MLB Mobile Sports Betting Toolkit
The purpose of this column is to highlight some players with upside and well-suited for tournaments. While the majority of the hitter picks will likely have power upside, that's not necessarily the case for all the listed options. Other contextual factors such as batting order, ballpark, opposing pitcher, price, speed, etc also come into play, and you'll see these items sprinkled into the write-ups below. Along with that, we'll be gauging the ownership levels, giving you some plausible pivots from the popular choices in a given game slate. We also include an area to find the top stacks of the night for upside but also some lower owned that give you an edge.
Starting Pitcher
Jack Flaherty - St. Louis Cardinals
DK: $9,400 - FD: $9,900
Jack Flaherty continues to be one of the best arms in the second half. He has a 33% strikeout rate, and has allowed a .207 wOBA overall. His earned runs over the last three starts sit at one, just one earned run allowed. He gets a Colorado team that struggles on the road, which has always been the case for them. They have a 26% strikeout rate away from home, and rank 29th in offense. This is a great home start for Flaherty.
Tournament Bats
Josh Bell - Pittsburgh Pirates - 1B
DK: $5,000 - FD: $4,000
In Anthony DeSclafani's career, he has always struggled against left-handed hitters. This season is no different, allowing a .397 wOBA and .264 ISO to lefties. They also have a 46% hard-contact rate and 49% flyball rate. Josh Bell's second half has been the complete opposite of the first and there is a bias against him now for ownership. His .329 ISO and .427 wOBA off right-handers is still something to target.
J.P. Crawford - Seattle Mariners - SS
DK: $4,100 - FD: $2,900
J.P Crawford has a .215 ISO and .357 wOBA off right-handed pitching this season, and is one of the few Mariners bats that standout. Trent Thornton has allowed a .342 wOBA and .217 ISO to left-handed hitters. This game has sneaky potential on both sides, and on a 14-game slate I doubt many will go here. Kyle Seager and Mallex Smith are two other options to consider.
David Peralta - Arizona Diamondbacks - OF
DK: $4,500 - FD: $3,200
Jordan Lyles has given up a ton of long balls this season, and a lot of production to left-handed hitters. Lefties have tagged him for a .415 wOBA and .288 ISO this season. The flyball and hard-contact rates are both around the 40% mark as well. David Peralta is on the cheaper side and has a .211 ISO and .371 wOBA off right-handers. Love his upside at Miller Park tonight.
Tournament Stacks
St. Louis Cardinals - The Cardinals have an implied total of five, which isn't anything spectacular for this season. Peter Lambert has been equally as bad on the road as he has been at Coors this season. He has a 1.77 HR/9, and has struggled against both sides of the plate. Lefties have a.397 wOBA, while right-handers have a .348 wOBA. The Cardinals have a healthy lineup again, and Dexter Fowler leading off is a nice piece. Kolten Wong is a value second base option who is hitting second night. Ozuna, Goldy, and DeJong all have big power and are moderately priced around the industry.
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