 Vance Worley - RHP .371 .214 134 3 7.5

Paul Goldschmidt

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$5,300 $5,500 Yovani Gallardo - RHP .375 .214 135 3 8.5

Vegas pegs the over/under for the Cubs-Pirates game at seven runs. I disagree. A matchup of Vance Worley and Jason Hammel should produce seven runs before bullpens are even involved. PNC Park is very pitcher friendly, but the Cubs possess a dynamic lineup. One of the core components is Anthony Rizzo. He'll have the platoon advantage against Worley. The downside is that the Pirates starting outfield consists of three center fielders. Those gap balls might not fall.

Paul Goldschmidt has picked up right where he left off last year. He's home tonight against Yovani Gallardo. Goldy is better against left-handed pitchers which is a minor bummer for today. However, he's still a career .282/.371/.498 hitter against same-handed opponents. Gallardo doesn't have big splits.

Second Base

Jose Altuve

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,000 $4,200 J.A. Happ - LHP .388 .144 148 1 7.5

Ian Kinsler

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,800 $4,600 Adam Warren - RHP .312 .144 93 2 7.5

Jose Altuve has the platoon advantage against J.A. Happ. Second base is a weak position, so it's a good idea to take advantage of his career .352/.389/.491 line against southpaws. The game is at Safeco Field.

A matchup against Adam Warren usually isn't drool worthy. The Tigers offense changes things. Ian Kinsler puts a lot of balls in play, and he's a good bet to record five plate appearances. He's already scored 12 runs this season. We can expect more of the same thanks to an excellent supporting cast. Beware his mediocre splits against righties - .263/.334/.429.

Shortstop

Hanley Ramirez

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
Not Eligible $4,600 Nate Karns - RHP .355 .186 128 4 8

Jed Lowrie

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,100 $4,000 J.A. Happ - LHP .316 .131 101 3 8

If you don't want to mess with the usual slop at shortstop, head over the DraftKings where you can pick Hanley Ramirez. The Red Sox cleanup hitter is set for a monster season so long as he remains healthy. He's popped five home runs to date, and a low .179 BABIP is the only blemish to his season line. He's up against a mediocre right-hander in Nate Karns. The game is at Tropicana.

The Astros lineup is in a state of flux. Jed Lowrie usually bats third. So long as he's in the heart of the order, he's a smart play versus Happ. If you're looking to diversify and avoid rostering multiple Astros, I would prioritize Altuve. Lowrie projects to something around .255/.320/.400 this year. This pick is more about situation than talent.

Third Base

Miguel Cabrera

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
Not Eligible $5,600 Adam Warren - RHP .419 260 169 3 7.5

Kris Bryant

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,800 $4,300 Vance Worley - RHP - - - 4 7.5

There was some concern that Miguel Cabrera would start slow. He spent most of the offseason rehabbing from injury and barely made it back in time for Opening Day. It appears he doesn't need to train over the winter. He's hitting .400/.464/.620. Of course, that comes with a .450 BABIP. Once we regress everything, we're looking at typical Cabrera. The possible issue is with his home run power.

Kris Bryant is riskier than your standard cash game pick. Typically, you wouldn't want to roster somebody expected to strike out 30 percent of the time. However, his current price tag seems to undersell his talent. As with Rizzo, the biggest issue is the ballpark. PNC Park kills home runs, and the Pirates outfielders run down anything that hangs.

Outfield

Justin Upton

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,500 $5,500 Kyle Kendrick - RHP .341 .176 115 4 9.5

Matt Kemp

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,800 $5,800 Kyle Kendrick - RHP .353 .193 128 3 9.5

Giancarlo Stanton

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. LHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. LHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. LHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$4,900 $4,700 Cole Hamels - LHP .433 .318 178 3 7

Mookie Betts

FanDuel Salary DraftKings Salary Opp Pitcher & Handedness wOBA vs. RHP
2012-2015
ISO vs. RHP
2012-2015
wRC+ vs. RHP
2012-2015
Batting Order Vegas Run Total
$3,500 $4,200 Nate Karns - RHP .328 .142 107 1 8

Nope, we didn't forget the Coors Field game. Justin Upton and Matt Kemp are the best (and most expensive) plays from that contest. They're up against fellow righty Kyle Kendrick. The Rockies brought in Kendrick because he's a sinkerballer. However, his fringy stuff probably plays down in the rarefied air. Elevation negatively affects pitch movement. As you well know, Upton and Kemp are excellent power sources at Coors. That they'll face a high contact pitcher like Kendrick only seals the deal.

Giancarlo Stanton is visiting Cole Hamels at Citizens Bank Park. Hamels has allowed seven home runs in just three games. Perhaps he's tipping his pitches. It's possible he's having trouble with pitch movement or location. More likely, it's just a small sample fluke. In any case, Stanton is powerful and could turn one around on Hamels.

A .205 BABIP had hidden a solid start to the season from Mookie Betts. The high contact hitter should be a reliable source of everything you might want from a DFS pick. As the Red Sox leadoff man, he possesses an unusually high floor for his price tag. He also has a sufficiently high ceiling to save your roster if somebody – like Bryant – turns in a real stinker.





Comments
joshshep50
Dead on with your picks, Brad. It is tough to pony up for Kershaw, but I think there are some value plays that will allow for rostering him a bit. I love Price, though, he's my preferred SP in cash games tonight.
bigitaly42
Loving the Vogt call. He's in a great spot. I'm also going to roll Price in cash games.
ArtVandelay10
Hopefully last nights Home run barrage will keep people off of Nelson, I like him too
JasonG4s
I like the Boston calls, Sox offense could go under the radar tonight, which would also help Kelly out. Rays offense is pretty poor.
sports_25tolife
I'm torn on Stanton with him facing Hamels.
Yankees own Price!!