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One Day Fantasy Baseball One Day Fantasy Baseball

After an ugly 10-game slate last night, we have an ugly five-game slate on tap for tonight. As of right now, there are very few value options to choose from, so monitoring the news is going to be imperitive to roster construction today if we want to squeeze in a few of the higher priced options on the board. Tonight's matchup between the Timberwolves and Warriors is projected to be the highest scoring game of the night, however there is some blowout concern in that matchup.

Jusuf Nurkic, C, Portland Trail Blazers

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

291153053.527%35.5836.28

DK Salary: $6,800 / FD Salary: $8,500

Ownership will likely reflect higher on DraftKings tonight, given Jusuf Nurkic has an excellent price tag, where on FanDuel he is a bit higher in price. Both sites he is in play, but I won't deny the bargain on DraftKings. Nurkic had a stretch of three 40+ fantasy point games before running into Memphis, and will look to get back on track against Brooklyn tonight. The only downside to this matchup is the potential blowout risk, but Portland is still going to be playable in all formats. Brooklyn ranks 30th in defensive efficiency against centers this season, and are bottom five in rebounding. Nurkic has averaged 5.1 offensive rebound chances per game this season and completes 1.5 of them. Brooklyn is a team that ranks inside the bottom five in opposing offensive rebounds, allowing 10.6 per game. Nurkic will have solid looks at some second chance points, in addition to his offense down low. Brooklyn is allowing the most fantasy points per game to centers so far this season, which isn't exactly a shocker. Nurkic has a matchup to put up 40+ fantasy points here, and is one of the few Portland guys you can get exposure to this evening.

Aaron Gordon, SF/PF, Orlando Magic

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

113284623%32.1631.70

DK Salary: $7,600 / FD Salary: $7,800

This game is going to be a terrific spot for fantasy points today, and Aaron Gordon is one of the Orlando players usable in this matchup. The pace of play for Phoenix and overall defensive efficiency makes them bleed fantasy points to the opposition. Gordon has taken a major step this season, and while shooting over 50% is something that will not continue, I don't see it dropping off much tonight. Phoenix are allowing power forwards to shoot over 50% from the field this season and are also allowing the tenth most rebounds per game. Gordon isn't shooting a ton, but is efficient enough to keep up the production of nearly 20 points per game. He continues to rebound well, averaging eight per game, and can rack up steals every now and then.

Marcus Smart, SG/SF, Boston Celtics

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

103643.420%29.7629.44

DK Salary: $5,700 / FD Salary: $5,900

With Al Horford ruled out, we should see Marcus Smart play more minutes at the two as Jaylen Brown moves to the three. We also need to keep an eye on Jayson Tatum's status for tonight, opening up some more minutes for Marcus Morris. Smart played 35 minutes in the last game against the Lakers, and 30+ should be the same here. While he is not a scorer, Smart can rack up defensive stats and dish out assists. The Hornets have struggled against shooting guards this season, despite the DvP number above. They are allowing the sixth most fantasy points per game and rank 23rd in defensive efficiency. Smart is cheap enough where if he falls around 25 fantasy points he won't kill you, but I am looking for 30+ out of him in tournaments tonight.

Darren Collison, PG, Indiana Pacers

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

28

103205117%24.9224.49

DK Salary: $6,000 / FD Salary: $5,700

Darren Collison has either been on or off this season, and a frustrating player to roster. He is in a sneaky spot tonight, as this Pacers-Bulls game doesn't exactly scream fantasy points in comparison to some of the others. Indiana still has a 103 total, and Chicago ranks 25th in defensive efficiency against point guards this season. Collison's minutes tend to fluctuate with how well he is playing. Chicago is allowing the fourth most assists per game to opposing point guard this season, and Collison is averaging seven per game on the year. The Bulls pace of play is more at large for the fantasy points they allow in comparison to their defense. Collison has taken advantage of good matchups this season, and this is certainly one of them.

T.J. Warren, SF/PF, Phoenix Suns

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

30

110173726%28.6629.18

DK Salary: $6,300 / FD Salary: $6,800

On the Suns side we tend to look towards T.J. Warren and Devin Booker as the high upside plays, and that resides tonight. If Tyson Chandler is out tonight, we can look to ride the Alex Len rollercoaster again, but it isn't a must. Warren is the guy I am looking at in the mid-range, as small forward lacks an exciting play outside of Greek Freak. Phoenix has a monster 110 total as two lackluster defenses play up in pace in Phoenix. Orlando ranks 18th in defensive efficiency this season, and are 26th in rebounding. Warren rebounds better against the bottom tier rebounding teams this season, which adds to his ceiling given we know what his offensive production can be. The Magic are allowing are allowing small forwards to shoot 46% from the field this season.



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