NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
There are 11 games on the DraftKings main slate this week and at the moment each one is scheduled to play. There are five games over a total of 50. Denver and New England is really the only game I have crossed off my list this week as a game I don't want to use players from. It is a tough matchup on both sides and with committees in the backfield and two passing offenses that fall well below the rest on this slate, I will pass. Houston-Tennessee, Atlanta-Minnesota, Cleveland-Pittsburgh, Detroit-Jacksonville, and Green Bay and Tampa Bay are all games with the highest totals and draw the most attention.
Ryan Tannehill - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 21.1
Only $5,900 for Ryan Tannehill? Okay. He has averaged 24.5 fantasy points over his last three games which is a point less than Aaron Rodgers. He gets a very friendly matchup against the Texans secondary and Houston has allowed 18.5 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Titans have a four touchdown implied total and this is a tremendous spot for the Titans offense.
Joe Burrow - $5,400 - GPP Projection: 17.4
If you are looking for a cheap quarterback to help out a stacked lineup and need some salary relief, Joe Burrow is someone worth using. He is extremely cheap and while last game deflates his overall fantasy numbers, Burrow has had a ton of volume and is a great bet for that 300+ yard bonus. The Colts have faced some weaker passing offenses and the Bengals have quite a few weapons.
James Robinson - $6,800 - GPP Projection: 17.8
James Robinson is averaging 18.8 fantasy points per game in the last three and this is a smash spot against Detroit. They have allowed 147 yards on the ground, 43 receiving yards, and 1.5 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs. Robinson is up there in price and around Alexander Mattison who will take a bulk of the ownership away from this range.
Myles Gaskin - $5,400 - GPP Projection: 14.5
There are a handful of cheaper running backs to deploy this week. Ronald Jones and David Montgomery are in that boat as well. Myles Gaskin has grabbed a hold of all the touches in the Miami backfield and now gets a Jets defense that has allowed 24.9 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs. The Dolphins are nine point favorites and have a 28 implied total.
Kenny Golladay - $6,200 - GPP Projection: 16.1
Kenny Golladay is my guy this week and $6,200 isn't a bad price tag for someone who will likely be over $7,000 at some point this season. He has been injured for most of the year but his games back we have already seen a change in the Lions offense with him. The Jaguars are allowing 24.4 fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers this season.
A.J. Brown - $5,600 - GPP Projection: 15.4
A.J. Brown has averaged 15.1 fantasy points per game over his last three and the price tag is rather cheap for him this week. Houston's secondary has allowed 1.2 receiving touchdowns to wideouts this season and 24.3 fantasy points per game. Brown is listed as questionable but this is more of a precautionary thing.
Justin Jefferson - $6,000 - GPP Projection: 13.1
People might look at the Justin Jefferson price tag and shy away from it. All the Vikings price tags are up this week and deservingly so against one of the worst defenses of all-time. They have a 29 implied total and the Falcons have allowed 28 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Jefferson and Thielen are the only real options in the passing game.
Zach Ertz - $5,000 - GPP Projection: 11.1
2020 has been a year to forget for Zach Ertz, although it might be a year to forget for all of us. He is averaging just 7.5 fantasy points over his last three games and has a ceiling of 10.2 in his last eight. Not good numbers but the price tag has dropped and the Eagles should be in a come from behind game against the Ravens, who have allowed 53 yards per game to opposing tight ends.
Eric Ebron - $4,100 - GPP Projection: 9.9
If you are looking for a cheap option, Eric Ebron is worth a look. He is averaging 10.6 DK points over his last three games and the Browns have allowed 10.9 fantasy points per game to tight ends this season. At $4,100 this opens up some salary and the Steelers offense has an implied 27 point total.
Dolphins - $2,900 - GPP Projection: 9.1
Miami has averaged nine points over the last three games and is only at $2,900 against the Jets at home. New York has under a 20 implied total and the Miami defense is the best points per dollar play based on projections.