NBA Sports Betting Quick Links
With guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of that for you here, talking about the best value at each position.
Jameer Nelson, Denver Nuggets ($5,000 FD - $5,400 DK)
Emmanuel Mudiay is questionable for tonight's game, which means Jameer Nelson will see the bulk of the minutes again. Mudiay was expected to be out until the All-Star Break, so I wouldn't say things are looking good for him. In the ten games Mudiay has missed, Nelson has averaged 34 minutes, to go with an 11-3-7 line. Even with the Warriors being double digit favorites, the Nuggets have a 114 team total, and the overall total sits at 239. Phew. Golden State is middle of the road against defending point guards, and Nelson is a cheap correlation play within this game. I will be loading up heavily, and Nelson comes in as the cheapest option.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 25.73 - DraftKings: 29.76
Tony Allen, Memphis Grizzlies ($4,900 FD - $4,600 DK)
Memphis get the Brooklyn treatment, which means I like them more than I do most nights. The Nets play up in pace, and the Grizzlies have the highest pace change from their season norm. Brooklyn ranks dead last against opposing shooting guards, and rank dead last in turnovers. Tony Allen is at an intriguing price, and has put up 25+ fantasy points in each of his last three games. He has a combined five steals and four blocks in that span, which is really his game. However, in this one, the rebounding should be there again, as Brooklyn ranks bottom five on the boards. Memphis has a 109 total to target, and Brooklyn tends to keep games close at home.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 22.91- DraftKings: 25.23
Honorable Mentions: Marcus Smart, T.J. McConnell
Andre Roberson, Oklahoma City Thunder ($4,300 FD - $4,100 DK)
Andre Roberson has actually been pretty serviceable over the last five games, averaging over 25 fantasy points per game. Washington-OKC sits as the third highest total on the night, and the Thunder have a 106 total. This will be a fun one to target, and I am hoping Roberson can fly under the radar. I don't mind diving down at one of your SF spots this evening, and Washington in the middle of the league against opposing small forwards. Roberson has the third best Cafe Value among small forwards, and the theory for the Thunder sits at a cool eight.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 24.50 - DraftKings: 26.60
Nerlens Noel, Philadelphia 76ers ($5,400 FD - $5,300 DK)
Philadelphia have ruled out Jahlil Okafor and Joel Embiid tonight, which means we get a steady dose of Nerlens Noel, Ersan Ilyasova, and Dario Saric. Robert Covington also sees a bump. Charlotte ranks 26th against opposing centers, and this is a great plug and play. He will be very popular, and is a must for me in cash games. He has a 1.07 FPPM this season, and is shooting 58% from the field over his last ten games. He has had a steady dose of defensive stats when given the chance. When Okafor and Embiid are off the floor, Noel leads the Sixers in FPPM, as Covington comes second. With a 102 total, while it's not the highest, there is a lot of value in this one.
DFC Projection: FanDuel: 30.00 - DraftKings: 32.10
Honorable Mentions: Dario Saric, Alex Len (If Tyson Chandler Is Out)