NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Correlations are very relevant in NFL DFS, as we like to pair up quarterbacks with their top receiving options. While the running back and defense stack is not as high of an upside stack as using a passing game, it is still viable with the right plays around it, and still brings a small correlation of upside. Game stacks can often be overlooked, but why wouldn't you want exposure to the team trying to keep up or chasing your favorite passing offense? There are ways to be contrarian by still targeting a top offense projected with higher ownership. Shifting from the popular WR1 to a WR2, TE, or even RB is going to help you get exposure at slightly less ownership. WR1, RB1, WR2, and TE1 in that order stand the highest chances of generating the most fantasy points in a stack. This is at least for two man stacks. We will dive into more multiplayer stacks below. Volume, Vegas, opposing defensive stats, pace, and pricing are all calculated into my stacks below. You will find my top, value, contrarian, and game stacks within the article. You can find me on Twitter at @JGuilbault11 to help with the week's slate, or questions/comments about the article.
Atlanta Falcons
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Matt Ryan | QB | $7,900 | $6,700 |
Julio Jones | WR | $8,400 | $8,000 |
Calvin Ridley | WR | $6,700 | $6,500 |
The Falcons come into this week with a 27.5 implied total, which isn't much of a surprise against the Buccaneers. They are an easy target through the air, and on FanDuel this is not that expensive of a stack. Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman are ruled out this week, and while Jones and Ridley both had just eight targets, they should surpass that this week. Tampa Bay are allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts this season, and the second most to opposing quarterbacks. Given the centered volume to both wideouts, there is a ton of upside for this group. Ridley is a bargain on FanDuel still below $7,000, and Ryan on FanDuel is just an easy plug and play. DK pricing is a little tighter, but there is plenty of value on this slate.
Cleveland Browns
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Baker Mayfield | QB | $7,500 | $5,900 |
Nick Chubb | RB | $8,200 | $8,100 |
Odell Beckham | WR | $7,000 | $7,000 |
Jarvis Landry | WR | $6,900 | $6,300 |
The issue with the Browns stack this week is that they also have Kareem Hunt, and David Njoku coming back. There are about six viable options that can go off in this group, and also this team has taken their foot off the pedal when up at times this season. However, any team against Miami is going to give us a look. You can easily attack this team through the air, and a full blown stack is certainly in play. Through the air, Miami is allowing the 6th most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Wide receivers have averaged the 8th most fantasy points per game against them. Nick Chubb should get a ton of volume, and Miami has allowed the 6th most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs.
Seattle Seahawks
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Russell Wilson | QB | $8,200 | $6,800 |
Tyler Lockett | WR | $7,400 | $7,600 |
DK Metcalf | WR | $6,700 | $6,300 |
If you are looking for a contrarian stack, Seattle usually garnishes ownership, but probably won't this week. They are going on the road against Philly, which is a tough spot in terms of travel and facing a tougher front seven. I still believe the secondary is beatable despite a lackluster performance from New England last week. DK Metcalf has back to back games with ten targets, and we know Tyler Lockett is a strong volume option with upside. The Eagles have allowed the 4th most fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts this season. I also like bringing this around with Zach Ertz, as Seattle continues to struggle with tight ends.
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