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Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Arizona Diamondbacks (4.9) vs. Jason Vargas (L)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.37141.5%.19013.4%8.6%28.2%
Vs. RHB.33039.5%.18119%7.6%34%

Arizona got their offense going in Coors and it carried over against the Pirates as well. Now with Jason Vargas slated to start, that should continue into the Mets series. Vargas has been dreadful against both sides of the plate dating back to last year, and this year has been more extreme. He is allowing a .416 wOBA wOBA to lefties and a .376 wOBA to right-handers. Vargas relies on his sinker 45% of the time this season, which is getting hit for a .470 wOBA and .281 ISO. His changeup is getting blasted for a .366 wOBA and .209 ISO, which he throws 29% of the time. Paul Goldschmidt has heated up, but has always been hitting lefties this year. That did not change. He has a .497 wOBA and .418 ISO against southpaws this season. His numbers against sinkers standout here with a .458 wOBA and .290 ISO. He also has a .354 wOBA and 39% hard-contact rate against changeups. John Ryan Murphy has been another hot bad, and is a cheaper alternative behind the dish. In a small sample size he has a .370 wOBA and .206 ISO against sinkers. He is also sporting a .354 ISO and .405 wOBA against southpaws. Ketel Marte has been on an extra base hit binge of late, and while this will calm down a bit, his approach has changed for the better. The hard-contact is up, but a lot of it is on the ground. His xwOBA against lefties shows regression, and with over a 60% groundball rate against left-handers I can see why. He has a .383 wOBA and .231 ISO off them, and should be hitting fifth if you wanted to get some cheaper exposure. Nick Ahmed rounds out the rest here, as he continues to crush lefties. He has a .377 wOBA and .271 ISO against southpaws, and 37% hard-contact rate. Even though Vargas struggles with lefties, I am not sure we see bats like David Peralta and Jake Lamb. The numbers they put up against lefties are not enticing, but if they find the lineup you can play them within the stack.

New York Mets (4.2) vs. Matt Koch (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.26534.4%.16215.4%6.5%44.1%
Vs. RHB.43635.9%.30211.1%5.6%47.1%

We know Matt Koch has been lit up against right-handed hitters, but lefties are about to pop off at sometime here. He has a .396 xwOBA to left-handed hitters, and the hard-contact and flyball rates nearly rival the right-handed bats. The Mets offense has flat out sucked this season, and there is no other way to put it, and I am hoping they get overlooked because of it. The lefty outfield has underperformed outside of Brandon Nimmo, who has a .336 ISO and .451 ISO off right-handers. He also has a .659 wOBA and .750 ISO in a small sample size against Koch's fastball. Michael Conforto also has a .455 wOBA and .325 ISO against his range of fastball, but also a .419 wOBA and .191 ISO against his cutter. Conforto has been struggling this season, and health might be a part of it. On a four game slate I don't mind rolling the dice. Jay Bruce is my least favorite of the outfielders given he has not posted strong numbers against either of the fastball range or cutter. He does have a .394 xwOBA against the pitch and an 81% contact rate, I don't mind using Bruce in a stack, but he isn't mandatory. Asdrubal Cabrera rounds out the lefties I have interest in with a .352 wOBA and .170 ISO off Koch's fastball. Todd Frazier and Devin Mesoraco are the two right-handed bats that you can target against Koch. Neither handle cutters all that well, but Frazier has a .413 wOBA and .323 ISO against his fastball. Mesoraco has just a 12 batted ball even sample size to off the fastball range, but not much production. He is just a contrarian option on this slate, as Murphy and Sanchez should gain a majority of the ownership. Mets should be low owned with no expensive pitching and Boston/NewYork/Arizona in good spots.

Boston Red Sox (4.6) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.35933.2%.21919.6%9.3%33%
Vs. RHB.32429.5%.17820.4%6.8%34%

Safeco was like a home run derby in this past Angels series, and we could get some more homers in this series too. Boston gets to face an over the hill Felix Hernandez, who has mainly struggled against left-handed hitters. He is allowing a .351 wOBA and .254 ISO to left-handers, and doesn't have the high groundball rate at just 39%. Right-handers have a 55% groundball rate, and a .122 ISO. It doesn't change my perception on the right-handed too much, but the left-handers I have more interest in. Andrew Benintendi is one of them, with a .417 wOBA and .259 ISO against right-handers. Mitch Moreland has a .307 ISO and .412 wOBA off right-handers on the year. If you want to target cheaper lefties, Rafael Devers and Jackie Bradley Jr are worth a look. Devers stands out against that curveball with a .452 wOBA and .340 ISO against the pitch in his career. He also has a 51% hard-contact rate against changeups, and these two pitches Hernandez combines to throw around 50% of the time. J.D. Martinez leads the team against changeups with a .371 wOBA and .298 ISO. Mookie Betts has a .363 wOBA and .189 ISO against changeups as well. Both have over a .300 ISO against right-handed pitching on the season. The Sox all standout against sinkers, but Betts, Martinez, Moreland, Devers, and JBJ all have over .200 ISOs against the pitch. Xander Bogaerts has a .398 wOBA and .154 ISO against sinkers, but over a .200 ISO against right-handers on the season.



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