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One Day Fantasy Baseball One Day Fantasy Baseball

NFL Salary Exploitation is a weekly piece based around finding the best and most egregious value-based plays from site-to-site. We'll be taking a look at DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo!, deciphering where to look for the best values on a position-by-position basis. Some weeks will be more cash game plays and other will be more tournament based, it's simply how the sites adjust to injuries, news and other related materials that can shift snaps, match-ups and other research reliant variables.

Quarterbacks

PlayerOpponentDraftKings SalaryFanDuel SalaryYahoo! Salary
Blaine GabbertTEN$4,800$6,600$24
Dak Prescott@NYG$5,600$7,700$32

Blaine Gabbert obviously is not an exciting starting fantasy quarterback, but he has thrown 104 passes in three games, and is averaging 17 fantasy points per game this season. Gabbert is coming off his worst game of the three games, but has produced 21, 19, and 12 fantasy points since filling in. The turnovers are an issue, but this offense is continuing to move the ball despite not being very good. The matchup against Tennessee is also a plus, as Tennessee ranks 24th in DVOA against the pass, and are 17th in fantasy points allowed to opposing quarterbacks this season. At these prices, he is worth a gamble this week.

Dallas was able to win a big division game, and Dak Prescott was a little banged up. He said it was just bruised hand with nothing to worry about. Given his struggles since Ezekiel Elliot went down, the price has come down to an astounding $5,600 on DraftKings. He played fairly well last week, but in a more managing play style. That might be the case again this week, but we can't overlook that the Giants are allowing the third most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Running Backs

PlayerOpponentDraftKings SalaryFanDuel SalaryYahoo! Salary
Joe MixonCHI$5,200$7,100$24
Lamar MillerSF$5,800$6,600$24

Chicago isn't a bad defense, but they are allowing the 11th most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs over the last five weeks. They have also been poorer on the road this season. Tonight's game for Joe Mixon is still to be seen, but he has 20+ rushing attempts in each of the last three games. He also has shown the upside as a receiver, with a couple of monster receptions this season. On FanDuel he is a nice bargain, but there is a bit more value on the other two sites.

Lamar Miller hasn't been fantasy relevant much this season, but this week he should be. Miller has a slightly better PPR floor, given he has double-digit fantasy point games in each of the last three games but the last two were due to the passing game work. Miller should get 17-22 touches this week San Francisco ranks 22nd in DVOA against the run, and the 49ers are allowing the third most fantasy points per game.

Wide Receivers

PlayerOpponentDraftKings SalaryFanDuel SalaryYahoo! Salary
Josh GordonGB$5,500$6,700$21
Emmanuel SandersNYJ$4,700$6,100$15
Golden Tate@TB$6,400$6,800$28

I wanted to wait a week on Josh Gordon, who finished last week with a 4-85-0 line on 11 targets. Inefficient, yes, but the volume here is tremendous if we get this the next few weeks. Gordon looked good, and I am willing to look his way in good matchups the rest of the season. This is one of those weeks, as Green Bay's defense struggles against the pass. They rank 22nd in DVOA and are allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing wideouts.

The Denver offense has been abysmal this season, and even more so of late. This isn't going to be a spot a lot of people look, and I won't be much either, but the Jets are allowing the seventh most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. Emmanuel Sanders is dirt cheap, and should dodge the shadow coverage of Morris Claiborne, who has been solid this season.

Not necessarily a value, but Golden Tate could end up being a a great points-per-dollar value. Tampa Bay has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. They rank 30th in DVOA against the pass, and are a team I will be looking to stack against.

Tight Ends

PlayerOpponentDraftKings SalaryFanDuel SalaryYahoo! Salary
Austin Seferian-Jenkins@DEN$3,600$5,900$14

Not a lot of tight end values this week that I need to talk about. Hunter Henry and Ricky Seals-Jones are still there for the taking, but I am a little burned out on their parts in this article. I will revisit Austin Seferian-Jenkins this week, who is dirt cheap on DraftKings and Yahoo.

Coming off a few down games, he hasn't been the most consistent like earlier in this season. New York continues to show the ability to move the ball, and we know ASJ will see red zone looks. This is a good matchup, as Denver allows the second most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends this season.

Defenses

PlayerOpponentDraftKings SalaryFanDuel SalaryYahoo! Salary
Buffalo BillsIND$3,100$5,300$18
Cincinnati BengalsCHI$3,300$4,600$17

On FanDuel, Buffalo is priced up at an unreal price tag, while on the other two sites they are much more in play. The Colts are allowing the third most fantasy points per game to opposing defenses this season, and have allowed 50 sacks on the season. Buffalo at home this week should control the clock and keep the Colts at a minimum.

Cincinnati is a bit underpriced for this matchup against the Bears. Chicago is allowing the 9th most fantasy points per game to opposing defenses, while the Bengals have been a bit volatile, they have managed decent outings in the spots they are supposed to. This is one of them.



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