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All-Star week is upon us and we have a light schedule to kick the week off. There are only six games on tap tonight, but that doesn't mean there aren't some great games to target! We have three games with projected totals over 220 points, with the Suns at Warriors coming in at a massive 232.5, and only one game under 205 points. The Pistons, Sixers, Clippers, Bulls, and Warriors all have team totals over 110 points, making them some excellent teams to target tonight. With the All-Star break just a few days away, paying attention to "rest" and phantom injuries is imperative, as teams may let some players sit to give them extra rest heading into the break.

Andre Drummond, C, Detroit Pistons

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

34 111.25 17 49.1 25.37 44.47 45.19

DK Salary: $10,100 / FD Salary: $10,800

I am sure that you all are tired of seeing Andre Drummond in my GPP articles, but much like Dwight Howard and Steven Adams, I just can't quit him. Drummond has continued to be a dominant force, despite the addition of Blake Griffin, and he has now eclipsed 50 fantasy points in four of his last five games. He topped 60 fantasy points with two huge outings against the Heat and Nets, as well, and is in a spot to do that again tonight as the Pelicans fly into the Motor City for tonight's matchup. One of my biggest concerns with the Blake Griffin addition to the Pistons was that it would hurt Drummond's usage, and while his usage of late has declined slightly, he is still posting a 24.8 percent usage rate over the last six games, and Griffin has certainly not eaten into his rebounding numbers, as Drummond has pulled down at least 20 boards in two of his last five games and 17, 17, 15 in the other three. Drummond ranks second in the NBA in second-chance points with 5.5 per game, is sixth in points in the paint with 12, and his 11.7 paint touches per game ranks him second. Although the Pelicans look like a league-average matchup for Drummond on paper, ranking 17th in fantasy points allowed, the picture since Cousins went down is drastically different. Since losing Cousins to a season-ending injury, the Pelicans are giving up a league-high 52 rebounds per game, the fourth-most points in the paint with 49.7, and a league-high 18 second-chance points per game. For a quick reference, the second-place team in second-chance points, the Brooklyn Nets are giving up only 16.4 per game and the Suns rank 29th in rebounds allowed to opponents at 48 per game. All in all, things line up for Drummond to absolutely crush tonight.

DeAndre Jordan, C, Los Angeles Clippers

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

113.75

30

53

14.38

44.37

35.20

DK Salary: $7,200 / FD Salary: $7,800

If Andre Drummond is just a little too expensive for your liking, which definitely could be the case depending on roster construction, or if you want to roll out a two center lineup on DraftKings, then DeAndre Jordan is a fantastic option to consider. He finally broke out last game against the Sixers with 10 points and 21 rebounds, marking the first time in four games that he eclipsed the double-digit point threshold. That being said, he does have at least six field-goal attempts in seven straight games, so the opportunity for him to score is there if he can just connect on those attempts. That shouldn't be an issue tonight, as the Clippers take on the lowly Brooklyn Nets. Over his last four games, Jordan is averaging a whopping 16.8 rebounds per game, and he has 21 and 17 boards over the last two games. One thing that should boost his ceiling tonight is his block upside, as the Nets are allowing a league-high 5.8 blocks per game to opponents on the season. In addition to blocks, the Nets are surrendering a league-high 46.2 rebounds per game to opponents and 13.3 second-chance points on the season. Jordan is averaging 3.7 second-chance points per game on the season, and I could easily see that number going up tonight after this juicy matchup. As we know, the Nets are a dream matchup for opposing big men, as they allow a league-high 53 fantasy points per game to opposing centers, but over the course of the season, a total of 13 starting centers have eclipsed 6x value against them. That is a staggering number, and it should be 14 tonight after DeAndre eats them alive in the paint.

