Each week I breakdown what the optimal lineups are for the main slate. I tend to run these Friday afternoon or Friday night to get the closest to final weekend projections and managing to get this some view time for you folks. Our optimizer constantly updates projections, so you may see some changes from what you find here. I highly encourage playing around with the optimizer, running models, changing projections, locking, excluding, and building various ways. These optimal lineups can be a base to your personal lineups, or to suggest what plays the optimizer is really keying in on. Below are Cash, GPP, and Stack lineups with brief thoughts on the potential success of the lineup. Premium users access all three, while non-premium will find just the cash lineup.
The cash game lineup turned into an apparent Miami stack. Julius Thomas, Jarvis Landry, and Kenyan Drake all pop up here. Drake is my favorite of the group, as Buffalo allows the most fantasy points per game to running backs, and they are bottom five in DVOA against the run. If Miami can go on the road and put up a crooked number, then the passing game will be fine. Landry is a fairly safe option on a PPR site, while Thomas carries a little more risk given his usage and aDOT. If he doesn't find the end zone, he will likely be a dud.
Only a few more weeks and I can stop talking about Carlos Hyde. He continues to bring a higher Cafe Value, which the optimizer eats up. I am never going to argue against Hyde, but he is never a core play personally. Tennessee's defense has been lackluster, but this is a middle of the road spot for running backs, and Hyde isn't getting much work in the passing game of late.
Christian McCaffrey popping up here was a bit surprising. Green Bay does rank 19th against opposing pass-catching backs and are allowing 7.5 targets per game. McCaffrey at $6,000 isn't bad, but much like Hyde, he isn't a core play.
Jamming in Antonio Brown seems like a wise thing to do in cash games. His floor has been insanely high, and the ceiling is unlike anyone else. New England ranks 26th in DVOA against WR1s this season. Josh Doctson is expected to be shadowed by Patrick Peterson this week, which is something I shy away from, regardless of price.
If Brady and Brown can give you a high enough production, the rest should be able to chip in enough. As we hit the end of the season, things become a bit more tricky.