Pitching is the lifeblood of a DFS lineup, and an important part of keeping those tabs open deep into the night. For those new with us, the Pitching Pulse is focused on providing information on four to five pitchers that are viable in various formats. This is a premium article that will give away one free preview pitcher, while the rest will be for premium members. We take a deep dive into pitchers across all salaries, looking for exploitable matchups, game theory plays, and identify the nightly chalk. Our information comes from our optimizer, FanGraphs, and other various MLB sites listed below. Feel free to comment below, or find us on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe. We focus on Main Slates across all content, but will feature blurbs about other slates at times, and can be reached via Twitter or comments.
Patrick Corbin (L) vs Los Angeles Dodgers | ||||||
Splits (2017-2018) | wOBA Allowed | K% | BB% | GB% | Hard% Allowed | ISO Allowed |
Vs. LHB | .262 | 30.2% | 6% | 53% | 25.5% | .141 |
| Vs. RHB | .329 | 21.8% | 7.3% | 50% | 33.6% | .187 |
Opposing Team Splits Vs. Pitcher Handedness | ||||||
wOBA | ISO | wRC+ | K% | BB% | Hard% | Implied Run Total |
| .292 | .137 | 87 | 21.9% | 9% | 34.4% | 3.7 |
Patrick Corbin is the most expensive pitcher on the slate, mainly because he has been electric to start the season. He is striking out 34.1% of hitters faced, and has a 51% groundball rate to go with it. The DK price tag is a little steep, but I am warming up to it a bit more. He is throwing that slider of his 39% of the time, which hitters are having one hell of a time trying to it. Corbin's slider is generating a 56% whiff rate, .082 ISO, and .159 wOBA so far this season. He is also throwing a sinker, which is generating a 62% groundball rate and .057 ISO. Getting away from fastballs is the key for guys like Corbin, and that adjustment has been made. Corbin's slider makes it tough for me to like any Dodgers bats tonight, given their contact rates outside of Austin Barnes are abysmal. There are six bats not including the pitcher spot with whiff rates above 40% against sliders dating back to 2016. The strikeout upside is there, and Corbin can neutralize bats like Bellinger and whatever lefties they toss into the lineup if they do add more. The right-handed numbers above do not indicate Corbin's 2018 success. He is holding them to a .237 wOBA and 36% strikeout rate. The hard-contact is at 40%, but when pitchers are missing bats, and throwing a ton of sliders, you tend to see that number rise because it is a smaller sample size of batted ball events.
Login or Register to join the conversation.