Correlations are very relevant in NFL DFS, as we like to pair up quarterbacks with their top receiving options. While the running back and defense stack is not as high of an upside stack as using a passing game, it is still viable with the right plays around it, and still brings a small correlation of upside. Game stacks can often be overlooked, but why wouldn't you want exposure to the team trying to keep up or chasing your favorite passing offense? There are ways to be contrarian by still targeting a top offense projected with higher ownership. Shifting from the popular WR1 to a WR2, TE, or even RB is going to help you get exposure at slightly less ownership. WR1, RB1, WR2, and TE1 in that order stand the highest chances of generating the most fantasy points in a stack. This is at least for two man stacks. We will dive into more multiplayer stacks below. Volume, Vegas, opposing defensive stats, pace, and pricing are all calculated into my stacks below. You will find my top, value, contrarian, and game stacks within the article. You can find me on Twitter at @JGuilbault11 to help with the week's slate, or questions/comments about the article.
New England Patriots - Implied Total 28
While I tend to stay away from the popular stacks to write about, we are on a shortened week with a lack of options. This game has the highest over/under on the main slate, and the Pats have the highest total on the main slate. Over the last five games against Pittsburgh, Tom Brady has averaged 25.8 fantasy points per game, throwing for 14 touchdowns and 1,624 yards. Rob Gronkowski has also benefitted from this matchup in the past, averaging 118 receiving yards per game and five receiving touchdowns. Julien Edelman's play has picked up this week, and while I like him more on PPR sites, he is more expensive there as you'd imagine. He has 25 receptions in the last four games, and is the third option to consider within this stack. Josh Gordon is a contrarian move within this stack, as the first three names will be rather popular.
The backfield has been tough to trust now that everyone is back fully healthy, and snaps have been split pretty evenly. I am staying away from the backfield this week, although Pittsburgh has allowed the 8th most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs the last five weeks. The upside for tournaments is severely capped.
What makes the Patriots such a good stack in addition to their overall offense is the fact they are all somewhat underpriced from their normal prices. Brady is below $8,000 on FD and below $6,000 on DK. Gronkowski's prior week bumped him up, but $5,800 on DK is still a bargain, and the same goes for $6,900 on FD.
Dallas Cowboys - Implied Total 22.25
The Cowboys stack has been rather easy to target because we know where the volume is going to go. The Cowboys get Indy this week, who have been a middle of the road defense, and more of a scrappy one comparing to prior years. Ezekiel Elliot is the stud back this week, and Indy has also been sneaky bad against opposing backs in the passing game, allowing 8.8 targets and 58.4 receiving yards per game. Since Week 10, the Colts are allowing the fourth most receiving yards per game. Elliot has seen 20+ rushing attempts and at least six targets in the last four weeks.
Amari Cooper is at a ridiculous price on FD this week, sitting at just $6,600. Dak Prescott is also just $7,300. Cooper is WR1 over the last five weeks, averaging 17.7 fantasy points per game, while Prescott is QB 4, averaging 24.1 fantasy points per game in that same span. Elliot is RB2, so this stack on FanDuel is extremely cheap for recent production. On DraftKings they are priced a bit higher, but are still viable.
Minnesota Vikings - Implied Total 26
Last week the Packers fired a key member of their coaching staff, and Minnesota is doing the same. Their offensive coordinator is gone, and I am going to be targeting what should be a more productive Minnesota offense at home. The Dolphins are allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks in the last five weeks, and the 7th most to opposing wide receivers. The Vikings passing attack should be relatively low owned this week, despite an eye popping matchup. This has more to do with their recent play and bad offensive line.
It has been a while since we have seen Kirk Cousins torch a defense, well I guess just two weeks given he lit up Green Bay a few weeks ago. The Dolphins are allowing 24.7 points per game, and 261 passing yards per game. Miami ranks 22nd against WR1s and 18th against WR2s. Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen are both in play this week, and ownership once again should be on our side.
Dalvin Cook is a viable plug in here as well, and his usage in the passing game is encouraging. Miami ranks 20th against pass-catching backs, allowing over 50 receiving yards per game. Cook should see 15+ touches this week, against a Miami defense allowing the 7th most fantasy points per game to opposing backs this season.