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After an ugly 10-game slate last night, we have an ugly five-game slate on tap for tonight. As of right now, there are very few value options to choose from, so monitoring the news is going to be imperitive to roster construction today if we want to squeeze in a few of the higher priced options on the board. Tonight's matchup between the Timberwolves and Warriors is projected to be the highest scoring game of the night, however there is some blowout concern in that matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis, PF/C, New York Knicks

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

33 104.5 27 53.4 35.5 37.90 38.87

DK Salary: $9,500 / FD Salary: $9,800

Going into last night's game against Charlotte, Kristaps led the NBA in in usage rate at 35.5 percent and he also led the NBA in field-goal attempts per game at 22.2. Porzingis was averaging 30.2 points per game heading into that contest, and he was averaging 46.8 DraftKings points per game. While Kristaps didn't have a great game against the Hornets, he did put up 28 points with five rebounds for 41.25 DraftKings points.

Tonight, Kristaps gets a significantly better matchup against an Orlando Magic squad that is surrendering the second-most fantasy points in the NBA to opposing power forwards at 53.49 per game. The Magic are allowing opponents to pull down 46.9 rebounds per game, while also allowing them to score over 106 points and 50.2 points in the paint. Not only do the Magic struggle to defend the roll man in pick-and-rolls, where Kristaps is averaging 1.38 points per play, but they also struggle to defend post ups where he is one of the most effective big men in the NBA.

Stephen Curry, PG, Golden State Warriors

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

31

120

27

56.7

28.41

45.74

43.91

DK Salary: $9,300 / FD Salary: $9,500

Stephen Curry gets an elite matchup against a team that is allowing 56.7 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards, the third highest mark in the NBA, and is also allowing opponents to shoot 49.5 percent from the floor this season. Curry, who has averaged over 16 field-goal attempts per game this season, should be able to light up the scoreboard tonight. Curry's 28.41 percent usage rate is the highest mark on the team, with Kevin Durant trailing him at 27 percent, so we can feel confident that the offense will continue to flow through him tonight, making him an excellent, high-upside option against the terrible Timberwolves defense.

Andre Drummond, C, Detroit Pistons

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

34

-

22

47.4

19.23

42.67

43.48

DK Salary: $8,400 / FD Salary: $9,400

Drummond is an elite rebounder against a poor rebounding team, and does an excellent job posting up defenders and scoring in the paint. Drummond is a consistent double-double machine and has at least 90 games of at least 15 points and 15 rebounds in his career. Going up against a Pacers squad that has mobile big men that can pull Drummond out of the paint, and give him fits on the offensive end, I do have a little concern about him, but he still has the ability to put up a huge game tonight.

In addition to Drummond's ability to rack up double-doubles against just about anyone, he has finally shaken his free throw problem and is hitting 75 percent of his attempts from the line this season. Because of his ability to hit free throws, teams are unable to play “Hack-A-Drummond" with him which is allowing him to stay on the floor for more minutes. Drummond has played at least 34 minutes in six of the Pistons' 10 games this season and he has notched at least 14 rebounds in six of those 10 games as well.

The Indiana Pacers are allowing 44.2 rebounds per game to opponents, but more importantly, they are allowing a league-high 51.2 points in the paint and 14.2 second-chance points to opponents. They are in the top-eigh of fantasy points allowed to opposing centers, 47.4, and have been abused all season by big men that can crash the glass.

Dion Waiters, SG/SF, Miami Heat

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

33

109.25

29

47.3

23.81

33.66

32.34

DK Salary: $5,700 / FD Salary: $6,000

Attacking the Phoenix Suns with shooters has been a profitable strategy this season, and as much as it hurts me to write these words, I think Dion Waiters is the perfect player to do that with tonight. Now, I know it is a Goran Dragic revenge game tonight and I know that will be what most people talk about tonight, which leads me to believe Waiters could go under owned on tonight's slate. The Phoenix Suns have allowed opponents to shoot 47.1 percent from the floor this season, including 39.5 percent from three-point range, which is a perfect storm for someone like Waiters who loves to shoot. Waiters has the second-highest usage rate on the team at 23.81 percent and is attempting the second-most field goal attempts per game at 14.5. Waiters has been incredibly inefficient this season, shooting only 44.8 percent from the floor and 29.5 percent from three, but as we saw against Minnesota a few games ago, he has a ton of upside against teams that allow opponents to shoot at high percentages.

Marcus Smart, PG/SG, Boston Celtics

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

26

108.5

24

47

20.93

24.17

24.26

DK Salary: $5,300 / FD Salary: $5,900

Without many great value options on tonight's slate, we are going to be forced to attack things a little differently. With the Lakers heading to Boston in what should be a fairly high-scoring game, I am going to target Marcus Smart, as I think he provides a safe floor while also presenting us with a fair amount of upside. Smart continues to see his minutes hover around the 26-30 range most night, and he should get extended run with the reserves if this game gets out of hand early. Smart's shooting struggles should be masked tonight by a Lakers' defense that is allowing opponents to shoot over 45 percent from the floor, and he should easily notch 5+ boards against them, as they are allowing opposing guards to pull down 24 rebounds per game. In addition to the extra rebounds Smart should be able to pull down, he is also likely to rack up a few extra steals tonight, as the Lakers are allowing a league-high five steals per game to opposing guards. This is a spot were I could easily see Smart notch a 35+ point effort against a bad Lakers team.



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