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GPP Plays are about finding low ownership and high ceilings to help take down a major tournament. We highlight two high-priced, mid-priced, and low-priced plays across the Main Slate. Be sure to check out our new revamped Colossus lineup optimizer.
High-Priced Picks
Giannis Antetokounmpo (PG/SG/SF), Milwaukee Bucks | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
PHI | 38 | 1.24 | 17 | 29.33 | 39 | 108.75 | 42.9/47.1 |
Salary: FD: $11,900 / DK: $10,600
Giannis is one of my favorite plays each and every night and his last start against the Sixers was slowed significantly when he got into foul trouble. Hs fouls were largely on Joel Embiid however, and he is not in action tonight. Tonight he faces the 17th ranked team in DvP, but Antetokounmpo has proven he is essentially matchup proof. This should be a fast paced and high scoring game which Giannis tends to excel in. We have him projected for a 4.5X tonight, but with a very high ceiling especially if this game remains close.
Kevin Durant (SF), Golden State Warriors | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
@CHA | 36 | 1.31 | 22 | 26.82 | 44.6 | 116.5 | 43.2/47.2 |
Salary: FD: $11,800 / DK: $9,400
Durant edges out Lebron James for me tonight and isn't priced too outrageously. Projected for a 5X is good enough at this price and Durant has the ceiling to score 50 plus every night. The hope is the Hornets can hang with the Warriors for most of the game. As of now the Warriors are favored by 10 and this could be a blowout for sure. Durant should produce plenty either way, and blowout risk could keep his ownership low.
Mid-Priced Picks
Kemba Walker (PG), Charlotte Hornets | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
GSW | 36 | 1.19 | 14 | 30.21 | 54 | 106.5 | 38.2/42.8 |
Salary: FD: $9,000 / DK: $7,900
Kemba may not have been fantastic in has last few games, but tonight's game should produce good results for Walker at home. The Warriors are allowing 54 points to the point guard position and Kemba should rise up for this game. If they can keep it close through 4 quarters Walker should meet his value. A near 5.5X value should be adequate enough for GPP and With so many other options, some chalkier than others Walker could be low owned. Plenty of risk as well.
Paul Millsap (PF), Atlanta Hawks | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
CHI | 36 | 1.14 | 23 | 25.07 | 48.2 | 102 | 37.8/41.0 |
Salary: FD:$9,600/ DK: $7,800
Millsap has been as consistent as they come averaging 38.9 DK points a game. Tonight he faces a Bulls team with the 23rd ranked DvP against the position. It is worth noting DvP is not the best source for DFS data, but if Millsap has an optimal matchup his likelihood to exceed value tonight. A 5.26X projection tonight with a higher ceiling in this matchup should be a solid GPP or cash game play. Millsap tends to get overlooked nightly in ownership.
Low-Priced Picks
Jordan Clarkson (PG/SG), Los Angeles Lakers | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
POR | 33 | 0.98 | 9 | 22.29 | 52.6 | 105.75 | 28.4/32.3 |
Salary: FD:$5,900 / DK: $4,900
Value play at point guard can typically be risky, and Clarkson fits the bill tonight. He should however, get plenty of minutes tonight and the Blazers although ranked 9th in DvP are not as good defensively lately. Clarkson is projected for a 6.3X value tonight, and I think he can certainly hit that if not exceed it if he plays more than 33 minutes.
Nerlens Noel (PF/C), Philadelphia 76ers | |||||||
Opponent | Minutes | Fantasy Points Per Minute | DvP | Usage Rate | Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed | Vegas Team Total | Projection (FD/DK) |
MIL | 29 | 1.1 | 9 | 18.42 | 47.1 | 98.25 | 29.9/31.9 |
Salary: FD: $5,100 / DK: $4,300
Noel started in his last game with both Joel Embiid and Jahlil Okafor missing time. Tonight looks to be another night where Noel should be starting and heavily involved. This game should be an interesting one, and although one of the lower scoring contests of the night should remain close until late. The Bucks are favored by 10.5, so the risk of Noel not playing a full 30 minutes is there, but bench depth is not on the 76ers side tonight. 6X plus potential if you are paying down at Center is always nice.
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