With guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of the ever changing rotation, and injury news on a daily basis. Value plays will be given based on game type, and also mid-range options in comparison to the top-priced guys. Sometimes value doesn't mean a near punt price, but a few thousand dollar difference from a Stephen Curry.
Detroit gets the best fantasy matchup in basketball, the Brooklyn Nets. The backcourt is on the cheaper side, but they are unreliable. After strong games against the Knicks and Cavs ten days ago, he has been back to getting minutes in the mid-twenties. The good thing is he has taken 15 and 14 shots over the last two games, yet isn't shooting at a high percentage. There are safer options to target in cash games, but GPPs you can certainly fire away, if you have the stomach for it. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is on the cheaper side as well, and I prefer him a little more on FanDuel, where you are forced to roster two shooting guards. He is only $4,700, and does have 30 fantasy point upside, but also has a floor in the teens. The Nets allow the third most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.
With Dion Waiters out tonight, we for one get a full force Goran Dragic to target against his former team, but also some backup shooting guards. Josh Richardson is the preferred play over Wayne Ellington, given he has the higher ceiling of the two. The floors were about the same, yet I still prefer Richardson. The Suns are in the bottom half to opposing fantasy points allowed to shooting guards, and that Miami total is one to target.
Denzel Valentine has scored exactly 11 real points in each of the last four games, and 13 the game before. He should hover around that mark tonight, and generally can get around three assists or so. His effort against Utah should go noticed, given he locked down 12 rebounds against one of the better rebounding teams. Valentine is playing around 28-30 minutes. This is a tough matchup on paper, but
The Lakers are still offering up cheaper plays, like Brandon Ingram and Jordan Clarkson. We saw the D'Angelo Russell upside the other night, but Clarkson has been the safer option. I am curious to see the starting lineup tonight, and also keep an eye on the Clippers resting guys. This game could open up, and the spread isn't big enough to shy away from.
As far as bigs go, I have a hard time getting away from Jusuf Nurkic, who is only $6,700 on FanDuel, and $6,900 on DraftKings. Therefor I won't be dropping down low for center tonight. If you needed to, Greg Monroe is an interesting GPP pivot, especially if Antetokounmpo is out. Alan Williams is averaging 31.7 DK points per game over the last ten games, and is only $5,900. He is $5,700 on FanDuel, and is averaging 30.8.