With guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of that for you here, talking about the best value at each position. Bolded names are the players worth using. Unbolded names are there for comparison or analysis.
Cheap point guards are extremely volatile right now. We have seen the Sacramento backcourt fluctuate minutes, as Darren Collison's production has taken a nose dive the last two games. He put up a solid game against Denver, but has struggled the last two. Ty Lawson has played 31, 23, and 35 minutes in the last three games, and his largest fantasy outing came last game against Minnesota. Buddy Hield and Ben McLemore remain scoring dependent shooting guards, seeing 25-30 minutes. Tyreke Evans has been the safest of the shooting guards, scoring above 20 fantasy points in each of the last three, but the price tag and minutes restriction is a bit of a buzzkill. We have a cluster of bodies cutting into each other's upside, and a guessing game between the point guards. This is a great matchup against Brooklyn, who allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing guards, yet a mess DFS wise. I don't mind gambling on Collison or Lawson in tournaments, but that is about it.
Reggie Jackson had another down game, which followed up a respectable performance against Boston. He has been wildly inconsistent, bringing down his price tag. Like the other two, he is just a tournament play for me. The Pelicans allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards, and have allowed the most over their last ten games. Now in that same game, Jrue Holiday is only $6,900 on DraftKings. He is $7,700 on FanDuel, so there is a noticeable difference in pricing. Just something to note, as Detroit is in the bottom half in fantasy points allowed to opposing point guards. If we are talking cheaperish point guards, Derrick Rose is getting a nod from me playing heavy minutes with Brandon Jennings now in Washington. Yogi Ferrell could be sneaky as well, as Dennis Schroder owns a -3.39 DRPM, which ranks second to last among point guards. Wesley Matthews is also ruled out, giving a bump to Seth Curry.
With Boston's Avery Bradley back in action, he should get a tick up in minutes after being limited last time out. I don't expect him to play a whole set of minutes again, but if he gets an extra 5-8 from last game, Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown's stocks drop.
Terrence Ross continues to be a plug and play for me, and especially over there on FanDuel ($4,400). He has played 33 and 35 minutes in Orlando, with a 22% usage rate. The Knicks have allowed the third most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards in the last ten games. $5,200 on DraftKings is a bit pricier, but I don't mind it given the options around him are lackluster. If Aaron Gordon misses this game, Jeff Green would see a big bump in minutes, and be a punt value. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson is SF eligible on FanDuel, and PF eligible on DraftKings. He is reasonably priced on both, and has put up strong games since Bojan Bogdanovic has moved to Washington. He still isn't playing crazy high minutes, but 21 and 26 are fine when he is producing on a high FPPM basis.
Even with Willie Cauley-Stein dropping a dud against Charlotte, I am putting full trust into him tonight against Brooklyn. The Nets allow the most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, and the fourth most to opposing centers. They are also a bottom five rebounding team. He has played 35, 28, and 34 minutes in the three games since DeMarcus Cousins has left. Kyle O'Quinn is set to hop into the starting lineup with Willie Hernangomez out for this game. The Magic have allowed the eighth most fantasy points per game to opposing centers, and rank 25th in rebounding. O'Quinn has the same FPPM as Nikola Vucevic and Dwight Howard.