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With guys like Russell Westbrook and James Harden dropping 60+ fantasy point games, they will be staples in the lineups for many of us. But... To grab those players, value is crucial in NBA, just like any other DFS sport. Value opens up through injuries, site pricing, and rotational changes. We are staying on top of the ever changing rotation, and injury news on a daily basis. Value plays will be given based on game type, and also mid-range options in comparison to the top-priced guys. Sometimes value doesn't mean a near punt price, but a few thousand dollar difference from a Stephen Curry.
Two cheap point guards stand out tonight in a five game slate. Ish Smith will be the most popular, getting a Brooklyn team he dropped 30 fantasy points on just a few nights ago. They rank 30th against opposing point guards, and Detroit's 108 team total is well over their seasonal average. Smith should see around 30 minutes tonight, and has taken over the starting role in Detroit. Kris Dunn is the other cheap point guard, and is near bare minimum still on both sites. His defensive stats have helped him hit a higher ceiling, but seeing 25 minutes against the Lakers backcourt defense should have him easily hit five or six times value.
Back to Detroit, they bring a lot of mid range options to the table tonight. Kentavious Caldwell Pope is below $5,000 on FanDuel, and has been around 30 fantasy points in two games against Brooklyn this season. He has been wildly inconsistent this season, but I do like him here. Brooklyn is the best matchup in fantasy to target. His teammate Tobias Harris is also a solid mid-range option on both sites. Brooklyn ranks bottom five against power forwards, and in rebounding. Harris posted his second highest fantasy outing of the month against Brooklyn. Gorgui Dieng is another cheaper power forward to go after against a cupcake Lakers defense.
The Clippers are 9.5 point favorites, and have a 114 team total. I am still waiting for some possible news to drop there. This is a possible rest situation, which means we could see any of the big three have a night off. If that is the case, Jamal Crawford and Raymond Felton will see sizable boosts in minutes and usage. Austin Rivers is already ruled out, so we don't need to worry about him. Crawford may even get some run in the blowout, and is not a bad GPP target. Griffin and Jordan rested a few games ago, so I expect them to play tonight. Griffin sees a team high usage when Paul is off the court.
With Ryan Anderson out, we have seen both Eric Gordon and Lou Williams pick up a majority of his minutes. Trevor Ariza slides to the four, which is a position Portland struggles against. He has put up over 30 fantasy points in each of the last two games, and put up 45 against OKC. His nine steals in those two games are a large part of his success. However, the shot is falling for a streaky Ariza. Gordon and Williams are largely just tournament plays on most nights, but I don't mind them with solidified minutes on a small five game slate. If Clint Capela can get 25 to 28 minutes, he will easy hit value. He has put up 25+ fantasy points in five straight games, and Portland is middle of the road against centers.
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