Week 1 was in the books, and as always it was a wild one. We saw Baltimore punish Miami, but also some big lines by cheaper wide receivers. This week sets up to be a potential murky type of week, and all eyes will be on whoever plays Miami, which is New England. However, Baltimore, New Orleans, Los Angeles, and Kansas City have some high totals to match. Otherwise it is a lot of middle of the road matchups and lower implied totals to deal with.
Jared Goff - FD: $7,600 / DK: $5,900 - Jared Goff struggled in Week 1, and his road troubles continued from last season. However, he was a beast at home. He finished with a 68% completion percentage, averaged 342 yards per game, and had a 7.3% touchdown rate. The Rams will welcome New Orleans, which is a shootout game. Goff completed 70% of his passes against the Saints last season, going for 391 yards and three scores. In the playoff game, he finished with 297 yards and a score. The Saints pass defense has had issues going back to last season, and were exploited in Week 1. Goff is loaded with options, and is underpriced in one of the higher scoring games projected.
Alvin Kamara - FD: $8,700 / DK: $8,200 - Alvin Kamara had his usual workload, seeing 20 touches, and continues to work well in the passing game. There isn't much to say about Kamara at this point, given he is one of the best fantasy backs in the league and in one of the top offenses in the league. Kamara was extremely successful against the Texans, just failed to find the end zone. The Rams failed to contain Christian McCaffrey last week, and overall last season. They ranked 27th against the run. Kamara is the pay up back to consider this week.
Josh Jacobs - FD: $6,500 / DK: $4,700 - Pricing on both sites came out before the big Josh Jacobs explosion on Monday Night Football. This likely means we get him as a true value for this week and not much moving forward. His DK price is laughably low anyway, but both sites he is going to be an extremely popular cash game play, and a tough one to fade. Kansas City ranked 32nd in rush defense last season, and didn't give much in Week 1 to suggest they improved at a high rate. Jacobs finished with 24 touches in Week 1, which was the 4th highest among running backs. He is a work horse and should be trusted.
Robert Woods - FD: $7,300 / DK: $6,400 - Robert Woods racked up 13 targets, which was 30% of the team targets in that opening game against Carolina. He caught eight of them for 77 yards, and overall this pass offense should bounce back at home. New Orleans has struggled against the pass, and have allowed 18% more production compared to the rest of the league. Woods comes in with solid price tags on both sites, and there is still a lot of rookie value out there to make it work.
John Brown - FD: $6,300 / DK: $5,200 - John Brown has quickly jumped into a strong WR3 option. He saw ten targets in his Buffalo debut, and gets a Giants secondary that ranked 26th against the pass. Often we view Brown as a boom or bust target, but first half of last season in Baltimore his production was steady. I believe he can continue that here in Buffalo. His role certainly fits with Josh Allen as well.
Delanie Walker - FD: $5,900 / DK: $3,500 - I am looking on the cheaper side for a tight end this week, and Delanie Walker looked like his old self in Week 1 against the Browns. Marcus Mariota has always had a strong connection with Walker, and the Colts have been a team to surrender plenty of production to tight ends. Last season they allowed the 5th most fantasy points per game.
Chicago Bears - FD: $4,500 / DK: $3,900 - There are a handful of options on the defensive side, and New England is going to be a popular one too. Denver's offensive line looked rough, and Joe Flacco looked just as advertised, which was not good. The Bears pass rush was in full force Week 1 and will get a strong matchup against the Broncos here. This game has one of the lower totals on the slate, but Denver is down at the near bottom.