Week 13 saw the Saints post a major dud against a Lions' defense that suddenly looks formidable, the Steelers stomp on the Giants' vaunted defense, the Aaron Rodgers/Jordy Nelson combo play well at low ownership (thanks for nothing, James Starks), and the Bears' stack really only needing one player, as Jordan Howard found paydirt a trio of times. Week 14 is upon us, and with it comes a lack of huge team totals. Let's get started:

Top Stack 1

Buccaneers vs Saints - Team Total 26.75

Name

Position

FanDuel Salary

DraftKings Salary

Estimated Ownership %

Projected Points

Jameis Winston QB $8,200 $6,700 10-15 20.07 (DK), 18.96 (FD)
Mike Evans WR $8,900 $8,900 25-30 21.15 (DK), 15.26 (FD)
Cameron Brate TE $5,600 $4,100 5-10 12.25 (DK), 8.60 (FD)

Listen, I'm not suddenly jumping on the Jameis Winston bandwagon. This is purely a money play, and that's why we are all here, right? Last week saw Winston post a big total without much help from Mike Evans, and this week he draws a Saints defense that is near the bottom of every defensive category. They are allowing the second-most yardage, 9th-highest QB rating, and 3rd-most points per game in 2016. Football Outsiders ranks them 26th against the pass and 23rd overall on defense, and Tampa Bay should have no issues posting big numbers here. Doug Martin and Jacquizz Rodgers look to be in some sort of timeshare moving forward, and I want to avoid that situation for the most part. However, the Saints do rank among the worst in the NFL with 13 rushing touchdowns allowed, but their 3.9 YPA average is actually pretty solid. Enter Cameron Brate, who is my third wheel of choice for this stack. He had a tremendous 9-86-1 line last week, which was his third game with at least 20 DraftKings points this season. The Saints rank 24th against opposing TE, per FO, and I'd much rather take that trip than mess with this backfield situation.

Top Stack 2

Steelers at Bills- Team Total 24.75

Name

Position

FanDuel Salary

DraftKings Salary

Estimated Ownership %

Projected Points

Ben Roethlisberger

QB $8,100 $7,000 5-10 19.89 (DK), 18.77 (FD)
Le'Veon Bell RB $9,000 $9,000 20-25 26.62 (DK), 20.93 (FD)
Antonio Brown WR $8,800 $8,700 20-25 21.23 (DK), 15.30 (FD)
Ladarius Green TE $5,800 $3,900 5-10 10.89 (DK), 7.64 (FD)

With the value so concentrated (moreso than any other team in the NFL), the Steelers stack is an easy one most weeks. We have a new addition in the Week 14 article though, as Ladarius Green exploded for a 6-110-1 on 11 targets against the Giants. While Roethlisberger makes sense in this stack, being creative and simply rostering the position players is an interesting proposition as well. Bell has yet to have a 2 score game, and the Bills have been very susceptible to the run. As usual, this stack should be popular, so the more creative you get with it, the better. Now that bye weeks are done, the slates are bigger, and the Steelers are anything but a sneaky stack. The Bills rank 21st and 24th against the run and pass, respectively, and the Steelers have more than enough firepower to post a monster total this weekend.

Contrarian Stack

Redskins at Eagles- Team Total 24.25

Name

Position

FanDuel Salary

DraftKings Salary

Estimated Ownership %

Projected Points

Kirk Cousins

QB

$7,600

$6,300

3-5

19.84 (DK), 18.72 (FD)

Jordan Reed

TE

$7,500

$5,900

1-2

4.33 (DK), 3.52 (FD)

DeSean Jackson

WR

$5,800

$5,200

3-5

11.56 (DK), 8.29 (FD)

The Eagles are #7 in the NFL against the pass, per FO, but they have weaknesses, as we saw last week with a depleted Bengals offense having their way with this secondary. The Redskins may just get Jordan Reed back this week (he is looking like a GTD), and if he plays, I'll be throwing him in my GPP stack and hoping for incredibly low ownership. This isn't the ideal matchup for him either, as the Eagles rank 3rd against TE this season, per FO, but volume and red zone looks put him firmly in play for my in any matchup. DeSean Jackson has a catch of at least 59 yards in two straight weeks, and with the Eagles likely to take away much of the short passing game, I'm expecting Cousins to take some shots down the field to his lightning-fast wideout. If you're into narratives, this is a revenge game for Jackson...although it has been a few years. I'm still not convinced he is a big fan of the Philadelphia organization after the way he was forced out of town. This stack has plenty of risk, but it'll come with low ownership.

Value Stack

Seahawks at Packers- Team Total 24.25

Name

Position

FanDuel Salary

DraftKings Salary

Estimated Ownership %

Projected Points

Russell Wilson

QB

$7,900

$6,600

5-7

19.29 (DK), 18.34 (FD)

Thomas Rawls

RB

$6,700

$5,700

10-15

13.99 (DK), 11.99 (FD)

Tyler Lockett

WR

$5,100

$3,700

10-15

9.49 (DK), 6.99 (FD)

The Packers' defense is one that looks intimidating on the surface, where they rank 7th against the run, but just 22nd against the pass, per FO. While they have held the Texans and Eagles to a combined 26 points over the last two weeks, neither Carson Wentz or Brock Osweiler (worst QB in the NFL???) are anywhere near the caliber of players that Russell Wilson is. Prior to those games, the Pack allowed 30+ in five of six games, including 42 or more in two of those contests. This is an average defense, and the Seahawks are an explosive offense. Wilson has had plenty of success against Green Bay in his career, and I'm expecting this trio to do most of the damage in this one. Doug Baldwin is always a threat to post a big game, but listing him or Jimmy Graham here may just bump them out of the "value" section. I'm a big fan of Rawls, and I'm expecting him to surprise many with a solid game this weekend. Lockett showed off his big play ability last week, and should see a decent amount of looks in a myriad of ways in this one as well.



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