Winners From Downtown is bringing the top daily picks for your cash games, alongside some value plays, and Vegas notes. Be sure to check out our minutes tool, and Colossus lineup optimizer.

Projections show DraftKings prices and fantasy points.

Vegas Notes

- As the trend has been this season, we have a nice full slate of games on Monday with 20 teams in action. As of this morning, there is no line or total for Memphis/Portland or Charlotte/Golden State as we await injury news on some key players.

- The highest posted total belongs to Kings-Thunder, and by a wide margin. The total is 218.5, with the Thunder listed as 11.5-point favorites.

- The lowest total on the slate is a toss-up between three games: Raptors-Cavaliers (192.5, -8), Pacers-Heat (191.5, -2), and Spurs-Bucks (192, +10).

Top Picks

Brook Lopez (C), Nets

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

vs BOS

331.1326.426.951.997.2537.29

Salary: FD: $8,700 DK: $7,500

I know we mention the price difference with BroLo all the time, but his DK price makes him a near auto-play for me in this spot against a Boston team that he has averaged 22/10 against and over 38 DK points per contest in 3 matchups this season. On FD, he makes for more of a GPP play due to his inflated price, but that's not to say that his price isn't justified. He has at least 42 DK points in 6 of his last 7 games, and is coming off of his best 2-game stretch of the season, where he averaged 27/14/2/3 blocks against Orlando and this same Boston team. With Jarrett Jack now out for the season, expect him to take on an even bigger usage rate in the Nets' offense.

Russell Westbrook (PG), Thunder

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

vs SAC371.5125.533.850114.7555.87

Salary: FD: $10,700 DK: $10,700

I can't even hide my excitement to watch Westbrook take on Rajon Rondo and the Kings tonight. The Kings rank 28th this season against opposing PG, and dead last over their last 5 games. Westy already carved them up once this season, with a 19/11/10 triple-double with 3 steals that was good for 57.25 DK points. He has an incredible floor, and legitimate 60+ FP upside in this one. I'll be rolling him out in all formats, as he is my top option by a wide margin. The Thunder have the highest team total (at the moment) and are playing in the game with the highest overall total as well (at the moment). Fade at your own risk, despite the huge slate.

Ricky Rubio (PG), Timberwolves

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

at PHI

351.0724.318.148.3105.2537.45

Salary: FD: $7,700 DK: $7,100

Once again, Rubio finds his way into the cash game article due to his stellar play and high floor. He is a low-usage point guard, which isn't generally a good thing. However, Rubio's ability to stuff the stat sheet makes him a solid cash game play even when his shot isn't falling. In fact, he has shot just 17/44 over his last 5 games, but has averaged nearly 40 DK points per contest in that span. The 76ers remain one of the worst teams in the NBA, and are allowing the 9th-most fantasy points per game to opposing PG over their last 5 contests. Rubio is a great floor/ceiling combo tonight.

Jae Crowder (SF), Celtics

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

at BKN340.8524.117.942.2104.7528.90

Salary: FD: $5,900 DK: $6,200

Listen, I'm not saying Crowder is the #1 option at SF, but on a point-per-dollar basis, he is one of my favorite. I'm not going to sit here and simply list the top-priced options at each position, but Jae may just be my favorite mid-range play so that I can fit in guys like Westbrook. Crowder has at least 30 DK points in 6 of his last 7 contests, and is coming off a solid 33.25 FP line against these same Nets. He contributes across the board, so he can find ways to reach value without scoring many real points. With that being said, he has taken double-digit shots and scored double-digit real points in 9 of his last 10 games. He's a very safe option at SF tonight.

Chris Bosh (PF), Heat

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

vs IND

341.0619.524.340.396.7536.04

Salary: FD: $7,500 DK: $7,500

If you haven't seen Bosh and his stellar play of late, it may be time to take note. He has at least 40 FP in 5 of his last 8 contests, and at least 31 in 2 of the other 3. Indiana has been very good against PF this season, but Bosh's ability to stretch the floor will make him a tough cover once again. He has had no issues against the Pacers this season, averaging 22/10 and over 43 DK points per game in 2 matchups.

Value Plays

Shane Larkin (PG - BKN) FD: $4,500 DK: $4,400

This play may make you sick to your stomach, and on FD you still have the option to go cheap with Ish Smith ($5,700), but Ish isn't on my cash game radar on DK, where he is nearly $7,000. The unfortunate injury to Jarrett Jack will leave him out for the season, which means that Larkin will see extended run once again. In games where he has played at least 25 minutes, Larkin's DK totals are 25.75, 26, 35.75, 31.75, and 29. He's a low-usage player who is by no means a sexy play, but he should be able to easily hit value.

Patty Mills (PG - SAS) FD: $3,800 DK: $3,700

While Ray McCallum will likely draw the start for Tony Parker tonight, Mills is simply a better player at this stage in his career. With some extra minutes to go around, Mills is the man I want to roster over McCallum. He owns a 0.81 FPPM number on the season compared to McCallum's 0.67. Last time we saw a similar situation, Mills exploded for 33.25 DK points compared to McCallum's 20.25 in nearly identical playing time.

Cody Zeller (PF - CHA) FD: $4,600 DK: $5,200

Zeller has been eating up minutes down low for Charlotte, with at least 28 in 5 of his last 6 (he saw foul trouble against OKC and only played 23 minutes). Excluding the game against OKC, Zeller is averaging nearly 29 DK points per contest over his previous 5 games. Tonight's matchup is no easy task however, but if Zeller sees 30 minutes of court time, he should have no problem reaching value.



Comments
zachsgotmoxy
Westbrook just became an auto play without Durant.
JasonG4s
All over these guys, Bosh is a great cash game call not many have been on. Well outside of last night's three game slate.