NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
I'll set the stage for you, it was October 20th, 2007, Wrestle Fan Fest at the Cow Palace in San Francisco, California.
A show headlined by the likes of The Steiner Brothers, the Dudley Boys, and many more legends from the past. There was also a young kid on the card they brought in, who was wrestling in the “Indies" Battle Royale, which consisted of 32 of the top Independent Wrestlers in the United States.
This young kid sat in the locker room, he looked to his left, and there is Al Snow telling a funny road prank he pulled on a guy. To his right there was Greg Valentine telling a story about what it was like to wrestle at WrestleMania in front of 60,000 fans. He felt completely out of place.
That young kid got dressed, stood by the curtain awaiting his music to hit. He looked outside the curtain and over 4,000 people were sitting inside the Cow Palace. His music hit, he hit the ring, and he lasted a little while in the battle royal before getting thrown over the top got, and eliminated.
That young kid was me; I spent seven years wrestling throughout the United States as the "New York Gangster." It is one of my biggest achievements as a professional wrestler, to being picked to take part amongst the best independent wrestlers across the US.
I spent a majority of that weekend with my mouth shut and ears open, listening and learning from the best that ever laced their boots. It was one of the best weekends of my life.
So this week, I will pair my favorite DFS plays with my favorite wrestlers from when I was a kid.
Like it – Bret Hart – (He is the best there is, the best there was, and the best there ever will be. Bret Hart was/is one of the best wrestlers to ever step foot in the ring. He was a big influence on the style of wrestler I wanted to be)
DeMarco Murray vs. Miami Dolphins - $6200 (DraftKings) - $7700 (FanDuel)
Murray is a risky play from week-to-week, due to the fact he has two other running backs in the backfield sharing touches with him. Since week 4, where he saw a season low ten touches, Murray has had 20+ touches in 4 straight games.
I love this matchup as well, with him taking on a Dolphins' run defense that just gave up 222 yards, and three touchdowns against the Buffalo Bills.
His price point on DraftKings is more attractive than on FanDuel (where I will fade him). In James Smizek's Ownership Report piece he expects his ownership percentage to be around 5-10%, which is why I am aiming for him there.
Demaryius Thomas vs. Kansas City Chiefs – $7400 (DraftKings) - $7900 (FanDuel)
I rarely recommend a guy back-to-back weeks after getting burned by them, like I did Thomas last week. I can't pass up Thomas taking on the Chiefs this week.
Here are the stats for Thomas in his last 7 games against the Chiefs.
9/17/15 – 14 targets, 8 catches for 116 yards
11/30/14 – 13 targets, 6 catches for 63 yards and a touchdown
9/14/14 – 7 targets, 5 catches for 62 yards and a touchdown
12/1/13 – 6 targets, 3 catches for 106 yards
11/17/13 – 13 targets, 5 catches for 121 yards
12/30/12 – 8 targets, 7 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown
11/25/12 – 8 targets, 4 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown
That's seven straight games, in which Thomas has had either 100 yards, or a touchdown against the Chiefs.
His volume isn't going anywhere, as he has seen double-digit targets in six of the eight games this season.
Interesting tidbit about Thomas, his mother will watch him play for the first time on Sunday, as she was released from jail today. Quite the narrative heading into this week's game for him.
Love it – Macho Man Randy Savage – (He had so much “swag" before swag was even a thing, he could talk/wrestle/entertain. He really inspired me to jump off the top of the fridge with a flying elbow. My parents weren't too thrilled about it, but it was a lot of fun)
Greg Olsen vs. Tennessee Titans - $6300 (DraftKings) - $6300 (FanDuel)
Dion Sims, Jordan Cameron, Josh Hill, Austin Seferian-Jenkins, and Michael Hoomanawanui are the names of the tight ends who have scored touchdowns against the Titans this season.
Greg Olsen is ten times better than any of those guys mentioned, and Cam Newton's favorite target will have no problems exposing the Titans' defense.
He comes into the game with touchdowns in three out of his last four games.
Low-end tight ends have been scoring tons of points over the last couple weeks, but honestly I see myself ponying up the cash for Olsen, as he is the surest bet this weekend.
DeAngelo Williams vs. Cleveland Browns - $6500 (DraftKings) - $7600 (FanDuel)
I went back-and-forth on this after hearing the news he is dealing with the foot injury, but as of now, he is expected to carry the full load.
This Browns run defense is ranked last in all of football, which makes a lot of sense, considering they have given up over 1,100 yards on the ground through nine games.
Williams just torched a Raiders 'run defense, who have not given up a 100 yard rusher since week 2.
We all know that Landry Jones is likely to start the game this week, which means they're going to have to rely on Williams to carry the load again.
With his price point on DraftKings at $6,500, he is an absolute steal!!!!
Gotta Have it – Hulk Hogan – (I won't lie, when I was a kid, I was a Hulk-a-maniac, and I wasn't afraid to tell anyone it. I would walk around the house and try to be just like the Hulkster, tearing off my Hulkamania t-shirt, BROTHER)
Blake Bortles versus Baltimore Ravens - $5600 (Draftkings) - $7800 (FanDuel)
Allen Hurns versus Baltimore Ravens - $5800 (DraftKings) - $7300 (FanDuel)
Blake Bortles is priced higher than Peyton Manning, Eli Manning, and Russell Wilson on FanDuel. I never thought we'd see the day that would happen.
Bortles has a few ups, and a few downs, however his matchup this week doesn't get better than this.
The Ravens have been horrible against the pass this season. They made the likes of, Josh McCown and Colin Kaepernick, out to be studs, and were also dissected by the studs Dalton/Carr/Palmer/Rivers.
Bortles has tossed for two or more touchdowns in four straight amusements, keeping in mind the captures are high. The Ravens have a league-low three picks this year.
I love Allen Robinson, and after what he did a week ago against Revis, I wouldn't detest you for stacking him. In my opinion, stacking Bortles with Hurns, who has a touchdown in six straight games is the better way to go.
The over/under in this game is set at 50, which is a number you get a kick out of when playing DFS. Points will be scored, and these two are at the highest priority on my rundown this week.
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