NBA GPP Green Light 2-6-18

We have a wonderful eight-game slate on tap tonight, with plenty of fun games to watch, headlined by the OKC Thunder heading to the Bay Area to take on the Warriors! Every game on the slate is projected with a total over 200 points, with two games over 220 and one game (OKC at GSW) that has climbed into the 230s! The Warriors, Thunder, Rockets, and Cavs all have team totals over 110 points, while the Sixers and Magic fall just shy at 109.75 and 108 points. Of course, we have plenty of injuries to keep an eye on, but with Aaron Gordon, Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Lonzo Ball, and Devin Booker already ruled out, we have a strong foundation to start our research with. We are now just two days away from the February 8th trade deadline and things should start to get interesting over the next day or so. Make sure you are paying very close attention to news, rumors, and chatter around the league by turning on tweet notifications for @Wojespn, @ShamsCharania, @WindhorstESPN, and @TheSteinLine to make sure you get all that information pushed directly to you the moment they happen.

DK Salary: $9,500 / FD Salary: $10,100

The Process has been fully unleashed in Philly, as Embiid played his first career back-to-back over the weekend, and his minutes restriction has also been lifted. He has played at least 30 minutes in nine of his last ten games, and has at least 20 points with 10 rebounds in five of those ten games. He continues to dominate the team's usage with a 34.33 percent usage rate and has at least 15 field goal attempts in nine of his last ten games. The defensive stats have been there for him, as well, as he has notched multiple blocks and steals in five of the last ten games. He has dominated the Wizards twice already this season, with an average of 49.4 fantasy points in 29.3 minutes, and should easily dominate them again tonight. The Wizards have been a solid interior defense for the majority of the season, ranking 10th in fantasy points allowed, but over the last ten games they rank 18th in defensive efficiency to the position, surrendering 18.5 points and 15.2 rebounds over that span, and have given up 52.59 fantasy points per game to centers over their last 12 outings. They especially struggle against post-up players, ranking as a 31st percentile defense against the play, and Embiid is posting up on a whopping 44 percent of his possessions this season. If you would like to get some cheaper exposure to this game, you can make a pivot to Ben Simmons who has played much better of late and has crushed the Wizards in his two previous games against them.

DK Salary: $5,000 / FD Salary: $5,300

The days of Kentavious Caldwell-Pope playing 35+ minutes for the Lakers are long gone, and he has been extremely limited the past two games, but tonight's matchup against the Phoenix Suns is just too good to pass up. He is really cheap across the industry and is coming off a stretch of games where he has posted at least 25 fantasy points in two of his last four games and has double-digit field goal attempts in those games. He hasn't done much in the way of peripherals recently, which makes him risky, but this is a matchup he has managed to exploit twice already this season. He is averaging 32.3 fantasy points in 35 minutes in those two previous games, with seven boards and 14 points per game. Over the last ten games, Phoenix has allowed opposing shooting guards to rack up 28.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 6.6 assists, to go along with 2.4 steals, so my hope is that he is able to break out with a solid game here. The Suns have been the worst team in the NBA defending opposing shooting guards this season, giving up 43.5 fantasy points per game to them, so why not hop on and hope for the best?

DK Salary: $5,000 / FD Salary: $5,400

It is entirely possible that Andrew Harrison ends up being chalk tonight, as the Memphis Grizzlies take on the Atlanta Hawks, and that's okay because this is a great spot for him. Harrison has been handed the reigns as the starting PG for the Grizzlies with Conley out and Tyreke Evans benched until the trade deadline, and he has been outstanding for this team. Harrison has eclipsed 30 minutes in three of his last four games, with the fourth game being a foul-riddled performance against the Pacers, and he has eclipsed 25 fantasy points in four-straight outings. He recently posted 36.5 fantasy points against the Pistons and dropped 29.75 against the Suns and 28.5 against Toronto. While those numbers don't jump off the page, it is important to note that he has double-digit field goal attempts in three of the last four games, and has back-to-back games with five three-point attempts. He has connected on 50 percent of his field-goal attempts in three of the last four games, as well, and has notched at least four rebounds in four straight games while racking up six or more assists in three of the last four. He has posted a usage rate of 26.4 percent, while averaging .87 fantasy points per minute, with Conley, Parson, Evans, and Deyonta Davis off the floor. He faces an Atlanta Hawks team that ranks 25th in fantasy points allowed to point guards this season, giving up 47.2, and is one of the worst teams in the NBA defending the pick-and-roll. Atlanta ranks as a 13.8 percentile defense against the pick-and-roll ball handler, allowing 16.1 points per game to the play, and Harrison is operating as the ball-handler in the pick-and-roll on 43.4 percent of possessions. He is spotting up on an additional 20 percent of his possessions, and the Hawks are giving up 23.9 points per game on spot ups. He has flashed plenty of upside before, and at his current salary, just needs to hit 30 fantasy points to hit value.

DK Salary: $4,700 / FD Salary: $4,200

The Houston Rockets head to Brooklyn to take on the Nets tonight, and of course, we will see James Harden and Chris Paul steal the ownership spotlight. Anderson, however, may come in as one of the lower-owned options from the Houston side of this game, and he absolutely shouldn't be overlooked here. Obviously, some people will be on him after he dropped 37 fantasy points against the Cavaliers, which is fine, as he should be able to build off that outstanding performance in this spot. This game is being played away from Houston, so Anderson has that working for him, but the Nets are going to be without Rondae Hollis-Jefferson tonight, giving us another reason to like Anderson. The Nets are one of the worst teams in the NBA defending opposing power forwards, giving up the sixth-most fantasy points (48.41) to the position but over the last ten games they have ranked 30th in defensive efficiency, giving up 25.6 points, 11.9 rebounds, four assists, and a combined 2.6 blocks and steals. Over that span, opposing power forwards have connected on 42.2 percent of their attempts from beyond-the-arc and 47.5 percent of their overall attempts. They are the fourth-worst team in the NBA defending opposing spot-up shooters, giving up 17.3 points per game and 41.5 percent shooting to them, and Anderson is spotting up on 36 percent of his attempts. He should have no issues posting a big game against the Nets tonight and is just too cheap for the upside he has in this matchup.

DK Salary: $3,500 / FD Salary: $4,100

We have reached the point in today's article where I take a shot at a cheap option that could end up crushing his salary, assuming you are willing to take the risk. The Orlando Magic guard rotation has been a hassle of late, with all three guards getting run as Frank Vogel is riding the "hot hand", but it does seem like things have stabilized for Augustin. He played 23 minutes last night, racking up 25.25 fantasy points against the Heat, and has seen 25, 21, 28, and 20 minutes in the previous four outings. He has posted double-digit field goal attempts in three of his last four games and has scored in double figures in four-straight games. He has been solid against the Cavaliers in their three previous meetings, posting 22.7 fantasy points in 23.1 minutes, and would need to hit around 25 fantasy points tonight to crush value. For a player like Augustin, 25 fantasy points is easily attainable, as he has hit that mark twice over his last four games. The Magic are facing off against a Cavaliers team that is reeling from another blowout loss and they have posted a 109.4 defensive rating this season. Cleveland is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points (46.7) per game to point guards this season and the sixth-most (42.42) to shooting guards. I don't mind attacking the Cavaliers with more than one Magic player tonight, so Mario Hezonja, Evan Fournier, Elfrid Payton, and Shelvin Mack can also be considered.