NBA Sports Betting Quick Links
Correlations are very relevant in NFL DFS, as we like to pair up quarterbacks with their top receiving options. While the running back and defense stack is not as high of an upside stack as using a passing game, it is still viable with the right plays around it and still brings a small correlation of upside. Game stacks can often be overlooked, but why wouldn't you want exposure to the team trying to keep up or chasing your favorite passing offense? There are ways to be contrarian by still targeting a top offense projected with higher ownership. Shifting from the popular WR1 to a WR2, TE, or even RB is going to help you get exposure at slightly less ownership. WR1, RB1, WR2, and TE1, in that order, stand the highest chances of generating the most fantasy points in a stack. This is at least for two-person stacks. We will dive into more multiplayer stacks below. Volume, Vegas, opposing defensive stats, pace, and pricing are all calculated into my stacks below. You will find my top, value, contrarian, and game stacks within the article. You can find me on Twitter at @JGuilbault11 to help with the week's slate or questions/comments about the article.
Buffalo will be by far the most popular stack, but on a six-game slate with a couple of bad offenses, it makes sense. The Colts defense isn't bad, but out of the matchups this weekend, the Colts are the worst "good" defense I would want to target. Buffalo has the second-highest implied total on the slate at 28.5. They are touchdown favorites at home, and I love the passing attack. Over the final five weeks of the season, the Colts allowed the third-most fantasy points per game. We saw some shootout style games, and that could be the case here. The Colts allowed an 86-1085-7 line to wide receivers in that same span, which is an absurd number, and that generated the 6th most fantasy points per game. Stefon Diggs and John Brown are a great duo, and Brown was back and healthy at the end of the year, catching a touchdown in the last game against Miami. Both of these names will see a bulk of the targets, and the Bills have really been airing it out. While ownership will be high, we can differ in other positions.
Baltimore is sitting with the highest implied total of the week, and that is to nobody's surprise as they face the weakest defense in the postseason. They ranked 29th in total defense and 30th against the pass. While the Ravens don't have a strong passing attack, they can still exploit them, and we know where the targets will go. Combining this with the upside of Lamar Jackson's rushing numbers, the sky is the limit for this stack. Tennessee allowed the 4th highest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks this season. Wide receivers went for 22 touchdowns and over 3,000 receiving yards against this secondary, which ranked bottom three against the pass. Even tight ends posted a solid 76-840-8 line against the Titans this season, and Andrews was a part of that with a 5-96-1 line. This game also features a couple of Tennessee options to bring it back with, especially Corey Davis and AJ Brown.
Rounding out the third option was tough, but Pittsburgh's passing volume is interesting here. The Browns ranked 25th against the pass this season and allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, and that included two weather games that killed offenses and games against Colt McCoy, Mason Rudolph, and Mike Glennon. Cleveland allowed 22.3 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks and 2.3 passing touchdowns per game this season. They also allowed the 8th most fantasy points and 20 touchdowns to receivers this season. Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, and JuJu Smith-Schuster have been the primary targets, all earning over 100 targets this season. They have combined for 24 touchdowns between the three of them. This is a good spot for the wideouts and an offense that led the league in pass attempts per game. While the downfield throws are limited, the PPR potential here is big.