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With guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of that for you here, talking about the best value at each position.
Back Court
Patrick Beverley, Houston Rockets ($5,400 FD - $5,600 DK)
A big Houston total is on the board tonight, sitting at 122. That's no surprise for this Houston offense, and also no surprise against the Phoenix Suns. This one slightly edges out the game in Oklahoma City in pace and total. Beverley is coming off back-to-back solid games, and has been serviceable of late anyway. He has averaged 14-8-5 in two games against Phoenix this season, who rank in the bottom half against opposing point guards. Phoenix ranks 28th in turnovers, and a game like this is one where Beverley can rack up some peripheral stats. I do want some Houston exposure tonight, and Beverley is a cheap way to do it.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 27.69 - DraftKings: 31.31
Seth Curry, Dallas Mavericks ($5,500 FD - $5,000 DK)
Seth Curry has dropped down to a much more reasonable price tag. He had a tough matchup against Utah, and had a rough outing against Portland. Despite those results, he is averaging 27 fantasy points per game over the last ten games. The Dallas starting five all sits under $6,000 outside of Harrison Barnes. Even with a lower total than others on the night, the points-per-dollar plays here are worth taking a look at. Orlando rank middle of the league in fantasy points allowed to opposing shooting guards, and rank 19th in defensive efficiency. Without solely punting the position, Curry is a logical mid-range guy.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 25.24 - DraftKings: 28.70
Honorable Mentions: Jameer Nelson, Yogi Ferrell, Brandon Knight
Front Court
Alex Len, Phoenix Suns ($3,600 FD - $3,000 DK)
Tyson Chandler is doubtful for tonight's game, and there will be center minutes opening up for Alex Len and Alan Williams. Len was suspended last night, and Williams took advantage of the playing time. He played 24 minutes, and dropped 14 and 11, with four blocks. This concerns me a little bit for Len, but I do think he gets a bulk of the run, and should draw the start. Houston has been crushed by opposing centers of late, allowing ten more fantasy points per game than their usual over the last ten games. They have allowed the third most overall this season. Len has averaged 10 and 9 with 1.7 blocks per game in the nine games Chandler has missed this season. Both are near a bare-min price tag, but I will lean towards Len.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 23.97 - DraftKings: 26.26
Dario Saric, Philadelphia 76ers ($4,800 FD - $4,600 DK)
Dario Saric is averaging 27 minutes, and 26 fantasy points per game in the last five. He has a 21% usage rate on the season, but has seen a 25% usage rate over the last ten games. Some of that came with the Robert Covington injury, but also Joel Embiid. He has taken double-digit shot attempts in six of the last ten games, and has a 30 fantasy point ceiling, per our optimizer. He will spend some time at the three and the four. He has averaged 12-6-2 in 22 games without Embiid, compared to 8-5-1 with.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 20.12 - DraftKings: 22.08
Honorable Mentions: P.J. Tucker, T.J. Warren, Dirk Nowitzki
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