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One Day Fantasy Baseball One Day Fantasy Baseball

The purpose of this column is to highlight some players with upside and well-suited for tournaments. While the majority of the hitter picks will likely have power upside, that's not necessarily the case for all the listed options. Other contextual factors such as batting order, ballpark, opposing pitcher, price, speed, etc also come into play, and you'll see these items sprinkled into the write-ups below. Along with that, we'll be gauging the ownership levels, giving you some plausible pivots from the popular choices in a given game slate.

Top GPP Pitcher

Masahiro Tanaka (R), Yankees

FanDuel DraftKings Opp FIP K% GB% Opp Run Total Moneyline
$8,200 $9,000 vs CWS 5.97 18.6% 45.7% 3.25 -215

There are plenty of areas of concern for this play, including Tanaka's 5.97 FIP, low 18.6% K rate, and his 11.4% BB rate through three starts in 2017. However, there are plenty of factors playing into his favor as well, beginning with how terrible the White Sox offense has been. In 353 PA against RHP this season, the Sox own a .266 wOBA, 68 wRC+, 25.2% K rate, and just a 5.7% BB rate as a team. Tanaka has improved in each start since his disastrous 2017 debut where he served up a pair of homers and seven earned runs in just 2.2 innings of work. He is still allowing more baserunners than you feel comfortable with (17 over his last two starts, 11.1 innings), but there are some encouraging signs. His 13.7% SwStr ranks as the best among all 22 pitchers on the slate tonight, and there are some unsustainable numbers that I see as likely to regress, including a 64.5% LOB and .364 BABIP allowed. He is doing an excellent job of limiting hard contact, posting just a 23.4% HardHit thus far in 2017. Fortunately for him, the White Sox also don't make much hard contact, as their 25.1% mark against RHP is 2nd-worst in the majors, ahead of only St. Louis. If Tanaka can limit baserunners in this one, he could be in for a huge game.

Top GPP Hitters

Adam Duvall (R), Reds

FanDuel DraftKings Opp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP

ISO vs RHP

wRC+ vs RHP

Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,200 $4,200 Ubaldo Jimenez - R .384 .268 141 4 4

I'm a little confused about the low Vegas total for the Reds in this one, but I can only hope that it helps suppress some ownership against Ubaldo Jimenez, who may just be the worst starting pitcher in the entire league. In his first two starts this season, he has allowed 18 baserunners and 10 earned runs over just 8.2 innings of work, and now faces a Reds lineup that suddenly has some upside. Duvall is off to a solid start to the season, mashing four homers and driving in a dozen runs in the early going. Ubaldo has been absolutely destroyed by RHB in the early going, striking out just one of 24 batters faced, while allowing 10 hits and seven earned runs. Pitching in the bandbox that is Great American Ball Park certainly won't help those numbers improve, and his 6.6% SwStr and 35.3% HardHit are very indicative of his inability to miss bats or limit damage. Duvall just seems way to cheap, especially on FanDuel.

Wil Myers (R), Padres

FanDuel DraftKings Opp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP ISO vs RHP wRC+ vs RHP Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,800 $4,400 Zack Greinke - R .4.82 .370 211 2 3

It's easy to see the name "Greinke" and instantly avoid hitters, but for my money, Greinke is a shell of his former self. After posting some of the worst numbers of his career last year, such as a 1.30 HR/9, 7.60 K/9, 4.12 FIP, and 30.7% HardHit, he is no longer a pitcher that I consider to be elite. Myers, however, is turning himself into one of the game's finest young hitters, and has been mashing same-handed pitching in 2017, batting .391 with a 1.157 OPS. He should be a low-owned option tonight against a pitcher who is still above average, but may lack the ability that he once had to dominate a game. Myers isn't cheap, but his ownership should be very low and we all saw his upside just over a week ago when he hit for the cycle in Coors. On a big slate of games, there is no shortage of 1B options, and Myers has a ceiling as high as any of them.

Jake Lamb (L), Diamondbacks

FanDuel DraftKings Opp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP ISO vs RHP wRC+ vs RHP Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,900 $3,900 Jhoulys Chacin - R .466 .333 192 4 4.5

Lamb always seems like an overlooked player, mostly because he is buried in a deep pool of solid 3B options, especially on a huge slate like this one. He excels with the platoon advantage, and is slashing .361/.429/.694 against RHP this season. If you've ever followed me, you know that targeting LHB against Chacin is something that I love almost as much as I love Lonnie Chisenhall (I kid, of course...nothing compares). Chacin is off to another "turrible" start against LHB, as he is serving up a .442 wOBA and 34.5% HardHit against them in 2017. I see this Padres/Diamondbacks game as a sneaky source of offense, and will be loading up on both sides. Obviously the D-backs make for the better plays, particularly the lefties like Lamb, but a full stack is certainly an option here. Many aren't quite on the Lamb bandwagon yet, but I'm riding shotgun on the Jake Lamb Express. I'm a big fan of this kid.

Brian Dozier (R), Twins

FanDuel DraftKings Opp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP



ISO vs RHP



wRC+ vs RHP



Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,700 $4,600 Trevor Bauer - R .367 .200 140 1 3.5

I've never been a huge Trevor Bauer fan, and I'm certainly not alone. He has a solid repertoire of pitches, but command and home runs have always been an issue for the young righty. He has career numbers of 3.84 BB/9, 1.36 WHIP, and 1.07 HR/9. While the HR numbers are manageable, his issue has always been big innings, and as we saw in his last outing, it only takes one. He has already given up 10 earned runs over just 10.2 innings of work, including 3 HR. He actually owns a 13/2 K/BB ratio so far in 2017, and as much as I'd like to believe that he has turned a corner, I don't buy it. Dozier has multi-homer upside in nearly any matchup, and he has been aggressive on the basepaths as well, swiping five bags already in 2017. Dozier's power has been on full display over the last few seasons, and his power surge at the end of 2016 pushed him into the upper echelon of power-hitting infielders. His career number against RHP show just a .180 ISO, which is still very good, but Dozier's ability to contribute in all categories makes him an elite play tonight.



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