NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Week 2 is a very intriguing tournament week because we have just about all of the top-ten offenses in good spots. Atlanta and Dallas square off against each other, while both Pat Mahomes and Lamar Jackson are on the slate as well. Even the Tampa-Carolina game is expected to be a shootout. This leaves a lot of areas to attack and even within these popular offenses you can make pivots to lower owned players. There isn't much injury news at the moment for the main slate, as Chris Godwin is doubtful and a long shot to play. George Kittle is the one to watch out for as he will not practice this week but remains questionable for Sunday.
Carson Wentz - $5,800 - GPP Projection: 20.9
There is a pretty big price gap between that Wilson, Prescott, Murray tier and the names below $6,000. While I like paying up, there are a few quarterbacks that do stand out. Carson Wentz gets the Bengals and I am looking at this game as a get right one for the offense. Wentz is missing targets but this is no different from last season where he played quite well despite the names around him. He offers up some strong value this week.
Ryan Tannehill - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 22.8
Ryan Tannehill picked up where he left off through the first two weeks of this season. He gets the Vikings who have allowed 271 yards through the air per game so far this season. While most of that was against Aaron Rodgers, this defense is not the same as it has been for the last five years. The front seven is missing pass rushers and the secondary is almost a complete turnover.
Austin Ekeler - $6,800 - GPP Projection: 20.8
There is a pretty solid core of running backs in good spots this week. I expect Miles Sanders, Kenyan Drake, and Jonathan Taylor to be the higher owned options in comparison to the three games listed below. I am not saying to fade those names, but we can certainly mix and match. Ekeler is one of those names to target getting the Panthers who have already picked up where they left up giving up 34 DK points per game to opposing backs.
Nick Chubb - $6,900 - GPP Projection: 19.4
Washington ranks 19th against the run and while this is a tougher matchup from the Thursday Night Football game, I still expect the Browns to move the ball a bit. Chubb is going to be fairly low owned as Washington is being talked about as a top defense and Kareem Hunt still looms.
James Conner - $6,700 - GPP Projection: 18.7
After what might have been an injured Week 1 performance, James Conner bounced back with 106 yards and a touchdown against Denver. Houston's defense continues to be one to target as they have allowed 148 yards per game on the ground and 1.4 rushing touchdowns. This is no surprise given they were bottom ten against the run last season.
DK Metcalf - $6,500 - GPP Projection: 15.5
Cash games or tournaments, DK Metcalf is going to be in almost all of my lineups. We are watching an emerging elite wideout and with Russell Wilson on fire, it is hard to see his hot start stalling in Week 3. Metcalf gets a defense that has allowed 1.4 touchdowns per game to wide receivers and this secondary is very exploitable.
John Brown - $5,700 - GPP Projection: 16.4
With Stefon Diggs working on Jalen Ramsey, John Brown is a sneaky option this week. This game is an exciting one because it features two 2-0 teams who have played well. There is a general consensus that this game will be more of a slugfest. Brown has over a 20 fantasy point ceiling dating back his last eight games.
Curtis Samuel - $4,000 - GPP Projection: 11.2
Now Mike Davis is the one filling in for Christian McCaffrey, but I would not be surprised to see more plays dialed up for Curtis Samuel who is a receiver but can also work in the run game. At $4,000 he is worth a dart throw in a GPP lineup or two. The matchup is tough, but Samuel has big play upside and the Panthers will certainly be trailing again here.
Allen Robinson - $6,200 - GPP Projection: 19.1
Allen Robinson is going to have a break out game sooner rather than later and this is the week it can happen. There are a lot of great wideouts in this range so I don't expect crazy high ownership, but he won't be forgotten. Targets haven't been super high but we know Robinson is the number one option. In this game he should see a bit more volume. This secondary has struggled so far this season and receivers have had a field day.
TJ Hockenson - $5,300 - GPP Projection: 11.1
This is not a strong slate for tight ends as a few are on the primetime games. We get some decent values though and I expect Tyler Higbee, Jonnu Smith (If Healthy), and Noah Fant to soak up a lot of ownership. Now Arizona won't be as easy to target with tight ends given the defensive upgrades. This game is an expected shootout and Hockenson is teetering on a big week. While Kenny Golladay coming back hurts a chance at more targets, he is still worth a look.
Hayden Hurst - $4,700 - GPP Projection: 10.9
Chicago funneled a lot down to tight ends last season and are allowing 59.1 yards per game so far to them this year. Hurst projects for double-digit fantasy points and is still below $5,000. If Julio Jones can't go there will be targets shifted around but even if he does it is easy to look at these matchups and see Hurst is going to see a lot of looks with the secondary focusing on the receivers.
Patriots - $3,200 - GPP Projection: 9.5
New England generally isn't a team this cheap coming off a strong fantasy season as a defense. However, a few names are out for the year and they might be baking in the Raiders being a decent offense, which they are. Early injury reports are a concern with Darren Waller and Josh Jacobs missing practice, and Henry Ruggs was clearly not 100% on Monday Night Football. If we get a decimated Raiders offense, the Pats will have a field day here.
Giants - $2,700 - GPP Projection: 7.2
For a sub-3K defense, the New York Giants are worth a look facing a 49ers offense that is missing most of their offensive playmakers. This Giants defense has not looked bad through two games and they also had a top-ten ranked DVOA defense against the run last season. This is projected to be one of the lower scoring games of the week, and the Giants do bring some value for those not wanting to pay up.