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Seven games on tonight's slate, and at the moment there are not any blowouts projected. However, the Rockets are going up against the Knicks, and the Jazz are against the Cavaliers. These are two games that could get out of hand. Otherwise it is a decent slate. Milwaukee will head to Miami in a big Eastern Conference battle. The game I am targeting tonight is the Hawks-Grizzles. The over/under is at 240, and the Hawks are favored by just two points. A few injuries to keep an eye on tonight. Luka Doncic is questionable with a thumb injury still. Damian Lillard is still out, and LaMarcus Aldridge is also going to be a name ruled out at some point. He is listed as doubtful.
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Trey Lyles is a name that will be popular tonight. He is averaging 24 fantasy points per game over the past two weeks. As mentioned above, Aldridge will be out, and Jakob Poeltl is out the next 2-4 weeks. The Spurs are a bit limited in the front court, and Lyles will pick up plenty of minutes. Luka Doncic’s injury could create some value for us. Delon Wright is a name to keep an eye on, but Seth Curry is a name that we want to target too. Wright has averaged 1.00 FPPM with Doncic out, and Curry has been at 0.93.
I still don’t find Coby White to be expensive enough, and he projects for big value again. He has scored 33, 33, 35, and 22 over the last four games. The fantasy points have been added onto those real life point scores. With Memphis dealing with injuries, as Brandon Clarke and Jaren Jackson Jr. are out. Gorgui Dieng has averaged over 20 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks, and is going to see around 25 minutes tonight.
Kevin Porter is below $5,000 on both sites, and has some sneaky upside tonight against the Jazz. While it is a tough matchup on paper, Porter has had some decent usage over the past few games. Cleveland is still a lost cause, but names like Sexton and Porter are young guys with upside.
Now if Doncic is out, not only does it unlock value, Kristaps Porzingis has a 30% usage rate with him off the court, and averages 1.46 FPPM. He also gets an enticing matchup against the Bulls, who rank 30th in defensive efficiency against opposing centers. Rudy Gobert is underpriced for the type of upside he has tonight. While he hasn’t played particularly great of late, he is still averaging 33 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks. Cleveland ranks 24th against opposing centers.
Sticking with Utah names, Donovan Mitchell is averaging 40 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks. Cleveland ranks 30th against opposing shooting guards, and Mitchell has a 30% usage rate averaging 1.14 FPPM this season. Mike Conley is not a bad option as well, but somewhat inconsistent. He is in a good spot with Cleveland ranking 30th against opposing point guards. C.J. McCollum is one to build around still, although that price tag is now up quite a bit. He is averaging over 50 fantasy points per game in the last two weeks, and has the sky high usage with a higher FPPM with Lillard out.
Aaron Gordon is coming off a very strong week, and I like him in all formats, but his tournament upside is worth noting tonight. Portland struggles against opposing power forwards, ranking 29th in defensive efficiency. He is averaging over 40 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks. Mitchell Robinson is a mid range center to get some exposure to against Houston. Robinson has been playing extremely well of late, averaging 36 fantasy points per game over the last two weeks.
Memphis ranks 20th against shooting guards, and Kevin Huerter is in a great spot to produce a big upside game again. He is averaging 30 fantasy points over the last two weeks anyway. DeMar DeRozan is the lone offensive stud for San Antonio right now. He gets a bump in usage with the injuries for San Antonio.
Houston is on the road against New York, and if this game can stay close, it is a good spot. Russell Westbrook gets a 28th ranked defense against point guards, and James Harden has been quieter over the past month, but we know the ceiling he has. Robert Covington is also a name that's in the mid range, and is playable in all formats. Now if this game stays close, that means Robinson, Randle, and Payton had some decent nights, and will be lower owned. Atlanta-Memphis has a 240 total and the pace is going to be unreal. This game is also close.
Dallas and Chicago is also not a bad game stack as well, especially if Doncic is out. That gives you a great mix of value. If Doncic plays I do have some blowout concerns, but it takes away some of the value and upside of others in a traditional game stack. Chicago has some mid range plays with upside like Young, White, and then you have Zach LaVine of course.