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Stacking has been a popular way to bring down tournaments, and some stacks are even cash game viable. We offer three free top stacks of the night and will provide stacks in a wide range of price tags. We do want to make it known that stacks in Colorado are often fairly obvious and popular stacks. We don't feel the need to break down Colorado stacks and will be more focused on other stacking options. Unless we are struggling to find three others, Colorado stacks will be a top choice but not broken down. We tend to look at park factors, Vegas numbers, starting pitcher and bullpen numbers, and various offensive stats. Feel free to shoot us questions on Twitter at @BrentHeiden1, @JGuilbault11, and @dfcafe.

Milwaukee Brewers (4.6) Vs. Hector Santiago (L)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.50639.7%.30613.9%20.4%39.7%
Vs. RHB.30454.9%.18319%7.8%33.3%

Milwaukee's offense hasn't exactly teed off at a consistent rate this season, and Vegas isn't really buying into them all that much tonight. They face a flyball lefty, Hector Santiago, who has struggled against both sides of the plate. Milwaukee will get the DH in an American League ballpark, which should put like Hernan Perez in the DH spot, or at least get him in the lineup and have Jesus Aguilar DH. Aguilar is someone I have a lot of interest in today, with a .422 wOBA and .290 ISO against left-handed pitching this season. He also has a .364 wOBA and .222 ISO against Santiago's "sinker". Santiago's pitch is being thrown 71% of the time, being clubbed for a .370 wOBA and .252 ISO. Perez also has a .368 wOBA and .206 ISO off that pitch, and sports a .194 ISO against lefties this season. Ryan Braun is another bat who stands out in this spot, and has an average distance of 325 feet against left-handers, which leads the team. Braun's .225 ISO and 46% hard-contact rate are decent, although the groundball rate is still rather high. Lorenzo Cain has been his usual self against left-handers this season, and his batted ball stats are even more impressive (39.5 LD%, 34.2 FB%, and 86 Contact%). He has a .476 wOBA and .267 ISO against lefties on the year. If you are looking for a cheap catcher option, Manny Pina has a .182 ISO against lefties, and a .372 wOBA off the sinker. While Christian Yelich and Travis Shaw's numbers against lefties are not all that appealing, I don't mind including them here given Santiago's numbers against lefties. Yelich has a higher xwOBA of .367 than Shaw, with over a 40% hard-contact rate, so if I was making a choice it would be him. Yelich also has a .424 wOBA and .194 ISO off sinkers. Santiago isn't throwing much secondary stuff, but his changeup, which hitters have a .362 wOBA and .229 ISO off this season. The occasional slider and curveball hitters have over a .500 wOBA against. Guaranteed Rate Field is one of the better hitters parks and you have wind blowing out 10-15mph to left and center field around game time.

New York Yankees (5.8) Vs. Andrew Cashner (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.328

41.5%

.165

16.3%

11.8%

30.5%

Vs. RHB

.318

26.7%

.131

12.5%

7.8%

30.7%

Cashner is in the midst of a pretty rough stretch of games, with just one quality start in his past five, and he is coming off a putrid performance against the Rays where he allowed five runs on 11 hits in five innings. Cashner has allowed at least four runs in five of his 11 outings this season, with at least three runs in three more, with six or more hits allowed in eight outings. While his 2017-2018 numbers above aren't terrible, at least not to right-handed hitters, it has been a little bit of a different story this season. He is still struggling against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .370 wOBA and .273 ISO to them, while he has allowed a .375 wOBA and .185 ISO to right-handed hitters this season. He is still struggling with hard contact, allowing 38.2% to the right-side of the plate and 35.3% hard contact to left-handed hitters, so I definitely want to target him here. Cashner relies primarily on three main pitches, a 93 MPH four-seam fastball, a two-seam fastball, and a changeup, but he also sprinkles in a slider to right-handed hitters at times. He is allowing a .232 ISO overall on his four-seam fastball, a .247 ISO on his two-seam, and a .433 ISO on his curveball. Both of the power right-handed hitters are in play here, with Aaron Judge (.350 ISO, .430 wOBA, 30.8% K-rate) tops the list as he owns a .313 ISO against two-seam fastballs since 2016, but Giancarlo Stanton (.276 ISO, .358 wOBA, 27.8% K-rate) is not far behind as he owns a .291 ISO against two-seam fastballs. Aaron Hicks (.194 ISO, .340 wOBA, 19.6% K-rate) is a fine option, as well, and he owns a .362 wOBA and 32.59% hard contact rating against two-seam fastballs. Gleyber Torres (.300 ISO, .405 wOBA, 25.6% K-rate) has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball over the last month and owns a .679 ISO against two-seam fastballs with 26 batted ball events, while Gary Sanchez (.250 ISO, .345 wOBA, 23.8% K-rate) owns a .254 ISO against it. From the left side of the plate, Brett Gardner owns a .347 wOBA against RHP dating back to last season and a .183 ISO against two-seam fastballs, while Didi Gregorius (.244 ISO, .351 wOBA, 12.7% K-rate) owns a .327 wOBA against the two-seam fastball and a .318 wOBA against Cashner's four-seam fastball. Feel free to target Miguel Andujar here too, if he makes the lineup. I almost forgot about Greg Bird (.217 ISO, .309 wOBA, 26% K-rate) who is projected to bat cleanup tonight. Bird owns a .297 ISO against sinkers, making him a solid power threat in this park.

Arizona Diamondbacks (4.9) Vs. Elieser Hernandez (R)

SP Splits (2017-2018)

wOBA Allowed

FB%

ISO

K%

BB%

Hard% Allowed

Vs. LHB

.29241.7%.16314%2.3%44.4%
Vs. RHB.35837.5%.18511.1%0%41.7%

Curious to see if Arizona will roll out a very heavy lefty lineup again, which they have been doing. While Arizona has been a bottom five offense this season, their prices and ownership have deflated from 2017. Chase Field isn't the HR park it used to be, but it is still in line to put up a big score tonight. Elieser Hernandez doesn't have much of a track record in the bigs, but is someone who has exceptional control. His below 40% groundball rate to both sides, and less than 15% strikeout rate to both sides isn't much of an appeal. He is also allowing a ton of hard-contact. He has shown strikeout stuff in the minors, but nothing has translated this season. He has limited teams to less than three earned runs in each of his last three starts, but his overall numbers are not as good as suggested. He does throw a slider 21% of the time, which concerns me given the Diamondbacks record against that pitch. Jarrod Dyson and John Ryan Murphy are the only two bats with over a 70% contact rate against it. When his slider doesn't work, hitters have a .417 wOBA, .231 ISO, and 42% hard-contact rate against it. The low velocity fastball he throws over 50% of the time is what stands out to me. Hitters have a 45% hard-contact rate, and a .400 xwOBA so far this season. Paul Goldschmidt has a .571 wOBA and .474 ISO off that range of fastballs, and given he has been criticized for his ability to hit high velocity fastballs this season, this is a good spot. Jake Lamb also has a .587 wOBA and .550 ISO off the pitch. Daniel Descalso and David Peralta are two lefty options of use here, both sporting over a .350 wOBA off this range. Mentioning John Ryan Murphy before, he has been on an absolute tear of late, and should hit sixth in the order. He has a .293 ISO off right-handers on the season.



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