NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Week 2 is a very intriguing tournament week because we have just about all of the top-ten offenses in good spots. Atlanta and Dallas square off against each other, while both Pat Mahomes and Lamar Jackson are on the slate as well. Even the Tampa-Carolina game is expected to be a shootout. This leaves a lot of areas to attack and even within these popular offenses you can make pivots to lower owned players. There isn't much injury news at the moment for the main slate, as Chris Godwin is doubtful and a long shot to play. George Kittle is the one to watch out for as he will not practice this week but remains questionable for Sunday.
Josh Allen - $6,700 - GPP Projection: 24.5
There are plenty of quarterbacks to use on this slate with Dak Prescott, Matt Ryan, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson and more all in play and in good spots. Allen projects as the third highest quarterback in our GPP projections and gets a Miami defense that he crushed last season with his legs. His Week 1 usage was off the charts and he looked great throwing the ball as well. The Allen-Diggs-Brown stack will be lower owned this week with so many good options.
Kyler Murray - $6,100 - GPP Projection: 23.4
The pricing on Kyler Murray is a bit odd given he has been producing solid fantasy numbers dating back to the second half of last season and offers rushing upside as well. While Washington's defense is certainly solid, Arizona's offensive line has improved and Murray is a more mobile option. He is at home for this one and the Cardinals have a 26 implied total this week.
Matthew Stafford - $6,200 - GPP Projection: 21.6
While I would like Matthew Stafford more if Kenny Golladay was playing but he still has decent options and this is by far the more contrarian option at quarterback. This should be one of the more favorable game scripts for Stafford. With a high volume, Stafford has a great chance to exceed value and also be on the lower owned side. The Packers secondary looked a bit iffy at times, even with most of it coming in garbage time.
Raheem Mostert - $6,400 - GPP Projection: 17.2
With Jonathan Taylor taking up a majority of the ownership in the mid-range. Raheem Mostert is a great pivot against a bad Jets defense. The 49ers are touchdown favorites and Mostert is coming off an excellent game against the Cardinals. He should be involved in the pass-game again as he had five targets in Week 1. The 49ers are limited on offense and need Mostert out there.
Saquon Barkley - $8,400 - GPP Projection: 22.3
This is another pivot away from Derrick Henry and Ezekiel Elliott. Chicago looked a bit vulnerable against the Lions and their run game. And that was with Adrian Peterson seeing a bulk of the carries. Saquon Barkley had a tough go of it against Pittsburgh, as most running backs will. Barkley has a high usage and the touches will be there this week.
T.Y. Hilton - $5,700 - GPP Projection: 13.9
Parris Campbell is going to be the popular Colts wide receiver, but let's not forget about T.Y. Hilton. He saw nine targets in Week 1, and gets a Vikings secondary that was shuffled around over the offseason with some younger names. Hilton would have had a bigger Week 1 if it wasn't for two drops. He should be overlooked with all the value and this is a great way to get exposure to this game.
Terry McLaurin - $5,900 - GPP Projection: 15.4
It was a quiet week for Terry McLaurin, but he gets a better matchup this week against Arizona. The Cardinals allowed the 11th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers last season. McLaurin caught five of his seven targets against a good Eagles secondary and this should be a game where the Washington offense has to put their foot on the pedal.
Mike Evans - $6,400 - GPP Projection: 20.4
With Chris Godwin likely out this week, Mike Evans is a nice bargain at $6,400. Even if ownership trickles up with Godwin out, I don't expect it to be a huge number. Carolina's secondary is going to be one to target all year long as they are going through some changes in the backend. Brady and the Bucs looked off last week, but I expect them to come out firing and so do the oddsmakers.
Allen Robinson - $6,400 - GPP Projection: 18.6
The Giants secondary looked just as it did last year, allowing the 5th most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. Allen Robinson is going to be a low-owned option and let's not forget he is an alpha in this offense. Both him and Anthony Miller are great one-off pivots to help make your lineup a bit different.
TJ Hockenson - $5,200 - GPP Projection: 11.5
There are a few options in this mid-range and TJ Hockenson is one of them. He is a great pairing partner with Stafford or you can use him in a Packers stack given they don't have a tight end in their stack. The Packers were middle of the road last season against tight ends. Hockenson caught all five of his targets for 56 yards and a score. With Golladay out there is a chance for higher target numbers as well.
Evan Engram - $5,300 - GPP Projection: 12.4
It was a tough Week 1 matchup for Evan Engram, but he had seven targets. Engram has been on and off with injuries over his career, but when healthy he has been a high upside tight end. Chicago allowed the 5th most receptions to tight ends last season, and in a division with less than stellar ones. A lot gets funneled down to the tight end position against this Chicago defense.
Cardinals - $3,000 - GPP Projection: 8.4
In terms of a GPP defense, you want the most bang for your buck this week. The Cardinals present that upside against a lackluster Washington offense. Arizona has a lot of pass-rushing playmakers but overall the defense has improved. For $3,000 they are one of the better points per dollar plays on the board.
Rams - $2,800 - GPP Projection: 9.8
Much like the Washington theory from last week, if Philadelphia's offensive line is banged up again there will be plenty of opportunities for sacks. The secondary is also better than Washington's which gives them a chance to limit Carson Wentz and this offense. $2,800 is a great price tag here.