MLB Stacking To Win It: 6-5-18

Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

The Yankees will be facing off against flyball Estrada in Toronto tonight and they are sure to be a popular stack. That doesn't mean we have to be afraid to use them in all formats, just know that they will be the chalk stack of the night. There will be plenty of ways to get exposure to this lineup, as pretty much everyone in the lineup is in play, but I will get into that in a bit. Before I do, lets take a look at how bad Estrada has been, because that is definitely fun! Estrada has allowed four earned runs in three of his last four games, and at least four in seven of his last ten games, with 12 home runs allowed in his first 11 outings this season. He has a putrid 5.68 ERA this season and his tendency to let hitters put the ball in the air will not play well at the Rogers Centre tonight. Estrada relies mostly on hist 89-90 MPH four-seam fastball, a pitch he is throwing 54% of the time, and he has allowed a .368 ISO on the pitch this season. He also throws a changeup about 37% of the time, although he is only allowing a .159 ISO with it. Brett Gardner (.175 ISO, .347 woBA) has been on fire this past week with a .486 wOBA and .435 OBP which is tough to overlook here. He doesn't have a lot of power but he does own a .390 wOBA against Estrada's four-seam fastball, making him an on base threat here. Aaron Judge (.347 ISO, .428 wOBA) is obviously a good power threat here and owns a .500 ISO against Estrada's four-seam fastball, although he only has 14 BBEs to his name. Giancarlo Stanton (.274 ISO, .356 wOBA) owns a .200 ISO against the pitch while Gary Sanchez (.250 ISO, .344 wOBA) owns a .600 ISO against it. Didi Gregorius (.242 ISO, .350 wOBA) has been hitting a little bit better of late and is a good option that hits changeups well, while Greg Bird (.224 ISO, .310 wOBA) is a nice option at first base. I don't hate using guys like Miguel Andujar (.214 ISO, .365 wOBA) or Gleyber Torres (.298 ISO, .410 wOBA) to get some contrarian exposure.

The Athletics travel to Texas to take on Matt Moore tonight and this is a great spot to target them tonight. Moore has been abysmal this season, posting a 7.85 ERA and 2.00 WHIP, and has allowed at least four earned runs in five of his ten starts this season and that includes a 10 run blowup against the Indians. On top of Moore's lack of skill, the weather will be quite the boost for hitters as it will be about 95-96 degrees around the time of first pitch tonight. Moore has been significantly worse against left-handed hitters, as evidenced by his .448 wOBA allowed, but that doesn't matter tonight as he has been giving up a lot of flyballs and hard contact to hitters on both sides of the plate. Moore relies mostly on his 92 MPH four-seam fastball but mixes in a knuckle-curve, a changeup, and a cutter from time to time. Right-handed hitters are blasting both his four-seam fastball and cutter, posting ISOs of .294 and .282 against them, while left-handed hitters have posted a .294 ISO against his four-seam fastball and a .462 ISO against his changeup. Khris Davis (.216 ISO, .317 wOBA) is my top option across the board from this game, as he owns a .441 ISO and 51% HCR against Moore's four-seam fastball and .213 ISO against cutters, but Mark Canha (.228 ISO, .315 wOBA) is a solid OF option here too. Canha owns a .211 ISO against the four-seam fastball and a .269 ISO against the cutter. Davis ranks 14th in the Majors with a 45.7% hard hit rating over the past two weeks, as well. Matt Chapman (.206 ISO, .314 wOBA) is a fine option at third base, as he owns a .373 wOBA against cutters and .294 ISO against the four-seam, while Matt Olson (.202 ISO, .309 wOBA) is a fine option from the left side of the plate. Olson owns a massive .625 ISO against Moore's fastball and also leads the Majors with a 52.7% hard hit rating over the past two weeks. Marcus Semien (.150 ISO, .301 wOBA) is a solid option here, as well, and he owns a .368 wOBA against Moore's four-seam fastball, while Jed Lowrie (.139 ISO, .335 wOBA) is a good option at second base. You can swipe right on Chad Pinder (.170 ISO, .336 wOBA) in this spot, as well, and he posted a .364 ISO against Moore's four-seam fastball last season.

After a couple of good starts to the season, the real Zach Eflin has finally stood up and he has allowed five earned runs in back-to-back outings. He owns a 4.50 ERA on the season with a 25.7% strikeout rate, 41% flyball rate, and 34.2% hard contact rating overall. His strikeout rate is likely to come down, as he owns a 9.5% swinging strike rate, and his batted ball data of 212.6 average distance and 90 MPH average exit velocity could end up hurting him tonight. Eflin has been pretty dominant against right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .281 wOBA and .129 ISO, so I don't really want to target the right-handed hitters here but there are still plenty of left-handed hitters we can consider in this spot. Eflin's four-seam fastball, a pitch he is throwing 43% of the time to lefties, is getting hammered with a .286 ISO allowed, while his curveball (.625 ISO allowed) and slider (.857 ISO allowed) have also been problematic for him. Jason Heyward (.141 ISO, .322 wOBA) has been batting up in the two-hole recently and owns a .413 OBP and .398 wOBA over the past two weeks. He only owns a .162 ISO against Eflin's four-seam fasbtall but he boasts a .355 wOBA and 91% contact rate against it dating back to 2016. Anthony Rizzo (.208 ISO, .357 wOBA) is a great option here tonight and posted a .229 ISO against Eflin's four-seam fastball last season. Kyle Schwarber (.281 ISO, .346 wOBA) posted a .355 wOBA and .175 ISO against Eflin's four-seam fastball and .273 ISO against curveballs, making him a great option in the OF. Ian Happ (.275 ISO, .353 wOBA) is a strikeout prone option that owns a .244 ISO and 52.63% HCR against curveballs, he just has to make contact with one. Ben Zobrist (.155 ISO, .330 wOBA) has been leading off against right-handed pitchers lately and posted a .226 ISO and .382 xwOBA against 93 MPH four-seam fastballs last season, along with a .326 wOBA against sliders. Any of these left-handed hitters can be sprinkled in here to go along with hitters from the other stacks above.