Winners from Downtown is bringing the top daily picks for your cash games, alongside some value plays, and Vegas notes. Be sure to check out our minutes tool, and Colossus lineup optimizer.

Projections show DraftKings prices and fantasy points.

Vegas Notes

- Highest team totals of the night belong to Atlanta, San Antonio, Detroit, Washington, Thunder, and Golden State all sitting over 105.

- Memphis, Utah, Chicago, and New York all sit under 100, but are still in play outside of Chicago.

Top Picks

Shelvin Mack (PG), Jazz

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

@Bulls

300.9423.623.051.79628.2

Salary: FD: $6,200 DK: $6,000

Shelvin Mack's price is on the rise, but deservingly so. He is averaging 14-5-7 over the last six games, shooting 45% from the field. I won't have too much Jazz exposure outside of Mack given the low total, but he offers the most bang for your buck. Chicago ranks 18th in defensive efficiency against opposing point guards, and have allowed the sixth most fantasy points per game. It is obvious who your top option is with John Wall being available, but Mack is my secondary option who I will be targeting heavily.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (SG), Pistons

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

Nets

390.6920.518.342.410926.9

Salary: FD: $5,300 DK: $5,700

It is pretty easy to pay down at shooting guard tonight, especially given the top options at the other positions. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is logging heavy minutes again, averaging 37 over the last six games. That is going with a 21-4-1 average, as he is shooting 47% from the field. Detroit has a monster 109 total tonight, and I will be all over them in cash games. Brooklyn ranks 25th in defensive efficiency against opposing shooting guards, and have allowed the sixth most fantasy points per game.

Carmelo Anthony (SF), Knicks

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

@Wizards

371.1321.429.443.79941.8

Salary: FD: $8,800 DK: $8,400

I will be taking the discount from the top options which feature LeBron James, Kevin Durant, and Kawhi Leonard. Washington ranks 18th in defensive efficiency against opposing small forwards this season, and are allowing the third most fantasy points per game. Melo has thrashed Washington this season, averaging 35-10-3 in two games against them, shooting 58% from the field. 40+ fantasy points is a lock for Melo tonight, and the matchup also gives him the higher upside among the other studs at this position.

Paul Millsap (PF), Hawks

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

Rockets

351.1927.824.351.411041.6

Salary: FD: $8,100 DK: $8,100

Death, taxes, and power forwards against the Houston Rockets. They have allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, and rank 29th in defensive efficiency. They also rank 27th in turnovers, and 23rd in rebounding. It is a perfect storm for Paul Millsap tonight, as his defensive game is just an added bonus to what he can do on the offensive end. He is averaging 16-8-2 over the last six games, with 4.2 blocks + steals per game. Look for Millsap to dial it up on both sides, and he is the first player I am plugging in.

Andre Drummond (C), Pistons

Opponent

Minutes

Fantasy Points Per Minute

Defensive Efficiency Rating

Usage Rate

Opposing Fantasy Points Allowed

Vegas Team Total

Projection

Nets

341.2727.324.151.210943.1

Salary: FD: $7,900 DK: $8,000

Andre Drummond is fairly cheap for his usual price tags. He is averaging 14 and 13 over the last six games, and has averaged 21 and 15 in three games against Brooklyn this season. This is no shocker given their struggles this season, ranking 19th in rebounding, and allowing the seventh most fantasy points per game to opposing centers. Big 109 total, and Detroit's starters always play a ton of minutes. You can count on Drummond tonight.

Value Plays

Jeff Teague (PG - ATL) FD: $6,500 DK: $6,200

Atlanta is one of my favorite teams to target tonight, and once again staying in this range at point guard can create a balanced lineup. Jeff Teague is averaging 16-2-7 over the last six games, and gets a prime matchup against Houston. The Rockets have allowed the 12th most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. Atlanta has a 110 team total, and I am all over it.

Bojan Bogdanovic (SF/SG - BKN) FD: $5,200 DK: $5,200

Bojan Bogdanovic is shooting lights out from the field, going 58% over the last four games. Detroit ranks 20th on opposing FG%, and 16th in 3-pt%. He provides value at the weaker positions on the board, which is why he will likely be featured for the rest of the season. He is averaging over 25 fantasy points per game over the last ten.

Kent Bazemore (SF - ATL) FD: $4,700 DK: $5,000

Be sure to check if Kent Bazemore is in the lineup beforehand, but he is listed as probable, as he was last game. Whether it is him for Tim Hardaway Jr., they will be on my radar against Houston. They have allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing small forwards, and rank 29th in defensive efficiency. I am looking for big upside on the Hawks this evening.



Comments
zachsgotmoxy
Love Melo tonight.