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Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Arizona Diamondbacks (4.5) vs. Steven Matz (L)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.31912.9%.07914.3%11.8%20%
Vs. RHB.35437.4%.22619.8%7.5%36%

A four game slate leaves us only a few options to go with, and with the pitching being above average, there are not many stacks to roll. Arizona is in the best spot, and have been hitting extremely well of late. Steven Matz has worse games coming, allowing a .219 ISO and a 37.3% hard-contact rate to right-handed hitters. Matz isn't missing a lot of bats with a 7.8% swinging strike rate, and 80% contact rate. Matz relies heavily on that sinker, throwing it 51% of the time. His off-speed stuff has been hit for over a .200 ISO this season. Looking at bats who hit sinkers well, Paul Goldschmidt of course. He has a .458 wOBA and .290 ISO against the pitch. Goldy is back mashing baseballs, and against lefties this season has a .497 wOBA and .418 ISO. Nick Ahmed has been a solid bat with a .377 wOBA and .271 ISO off southpaws. He also has a .187 ISO against sinkers. John Ryan Murphy should find his way into the lineup tonight, and in a small sample size has a .370 wOBA and .206 ISO against sinkers. He also is posting a .354 ISO and .405 wOBA off southpaws over 50 PA. Ketel Marte has been red hot of late as well, and as mentioned in prior articles, his production will fall. I am not betting on that happening tonight. He has a .231 ISO against lefties, and a .378 wOBA off sinkers. I am not terribly high on the lefties in this spot. Matz has an 88.2% groundball rate against southpaws, and is allowing just an 11.8% hard-contact rate.

Seattle Mariners (4.2) vs. Steven Wright (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.31641.7%.18523%8.1%31.3%
Vs. RHB.36832.1%.23213.5%9.6%35.7%

Seattle isn't projected for anything huge here, sitting with an implied total of 4.2 runs. Steven Wright has pitched well since coming back, and has stretches where he is tough to stack against. With knuckleballers, right-handers stand a better chance than left-handers. You can sort of see that in the above numbers. Seattle doesn't have a track record against knuckleballs, outside of a few at-bats. The right-handers have my interest. Jean Segura has a .355 wOBA and 87% contact rate against right-handers this season. Mitch Haniger has a 41% hard-contact rate against right-handers, and a .280 ISO. Nelson Cruz has come to life of late, and has a .225 ISO and 37% hard-contact rate against right-handers. Ryon Healy has a .218 ISO against righties this season, with a 39% hard-contact rate and 75% contact rate. Mike Zunino has enough of a hard time hitting regular pitches, so a pitch that dances like nobody's business doesn't give me high hopes. He has a ton of power though, and if he catches on that hangs, he could go yard. Zunino has a 43% hard-contact rate and .264 ISO against right-handers. This is a boom-or-bust stack, but on a four game slate you will have to take a chance somewhere risky to have a high finish in GPPs.



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