NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Each week we will be covering two top stacks, a value stack, and a contrarian stack. Playing two or more players from the same team can add to your ceiling, especially if that team goes off. Stacking is a great way to get an advantage in tournaments, and even cash games. We will narrow down projected fantasy points, ownership, and info for their matchups.
Top Stack 1
Saints vs Bears - Team Total 28.5
|
Name |
Position |
FanDuel Salary |
DraftKings Salary |
Estimated Ownership % |
Projected Points |
| Drew Brees | QB | $8,500 | $7,000 | 10-15 | 19.38 (DK), 19.18 (FD)
|
| Mark Ingram | WR | $7,200 | $7,400 | 20-25 | 18.95 (DK), 17.05 (FD) |
| Michael Thomas | TE | $7,500 | $7,600 | 10-15 | 15.56 (DK), 12.76 (FD) |
While the Patriots have a monster total, I'm leaning toward the Saints in the Superdome for my top stack. Mark Ingram has been tremendous since Adrian Peterson was shipped out of town (270 total yards, 3 TD in two games) and looks to be a great play in all formats once again. Drew Brees continues to post solid (albeit unspectacular) numbers, and Michael Thomas draws a matchup against a Bears defense that Football Outsiders ranks 29th against #1 WR. With speedster Ted Ginn Jr. leading the team in receiving yards for two consecutive weeks, Thomas could see lower ownership than he rightfully should have in this matchup. This Bears defense has looked very solid at times this season, but still ranks 14th against the pass and 19th against the run this season, per FO. This is a great spot for this team at home, and I'll be loading up on this high team total.
Top Stack 2
Eagles vs 49ers - Team Total 30.75
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
QB | $7,900 | $7,200 | 10-15 | 19.31 (DK), 19.01 (FD) | |
Nelson Agholor | WR | $6,000 | $5,500 | 0-5 | 9.81 (DK), 8.11 (FD) |
Zach Ertz | TE | $7,300 | $7,000 | 10-15 | 15.08 (DK), 12.18 (FD) |
The Eagles have been the surprise of the NFL this season, reeling off six victories in their first seven contests. Carson Wentz has established himself as one of the best gunslingers in the NFL in the 2017 season thus far, tossing 17 TD passes against just 4 interceptions along with a 104 passer rating. Ertz and Agholor have each hauled in five of Wentz's TD passes, and have combined for 93 targets thus far in 2017. The 49ers (as we saw last week) have been absolutely brutal on the defensive end of the football, allowing and Football Outsiders (FO) ranks them 26th against the pass. Per @ScottBarrettDFB of Pro Football Focus, QBs targeting slot receivers against the 49ers have completed 26 of 37 passes for 390 yards and 4 TD with no INT and a 142.9 passer rating. That's...pretty damn good. I'm all aboard the Wentz wagon once again this week, and these two provide the stacking upside that we are looking to pair him up with.
Value Stack
Panthers at Buccaneers - Team Total 22
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
Cam Newton | QB | $7,800 | $6,600 | 3-5 | 18.80 (DK), 18.50 (FD) |
Christian McCaffrey | RB | $6,300 | $6,200 | 10-15 | 15.36 (DK), 12.51 (FD) |
Devin Funchess | WR | $6,500 | $5,900 | 0-5 | 11.31 (DK), 9.21 (FD) |
Coming off one of the most embarrassing losses in recent memory, the Panthers will look to regroup in their first matchup against the Bucs this season. Tampa has been a horrible team against the pass, ranking 31st, per FO, allowing nearly 295 passing yards per game this season. Newton has been nothing short of awful this season, throwing more picks (10) than TD passes (9), although he has mitigated a lot of those scoring issues with all three of the team's rushing scores. Devin Funchess actually leads Kelvin Benjamin in targets by 8 (52-44), and has three scores to Benjamin's one. McCaffrey has yet to have that monster game that many have been chasing this season, although he has found the end zone twice overall. The Bucs rank 22nd against pass-catching backs, per FO, and this could be a prime spot for McCaffrey to eclipse the 50-yard receiving mark for just the second time since Week 1.
Contrarian Stack
Texans at Seahawks - Team Total 20.25
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
QB | $8,000 | $6,400 | 0-3 | 15.43 (DK) 15.23 (FD) | |
Will Fuller V | WR | $6,500 | $5,300 | 0-5 | 9.07 (DK), 7.57 (FD) |
DeAndre Hopkins | WR | $8,000 | $7,500 | 5-10 | 15.50 (DK), 12.85 (FD) |
Call me crazy (and maybe you should), but I'm looking to ride the hot hand here, despite one of the toughest matchups a QB can see against the Seahawks in Seattle. Watson has accounted for 17 touchdowns already this season (2 rushing), and the Texans have the #3 scoring offense in the NFL at 29.5 points, despite scoring just 20 points total in their first two games. Seattle has allowed just 190 YPG through the air (8th best in the NFL) thus far this season, but have faced the likes of Eli Manning, Jared Goff, Jacoby Brissett, Marcus Mariota, Brian Hoyer (and Aaron Rodgers). Sure, this is still an elite squad (#5 against the pass, per FO), but the upside that this trio possesses has been on full display this season, and I'm with Vegas in expecting Seattle to score plenty of points here. We saw what these guys did in catch-up mode against the Chiefs, and although that type of output looks to be nearly impossible here, the potential is certainly there at very low ownership.
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