Go Premium
Login Register
One Day Fantasy Baseball One Day Fantasy Baseball

The purpose of this column is to highlight some players with upside and well-suited for tournaments. While the majority of the hitter picks will likely have power upside, that's not necessarily the case for all the listed options. Other contextual factors such as batting order, ballpark, opposing pitcher, price, speed, etc also come into play, and you'll see these items sprinkled into the write-ups below. Along with that, we'll be gauging the ownership levels, giving you some plausible pivots from the popular choices in a given game slate.

Top GPP Pitcher

Eduardo Rodriguez (P), Red Sox

FanDuelDraftKingsOppFIPK%GB%Opp Run TotalMoneyline
$7,400$7,600@NYY3.8625.835.14.75-118

On a limited Thursday night slate, we tend to have crap pitching or top heavy pitching. It is a mix between the two. Eduardo Rodriguez is an interesting pay down option tonight in tournaments. He allows you to pay for bats, which there are some expensive ones out there that we do want to deploy. The Yankees are a boom-or-bust matchup against southpaws, ranking 20th in wOBA with a 23.2% strikeout rate. The one thing they do well is walk (10.2). That is a little scary given Rodriguez can be wild from time-to-time. They also have some power bats like Todd Frazier, Aaron Judge, and Gary Sanchez who can end nights quick with one swing of the bat. Rodriguez has the strikeout upside here, but plenty of risk. He has an 11.1% swinging strike rate, and a 25.8% strikeout rate on the year. The Yankees scare people off, and Rodriguez's recent stretch of games will help too. Rodriguez is a cheap source of upside, but I will be limiting exposure to GPPs.

Top GPP Hitters

Javier Baez (2B/SS), Cubs

FanDuelDraftKingsOpp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs LHP



ISO vs LHP



wRC+ vs LHP



Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,200$3,400Sean Newcomb - L.390.3021406

There have been a ton of second half surges, and Javier Baez is one of them. In 38 games he has matched his first half total in home runs at ten, and is hitting nearly 40 points higher (.291). The strikeouts are still there, and those won't go away, but his .248 ISO in the second half is worth looking the other way on. Baez also has strong numbers against lefties, as you can see above. Baez has a 39.7% hard-contact rate against lefties on the season. Even with the wind blowing in tonight, Baez presents us with plenty of upside on the base paths and at the plate. Sean Newcomb has allowed a .345 wOBA and nine home runs in 51.2 innings. While he is a promising lefty for the future, I prefer bats against him for now.

Jose Bautista (OF), Blue Jays

FanDuelDraftKingsOpp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP



ISO vs RHP



wRC+ vs RHP



Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,000$3,500Jeremy Hellickson - R.312.1779145

Toronto's offense has lost its luster, and that goes for a lot of bats. Jose Bautista is one of them, and has struggled for most of the year. We see the struggle in his price tags on both sides, but a matchup against Jeremy Hellickson in Camden Yards is worth taking a shot on. Hellickson has troubles missing bats, and also has allowed a .337 wOBA to righties with a 1.95 HR/9. Bautista also has solid numbers off Hellickson in the past, going 12-for-33 with three homers. Bautista has burned many this season, so people have sworn him off at this point.

Welington Castillo (C), Orioles

FanDuelDraftKingsOpp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHPISO vs RHPwRC+ vs RHPBatting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,300$3,300Marco Estrada - R.325Ben Lively.1911017-85.5

In 25 second half games, Welington Castillo has a .423 wOBA and .261 ISO. His hard-contact was already at a solid 35.3% in the first half, and is up to 39.4% in the second half. Castillo has also been better off at home, with a .368 wOBA and .237 ISO. Facing reverse splits, Marco Estrada, this is a tremendous matchup for most of these Orioles bats. Castillo has a .325 wOBA and .191 ISO off righties, and while usually we target him against southpaws, it is hard to avoid right now. Hopefully we don't get Caleb Joseph in there to ruin this pick. Estrada has allowed a .361 wOBA to right-handers on the season.

Christian Yelich (OF), Marlins

FanDuelDraftKingsOpp Pitcher
& Handedness
wOBA vs RHP



ISO vs RHP



wRC+ vs RHP



Batting
Order
Team
Run Total
$3,800$4,600Ben Lively - R.359.16812235.5

While Giancarlo Stanton is the name everyone is talking about from this outfield, Christian Yelich has a .393 wOBA and .241 ISO in the second half. His power has been back in the second half, after posting a .126 ISO in the first half. He still is hitting too many balls on the ground, and has benefitted from a 23% HR/FB rate, but his hard-contact has bene on the rise. Ben Lively has allowed a .374 wOBA to lefties over 26 innings so far this year, with a 34% hard-contact rate and 1.71 HR/9. All three outfielders are playable for this Miami squad right now.



Comments
No comments.