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Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Cleveland Indians (5.5) vs. Sal Romano (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.360 32.6% .192 18.6% 10.7% 39.3%

Vs. RHB

.328
27.9% .189 17.7% 8.0%

30.4%

The Cleveland Indians come into tonight's slate with one of the highest projected team totals, outside of Coors, at 5.5 runs as they face off against Sal Romano in the Cincinnatti Reds. Romano has struggled of late, allowing at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts, and things won't be looking much better for him tonight against the powerful Indians offense in a very good run producing environment. Because of his struggles this season, Romano has only completed six innings in four of his 18 starts and he comes into tonight's outing sporting a 5.40 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. He only has 73 strikeouts in 95 innings, so he is certainly not someone that we need to worry about from the strikeout side of things, either. Romano is relying on two pitches over 30% of the time each, with his 93 MPH four-seam fastball and slider dominating his pitch usage, while he is throwing his sinker about 26% of the time. He is allowing a 36% HCR and .304 ISO on his four-seam fastball and a .333 ISO with only a 60% GB rate on his sinker. My favorite place to start tonight is Michael Brantley (.207 ISO, .379 wOBA) as he owns just a massive 96.9% contact rate and .450 wOBA against Romano's four-seam fastball and a 97% contact rate with a .350 wOBA against sinkers. Edwin Encarnacion (.269 ISO, .346 wOBA) is certainly a great option here, as well, and has been smoking the ball recently. He owns a massive 47% flyball rate and 55% HCR over the past 15 days, which bodes extremely well in this environment. Jose Ramirez (.342 ISO, .433 wOBA) is also in excellent form of late and owns a massive .258 ISO against sinkers. Francisco Lindor (.290 ISO, .382 wOBA) is also a great option and owns a .415 wOBA and .239 ISO against sinkers. Lindor's numbers do drop a bit against Romano's fastball range, as he owns a .306 wOBA and .147 ISO against it, but he does own a solid 35% HCR against the pitch. Yonder Alonso (.180 ISO, .341 wOBA) is an interesting option if you want some cheaper exposure to the Cleveland offense and he owns a .366 wOBA and .263 ISO against Romano's fastball range. Jason Kipnis (.127 ISO, .278 wOBA) has some ugly numbers on the surface this season but his xwOBA of .394 and 37% HCR are certainly appealing here. He also owns a .381 wOBA and .244 ISO against Romano's fastball range and is on the positive side of his wOBA splits.

Boston Red Sox (6) vs. Yovani Gallardo (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.348

36.5%

.194

16.9%

11.9%

30.2%

Vs. RHB

.365

33.8%

.210

15.4%

8.6%

36.9%

As of the time of this writing, the Boston Red Sox do not have a projected team total in Vegas but I would assume that they will be one of the highest-projected totals, outside of Coors, on the night as they face off against Yovani Gallardo. They will likely be popular, as well, although there will be plenty of way to be contrarian in tournaments if would like to. Things have not gone well for Gallardo, despite being 3-0 on the season, over the last four games. He has allowed at least three earned runs in each of those four games and a total of four homer runs over that span. He comes into the game sporting a massive 8.17 ERA and 1.70 WHIP with just 18 strikeouts in 25.1 total innings. Gallardo is getting absolutely blasted by left-handed hitters, allowing a .240 ISO and .382 wOBA to them this season, and his hard contact numbers are through the roof to right-handed hitters. He is relying mostly on three pitches, a 91 MPH fpur-seam fastball, a sinker, and a slider, and three of his five total pitches have an opponent allowed HCR of over 40%. Mookie Betts (.311 ISO, .449 wOBA) is a great place to start in the lead-off spot tonight. He owns a massive 45.5% HCR against RHP this season and a .258 ISO against sinkers. He also rakes against Gallardo's fastball range, posting a .361 wOBA and .273 ISO, along with a near 94% contact rate. Andrew Benintendi (.226 ISO, .399 wOBA) is a fine option in the two-hole but J.D. Martinez (.343 ISO, .442 wOBA) is who I have my eye on the most. Martinez has been ridiculous over the past two weeks with a 46% FB rate and average batter ball distance of 243 feet, making him a huge power threat here. He owns a .390 ISO and .442 wOBA against fastball's in Gallardo' s speed range, as well, and also a .295 ISO against sinkers. Xander Bogaerts (.264 ISO, .383 woBA) is a good option at SS tonight, while Mitch Moreland (.246 ISO, .381 wOBA) is home run threat here as he owns a .278 ISO against sinkers and a .212 ISO against Gallardo's fastball range. Even though Rafael Devers (.209 ISO, .331 wOBA) is likely to bat towards the bottom of the lineup, he is still a great option here. He has thrived of late with a new hitting coach on the team and owns a .375 wOBA and .209 ISO over the past 14 days. Jackie Bradley Jr. (.143 ISO, .289 wOBA) has turned things around of late, as well, and owns a respectable .341 wOBA and .237 ISO over the past 14 days.

St. Louis Cardinals (5.6) vs. Dylan Covey (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.369

29.6%

.209

16.1%

11.5%

35.8%

Vs. RHB

.384

33.3%

.227

13.1%

10.0%

38.1%

The Cardinals come in with a projected 5.5 runs tonight as they take on Dylan Covey and the White Sox and they are one of my favorite value stacks on the slate. After having a good start to June, beating the Red Sox and Indians in back-to-back games, Covey has struggled with 22 earned runs on 21 hits and 13 walks over his last four starts. This is a pretty big park upgrade for the Cardinals tonight, as well, and they come in at a decent price across the industry. Outside of the start against Texas, Covey hasn't struggled much with home runs over his past few starts but he is walking a lot of batters and allowing teams to string together runs, so the Cardinals certainly work better as a full stack over one-offs tonight. Matt Carpenter (.256 ISO, .382 wOBA) is the best place to start, and works as a one-off in this spot, as he is projected to bat lead-off today and has been on fire over the past two weeks. Carpenter owns a massive .415 ISO and .496 wOBA over the past 14 days to go along with his 54.6% HCR over that span. Tommy Pham (.169 ISO, .315 wOBA) is listed as day-to-day so we need to monitor the lineup to make sure he is in. He owns a 54.6% HCR over the past two weeks, as well, and has been walking like crazy of late. Jose Martinez (.206 ISO, .376 wOBA) has absolutely raked against sinkers this season, Covey's primary pitch, with a .233 ISO and .407 ISO against them and owns a 42.6% HCR against right-handed pitching this season. Marcell Ozuna (.120 ISO, .303 wOBA) has had a pretty rough season, and has been terrible over the past two weeks, but is projected to bat cleanup and comes in at just $3,500 on DraftKings and $2,800 on FanDuel. Yadier Molina (.229 ISO, .359 wOBA) is listed as day-to-day like Pham, so we definitely need to monitor the lineup for that, and would be a good option behind the dish tonight. If Molina sits, feel free to pivot to Francisco Pena as part of a stack. Depending on who is out tonight, we could see Yairo Munoz (.077 ISO, .333 wOBA) make the lineup and he owns a massive .430 wOBA over the past two weeks. Harrison Bader (.102 ISO, .293 wOBA) has also been on fire lately, posting a .418 wOBA and .233 ISO over the past two weeks. Paul DeJong (.189 ISO, .376 wOBA) is back from the DL and owns a massive 41.4% HCR against right-handed pitching this season and posted a .271 ISO against sinkers last season.



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