FanDuel & DraftKings NBA Value Plays: 10-28-16

We are two nights in to NBA and tonight we have another larger slate with 8 games to choose from. Plenty of elite options in all positions so finding those few gems each night is critical.

With guys like Russell Westbrook and Anthony Davis dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of that for you here, talking about the best value at each position. A reminder a nice landmark for Fantasy value is 5x, but having a few plays with only a 3x isn't terrible either.

Point Guard

Elfrid Payton, Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons ($5,900 FD / $5,700 DK)

Payton fills categories just fine and is a more than fair price tonight. In 6 games against the Pistons in 2015 he averaged 11.5 points, 7.5 assists, 3.3 rebounds and 1.2 steals. There is some real value here and he should be on the court for 36 plus minutes. Facing ish Smith tonight should also give a slight boost to all of his Fantasy points as well. Last season his assists and points per game increased when opposing Smith. 5 x shouldn't be an issue for Payton tonight, especially since it looks as if the offense will run through him.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 32.93 DraftKings: 37.37

Tim Frazier, New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors ($5,300 FD / $5,400 DK)

Frazier faces off against Steph Curry and the Warriors tonight in what should be a high tempo and fast paced game. Frazier comes dirt cheap for the point guard position tonight and this should complement one of the elite options very well. Frazier's usage rate isn't fantastic, but he is producing a little over a Fantasy point a minute, should be on the court around 36 minutes.

This gives you a player with plenty of floor time with a high ceiling and should easily meet value tonight.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 33.84 DraftKings: 38.16

Shooting Guard

Kentavious Caldwell Pope, Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic ($5,000 FD / $4,400 DK)

Pope played in nearly 30 minutes a game in 2015 against Fournier and the Magic averaged 10.3 points, 4 rebounds and an assist. With a floor of 16 Fantasy points and a projected 35 minutes of court time Pope should make a nice value play to complement James Harden tonight.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 25.16 DraftKings: 27.75

Eric Gordon, Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks ($5,200 FD / $5,200 DK)

Gordon has a usage rate of 20.3 and should see 35 plus minutes on the court tonight. Gordon averaged 15.5 points, 2.8 rebounds, 3.2 assists and a steal a game against the Mav's in 2015. This is a favorable matchup tonight as well for Gordon. With a DvP of 24 and the Mavericks allowing 40 points to the shooting guard position he has a floor of nearly 18 Fantasy points tonight.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 25.55 DraftKings: 29.05

Small Forward

T.J. Warren, Phoenix @ Oklahoma City Thunder ($4,600 FD/ $4,400 DK)

Small forward is tough to fill in DFS most nights once you get past the big three tonight. Having a guy who should play plenty of minutes and costs under 5K is critical to build a top heavy lineup tonight. Warren is projected for 30 minutes of court time tonight and a 19.9 usage rate. What Warren can do is score and fill categories in minimal time. With .83 FPPM he is a sneaky and affordable play tonight in OKC.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 23.10 DraftKings: 24.9

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat ($5,600 FD / $5,400 DK)

Gilchrist is in a middle of the road matchup, but once again will be on the court plenty, and a solid matchup against Winslow and the Heat tonight. He has only faced Winslow once, but as you likely know matchups are fluid in the NBA especially at the SG/SF positions. I don't like using the term safe but he is tonight with a floor of 19 Fantasy Points and a higher ceiling.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 28.7 DraftKings: 31.85

Power Forward

Jon Leuer, Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic ($4,000 FD / $3,300 DK)

Leuer is a very cheap option tonight and is easily the riskiest play in this post tonight. However, when you look at the top plays in tonight's slate you are going to need to dig deep and Leuer fits the bill with a floor of 9.4 Fantasy points but a higher ceiling. He also has averaged 1.06 FPPM. This is a cheap play tonight and can help you fill other areas tonight. At 3.3K on Draft Kings he should meet 5X value.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 19.4 DraftKings: 21.20

Serge Ibaka, Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons ($5,500 FanDuel/$5,900 DK)

Ibaka is facing the above mentioned Leuer and Tobias Harris tonight, and is on the court significantly more. His usage rate is only 17.6 but he still is just under a Fantasy Point per minute, and has a projected floor of 20.55 tonight. He averaged 13.8 points, 7.3 rebounds and nearly 4 blocks a game. I know he isn't flashy, but he is definitely a solid value tonight.

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 30.24 DraftKings: 32.76

Center

Clint Capela, Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks ($4,700 FD / $5,800 DK)

DFC estimates Capela to be on the court for 26 minutes and with a floor of 16.35 points tonight. This Rockets offense is so potent and Capela looked great in his first game of the season. When you look at his price and are looking to load up in the Point guard, Shooting Guard and Power Forward position tonight Capela is definitely cheap and should easily meet value. 221 points are projected in this matchup. I will be plugging Capela in to some top heavy lineups hoping he exceeds 5X tonight. His price on FanDuel especially is almost disgusting so take advantage!

DFC Projection: FanDuel: 27.30 DraftKings: 28.86