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Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Oakland A's (4.7) Vs. Marco Estrada (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.29548.9%.20121.5%7.2%24.7%
Vs. RHB
.36652.8%.22420.8%9.8%31.2%

Listen, feel free to use the Red Sox, Yankees, and Cubs tonight as stacks. They are popular options, and don't need much explaining given who they are facing and the offenses they possess. Marco Estrada on the hill presents some upside for the A's bats, mainly because he is a guy who allows a ton of flyballs and home runs. He has already allowed ten home runs in eight starts this season. Estrada allowing over a .200 ISO to both sides of the plate is encouraging for a lot of these power bats. Estrada throws a low velocity fastball (89mph) and a changeup most of the time. His fastball has a .244 ISO off it dating back to last season, while his changeup sits with a .210 ISO. Even his random cutter has a .224 ISO. Against Estrada's fastball there are plenty of bats that standout. Marcus Semien has a .562 wOBA and .600 ISO over 30 batted ball events. Matt Joyce has a .505 wOBA and .593 ISO. Jed Lowrie has a .437 wOBA and .395 ISO off Estrada's fastball and continues to mash this season in general with a .412 wOBA and .270 ISO. Khris Davis is one of my favorite bats tonight, and is someone who always has that double dong potential. He has a .344 wOBA and .261 ISO against Estrada's fastball range. Matt Olson and Matt Chapman only have seven batted ball events against this fastball range, so no real use here yet. Against changeups however, Olson has a .239 ISO and Chapman has a .244 ISO. Joyce and Semien also have over a .200 ISO against changeups, so all these bats really grade out well. If you are looking for a cheap catcher that hits changeups well, Jonathan Lucroy has a .372 wOBA and .324 ISO off them dating back to 2016. Oakland gets a bump in Toronto, as both sides of the plate had above average park factors dating back the last three seasons.

Baltimore Orioles (4.3) Vs. Drew Pomeranz (L)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.32137.4%.10027%7.9%32.5%
Vs. RHB.32434.0%.17022.3%10.1%32.9%

Baltimore is going to be a contrarian stack tonight, and should be most nights moving forward because most of us are sick of using them, especially after last night. However diving into a few of these guys, I really like the upside from the right-handed bats at their price tags. Drew Pomeranz has been a questionable arm this season, allowing a .414 wOBA, .282 ISO, and 34% hard-contact rate. Pomeranz is allowing a 41.1% flyball rate and his fastball is only sitting at 88 mph this season, which is down 2-3 mph from his career average and 2017 average. Pomeranz relies on his curveball, throwing it 32% of the time this season, and it is getting hit for a 45% hard-contact rate and .362 wOBA. His fastball is allowing a .314 ISO and average distance of 320 feet. For a guy who relies on swing and misses, he is not getting them this season. Each of his pitches have a whiff rate under 20% and his swinging strike rate is 7%. Pomeranz also can work himself into trouble via the free pass, walking hitters an an 11.7% rate and working ahead in the count just 43.2% of the time. Against Pomeranz's fastball range, Mark Trumbo, Chris Davis, and Manny Machado have an ISO over .300 dating back to 2016. Jonathan Schoop just missed the cut with a .296 ISO, so you step up your game Schoop. Even a guy like Danny Valencia is intriguing with a .480 wOBA and .227 ISO. Valencia is doing what he does best this season, mashing lefties with a .354 wOBA and .286 ISO. His hard-contact is at 38% and has over an 80% contact rate on the season. Adam Jones has disappeared against left-handers the last few seasons, but has a .371 wOBA and .229 ISO against Pomeranz's fastball and a .199 ISO against curveballs. The curveball is where we get a little tricky. Schoop stands out against it with a .410 wOBA and .295 ISO off the pitch. Machado has a .213 ISO and a 70% contact rate. There is a blowup game coming for Pomeranz at some point and on a full Friday slate Baltimore will go overlooked.

Toronto Blue Jays (5.4) Vs. Brett Anderson (L)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.40412.5%.1039.7%11.3%39.6%
Vs. RHB.36924.4%.20315.8%7.8%34.5%

Toronto might be a popular stack tonight, but could also fall behind teams like Boston, New York, and Chicago (Cubs) as well. I don't mind going back to the well here with Toronto. As mentioned with the A's above, Rogers Centre is a bump for hitters, especially if they open the roof like last night. One worry is that Anderson is throwing that slider over 30% of the time, which is something Toronto struggles against. His slider hasn't been bad with just a 20% contact rate and .255 xwOBA. His changeup, fastball, and curveball are all getting tagged for over a .400 wOBA so far this season, while his sinker has a .364 wOBA against. Against Anderson's range of fastball, Josh Donaldson has a .530 wOBA and .567 ISO against, while Justin Smoak has a .402 wOBA and .213 ISO. Teoscar Hernandez is a smaller sample size, but has a .384 wOBA and .391 ISO. His numbers against left-handers have stood out with a .233 ISO and 36% hard-contact rate. Steve Pearce is a bat usually in play against lefties, but is on the DL. Not sure who will slip into that leadoff role, although if it is Curtis Granderson still he has a .331 wOBA and 60% hard-contact rate against lefties this season. Anderson has also allowed a .404 wOBA to left-handed bats so he isn't great against either side of the plate by any means. If you want to take a shot on a guy like Kevin Pillar who has a .216 ISO and .363 wOBA against left-handers you can do so to round out the stack. All these bats mash sinkers, as Granderson, Donaldson, and Hernandez have over a .400 wOBA against the pitch. Smoak has .381 wOBA and all of them have over a .250 ISO against the pitch. I do believe there is some downside to this stack if Anderson can use that slider to his advantage, but Toronto should jump on these fastballs and sinkers with relative ease.



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