Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Los Angeles Angels (4.7) Vs. Aaron Sanchez (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.36024.1%.14217.3%17.3%31%
Vs. RHB.33532.3%.17715.3%8.4%31.6%

Aaron Sanchez has been dodging potential blowup games this season, given the 1.53 WHIP this year, he is lucky that he continues to escape games allowing four earned runs at the max or so. His walk rate has been over 12% the last two seasons, and that puts him into trouble often. Los Angeles should get overlooked on tonight's slate, given Sanchez's number against right-handers look decent, and there are a few other offenses that standout against worse pitching options. Sanchez throws his changeup and sinker the most, and occasionally will throw his 93 mph fastball. His fastball is getting crushed for a .415 wOBA and 47% hard-contact rate this season. The sinker is being hit for a .397 wOBA and .250 ISO, while the changeup is his best pitch, allowing a .238 wOBA and .074 ISO. Dating back to last season, the .177 ISO to right-handers is actually something to note, even though it has been lower in 2018 alone. He has still allowed a 35.5% hard-contact rate to right-handers, while lefties have more numbers to show for it with a .397 wOBA and .165 ISO. Shoehei Ohtani does standout tonight, with a .447 wOBA and .358 ISO against right-handers in his short MLB career. The 47% hard-contact against right-handers is very impressive, and in a small sample size has a .316 ISO against sinkers. Luis Valbuena might find his way into the lineup tonight, and while the strikeout rate is rather high, he has over a .200 ISO against right-handers dating back to last season.

There are a handful of bats that grade out well against sinkers: Ian Kinsler has a .386 wOBA and 40% hard-contact rate, Albert Pujols has a .389 wOBA and .223 IS0, and Zack Cozart has a .339 wOBA and .161 ISO. Of course the bats of Justin Upton and Mike Trout are in play. Upton has a .369 wOBA and .173 ISO against sinkers. Trout has a .427 wOBA and .213 ISO against the same pitch, but also has a .440 wOBA and .360 ISO against changeups. Upton has a .250 ISO against the changeup, and Kinsler has a .183 ISO. The potential is there for a lot of these Angels, and they are not that expensive outside of Trout.

New York Mets (4.3) Vs. Dan Straily (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.32942.7%.19520.9%10.9%32%
Vs. RHB.32545.5%.22522%6.1%36.6%

Dan Straily is not a 3.60 ERA pitcher from his first four starts. He has allowed 14 walks over the four starts, and four homers. His strikeout and walk rates are even at 15.9%, and that 55.9% hard-contact rate in the season is really something when he only has a 29.3% groundball rate. Straily has a blowup coming, and I don't mind taking some shots on lesser teams at lower ownerships. The Mets fit that bill tonight, and despite them underperforming of late, I like the upside. Straily is allowing a 63% hard-contact rate to left-handers this season, and a .431 wOBA. While this is a four start sample size, Straily's pitches are not impressing. He has a low velocity fastball, throwing it 57% of the time. So far he is allowing an average distance of 312 feet and 42% hard-contact rate. Things will improve for hitters, who have just a .328 wOBA off the pitch. His slider has been very poor, with a .21% whiff rate, .534 wOBA and .625 ISO.

Against Straily's fastball range, the Mets have some bats that standout. Brandon Nimmo has a .535 wOBA and .222 ISO, Michael Conforto has a .214 ISO, while Wilmer Flores has a .564 wOBA and .385 ISO in a very limited sample size. Flores might be the odd man out of the lineup against a righty, but if he is in, he grades out well. Adrian Gonzalez isn't the most powerful first baseman these days, but has a .413 wOBA and 45% hard-contact rate against the fastball range. Asdrubal Cabrera has a 48% hard-contact rate and 95% contact rate. While the Mets struggle against sliders, Jay Bruce and Conforto have over a .200 ISO against the pitch. If Devin Mesoraco finds his way into the lineup, he has some pop against right-handers, with a .214 ISO dating back to last season. Four out of five lefties have a hard-contact rate over 38% against right-handers this season, with Conforto being the odd man out at just 28%. Despite just a .323 wOBA and .132 ISO against right-handers this season, he has an xwOBA of .370 and his walk rate is at 14%. The hard-contact being down is a concern, and it may be health related, but he is still cheap and a lefty against Straily.

Cincinnati Reds (4.7) Vs. Chad Kuhl (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO Allowed

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.37742%.24022.4%11.8%39%
Vs. RHB.29527.7%.12119.9%9%33.1%

This is an extremely stackable game here on both sides, or even a game stack. Homer Bailey on the other side has allowed a .362 wOBA and .213 ISO to left-handers and a .374 wOBA and .189 ISO to right-handers. The Pirates outfield stands out quite a bit with their lefties, but also Colin Moran and Josh Bell do as well. If you want to roll out right-handers, you can like Josh Harrison and Francisco Cervelli. The Pirates bats get a park upgrade in Great American, so this is a major bump for them.

Back to Cincinnati, who should be able to stack lefties here or at least in theory they should. Kuhl's numbers above dating back to last year are awful against left-handed hitters, and nothing has changed this year except it got worse. He is allowing a .421 wOBA, .339 ISO, 53% flyball rate, and 33% hard-contact rate to left-handers. Joey Votto, Scooter Gennett, Scott Schebler, Jesse Winker, and Tucker Barnhart are all lefty bats to target here. Kuhl will tough 95mph on his fastball and his sinker, which both are getting crushed this season. In this fastball range, Winker has a .498 wOBA and .308 ISO off it, Votto has a .450 wOBA and .318 ISO, and Gennett has a .403 wOBA and .202 ISO. The rest of the lefties have a bit of a down number, but the .441 xwOBA and 52% hard-contact rate for Schebler against the pitch is still notable. Barnhart is a cheap catching option with a .203 ISO. Against sinkers, each lefty has over a .370 wOBA outside of Winker. If Kuhl uses his curveball, Votto and Gennett both standout against the pitch, and most of these bats have over an 80% contact rate.



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