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After an exciting 9-game slate last night, we have only three games to watch tonight. None of them are that great, so the options are fairly limited, and we have a lot of injury news that could impact this slate. The status of Kyrie needs to be monitored, as that will open up some excellent mid-range point guard options and Norman Powell being out will open things up in Toronto. James Harden is obviously the top play on tonight's slate, so I am not going to write him up here.

LaMarcus Aldridge, PF/C, San Antonio Spurs

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

35 103.75 20 42.2 29.62 37.45 38.15

DK Salary: $8,500 / FD Salary: $8,700

While I anticipate Aldridge to carry a hefty amount of ownership, I still think Aldridge makes an excellent GPP option because of the upside he possesses in tonight's matchup against the Mavericks. Not only are the Mavericks one of the worst defenses in the NBA, surrendering 107.4 points per game, 47.1 rebounds, 40.6 points in the paint, 12.2 second-chance points, and are allowing opponents to shoot 47.3 percent from the floor. They are also allowing opponents to shoot 68.1 percent at the rim, and 43 percent in the paint, where Aldridge is attempting roughly 60 percent of his shots this season. The Mavericks rank 20th in efficiency against power forwards this season, allowing a massive 42.2 fantasy points per game to them, and I anticipate a huge game out of him tonight.

DeMar DeRozan, SG/SF, Toronto Raptors

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

34

106.5

19

39.4

32.84

38.96

38.61

DK Salary: $8,300 / FD Salary: $8,100

DeMar DeRozan is one of the most frustrating players to roster in NBA DFS, but tonight he comes in as one of my top GPP options on the board. DeRozan finds himself in a fast-paced matchup against the Rockets, who are allowing 41 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards, and will find himself on the receiving end of extra usage with Norman Powell out of the mix. In 165.3 minutes without Powell on the floor this season, DeRozan is posting a 41 percent usage rate, an increase of 7.3 percent, and is averaging 1.35 fantasy points per minute. He is attempting an extra 5.7 field goals per 36 minutes with Powell off the floor and I expect him to be chucking tonight. He is never going to be a guy that racks up rebounds and assists, so that makes his floor unsafe, but he has crushed the Rockets in the past and can do so again tonight.

Al Horford, C, Boston Celtics

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

31

-

27

55.4

20

33.29

33.04

DK Salary: $7,600 / FD Salary: $7,800

The status of Irving will make Horford an even better play on tonight's slate, as he sees a usage increase of 5.2 percent with Irving off the floor this season, but I like Horford even if Irving plays. Horford has been an incredibly consistent option for the Celtics this season, averaging 35.9 fantasy points per game, while failing to eclipse 30 DraftKings points in only two of his 12 games this season. Going against a Brooklyn team that is giving up 114.5 points, 49.5 rebounds, 42.7 points in the paint, and allowing opponents to shoot 46.1 percent from the floor, Horford should have no problems breaking the 40-point barrier and has legitimate 50-point upside against a horrid Brooklyn defense.

Wesley Matthews, SG/SF, Dallas Mavericks

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

35

97.75

17

41.6

15.63

25.69

24.93

DK Salary: $4,700 / FD Salary: $5,100

Wesley Matthews has been an absolute shell of himself for the majority of the season but tonight I think he can bust out and put up a solid game against the Spurs. Normally, targeting the Spurs isn't a profitable venture, but they have struggled at time against perimeter spot up shooters like Matthews, which is why I am looking his way tonight. The Spurs are allowing opponents to shoot 43 percent on corner threes this season, where Matthews is attempting almost 20 percent of his threes this season. He is shooting 54 percent on his corner threes this season, and I think he can knock down an extra few to boost his value tonight. The combination of his minutes and the opportunity to knock down a few extra shots has him on my radar in this spot.



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