Evan Fournier, SG/SF, Orlando Magic

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

105

22

39.5

23.77

28.80

27.52

DK Salary: $6,100 / FD Salary: $6,600

I have been waiting for the right day to play Fournier, at least since Elfrid was shipped out of town, and today is that day! Fournier hasn't put up staggering numbers since Elfird was traded, averaging only 28 fantasy points in the two games since, but he has eclipsed 20 points in both of those games, and he has posted 14 and 15 field goal attempts as well. With Gordon, Elfrid, and the other injured Orlando players off the floor, Fournier is posting a 28.5 percent usage rate and averaging 1.05 fantasy points per minute. He is one of the best spot-up shooters in the NBA, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players, and averaging 3.8 points per game on spot ups. He is also averaging 2.9 points per game in transition, and I will get to why both of those numbers are important in a bit. He has shot over 50 percent from the floor in three-straight games, and he has played at least 30 minutes in two of his last three. He gets a matchup against a Bulls team that has been downright awful on defense of late, allowing 111.7 points per game and 46.5 percent shooting over the last ten games, and they rank 22nd in fantasy points allowed to shooting guards, giving up 39.5 per game. They are a 24th percentile defense against spot-up shooters, allowing 24.7 points per game to opponents, and they are the league's worst defense defending opponents in transition, allowing 17.8 points per game and 57.3 percent shooting in transition. Because of Fournier's increased usage, and the matchup, I think this lines up as an outstanding spot to lock him in.

Zach LaVine, PG/SG, Chicago Bulls

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

32

110

30

49.9

31.41

38.72

37.76

DK Salary: $6,900 / FD Salary: $8,200

I will admit that LaVine's price is a little unappealing on FanDuel, and it will be tough for him to pay it off in tournaments, but in a matchup against the Orlando Magic, I am willing to overlook that. LaVine has been fully unleashed, at least from a minutes standpoint, and has played at least 30 minutes in three-straight games and his production has improved over that time. He has at least 18 field goal attempts in those three games, has eclipsed 40 fantasy points in two of those games, and has shot 44 percent from the floor over that span. He has eclipsed 20 points in four-straight games and has five or more rebounds in two of the last three. He has posted a team-high 32.3 percent usage rate over his last ten games, and while continue his high usage ways tonight as Mirotic is no longer on the team and there is a decent chance that Kris Dunn is unable to suit up again. Opponents are shooting over 47 percent from the floor against Orlando this season, so he should have no issues connecting on his staggering number of field goal attempts, and they have allowed opponents to shoot 66.5 percent at the rim, where LaVine is attempting 41 percent of his shots this season. The Magic have allowed opposing shooting guards to rack up 49.9 fantasy points per game against them on the season, the ourth-highest mark in the NBA, and despite ranking fourth in defensive efficiency over the last ten games, LaVine should have no issues putting up a big game in this spot.

D'Angelo Russell, PG/SG, Brooklyn Nets

Projected Minutes

Team Total

DvP

FPPG Allowed

Usage Rate

DK Projection

FD Projection

30

109.25

19

45.1

32.96

34.20

33.00

DK Salary: $5,600 / FD Salary: $5,400

Whether Russell's minutes restriction has been lifted, or it was a result of the overtime game against New Orleans, but D'Angelo played 32 minutes last game and his production in those minutes was outstanding. Russell posted 41.75 fantasy points in 32 minutes and he did so by scoring 21 points with nine rebounds and five assists. He connected on five three-points, on 13 attempts, and shot 7-of-18 from the floor overall. He has been spending a lot of time playing alongside Spencer Dinwiddie but that hasn't stopped him from eating up a ton of usage, as he has posted a 32.5 percent usage rate over the last ten games. The Clippers have been terrible defending opposing guards this season, ranking 20th in defensive efficiency to opposing backcourts, and have allowed 46 points, 12.8 rebounds, 13.2 assists, 41.6 percent shooting, and 34.5 percent shooting from beyond-the-arc. Over the last ten games, those numbers have been much worse and they rank 26th in the NBA against opposing backcourts and they have connected on 36.6 percent of three-point attempts during that span. If Russell is going to attempt double-digit three-pointers again tonight, the upside is through the roof. It is unknown, as of this writing, if Russell will see 30-plus minutes again tonight, and we may not know before lock if he will, but considering his price across the industry he is definitely worth taking a flier on.



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