NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Each week we will be covering two top stacks, a value stack, and a contrarian stack. Playing two or more players from the same team can add to your ceiling, especially if that team goes off. Stacking is a great way to get an advantage in tournaments, and even cash games. We will narrow down projected fantasy points, ownership, and info for their matchups.
Top Stack 1
Texans vs Colts - Team Total 32.25
Name |
Position |
FanDuel Salary |
DraftKings Salary |
Estimated Ownership % |
Projected Points |
Deshaun Watson | QB | $9,600 | $8,100 | 10-15 | 24.43 (DK), 24.03 (FD)
|
Lamar Miller | RB | $7,500 | $6,200 | 15-20 | 16.53 (DK), 15.28 (FD) |
DeAndre Hopkins | WR | $9,100 | $9,200 | 15-20 | 16.90 (DK), 14.20 (FD) |
Will Fuller V | WR | $7,800 | $7,000 | 5-10 | 11.65 (DK), 9.95 (FD) |
Last week's "Contrarian Stack" comes in as the top option for me this week. They have a ridiculous total of over 32 points against the Colts this week. With Lamar Miller getting it going in a tough spot last week, he looks to be a solid option at a reasonable price tag this week against a Colts defense that Football Outsiders (FO) ranks 19th against the run and...30th against the pass. Enter the red-hot Deshaun Watson, who has accounted for SEVENTEEN touchdowns in his last four games. This one could certainly get out of hand, as the spread is currently sitting at -14, but I'm willing to take the risk with this entire team once again. This Texans defense has been very average without J.J. Watt, and are now allowing nearly 27 PPG on the season. Let's all hope the Colts can keep this one close and we can take advantage of the upside here.
Top Stack 2
Saints vs Buccaneers - Team Total 28.5
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
QB | $8,300 | $7,000 | 10-15 | 25.45 (DK), 22.25 (FD) | |
Mark Ingram | RB | $7,900 | $7,600 | 15-20 | 19.38 (DK), 17.28 (FD) |
Saints D/ST | D/ST | $4,000 | $3,400 | 5-10 | 7.00 (DK), 7.00 (FD) |
This stack seems like more of a contrarian stack in this form, but it makes sense to roster the Saints this way. Brees has spread the ball around this season (four receivers with at least 31 targets, one with more than 2 TD), and Ingram has been tremendous since the departure of Adrian Peterson (359 total yards, 4 scores in 3 games). Throwing in the Saints D/ST makes this a unique stack, but one that makes sense. This unit has allowed 17 points or less in four of their last five contests, and have a total of 11 takeaways on the season, while Tampa Bay is among the worst at holding on to the ball, with 12 giveaways on the season. This all lines up to be a perfect spot to continue to target this defense at potentially low ownership, all while riding the workhorse Ingram.
Contrarian Stack
Cowboys vs Chiefs - Team Total 25.5
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
QB | $8,200 | $6,700 | 3-5 | 19.66 (DK), 19.46 (FD) | |
Alfred Morris | RB | $6,300 | $5,500 | 25-30 | 10.07 (DK), 12.51 (FD) |
Dez Bryant | WR | $7,700 | $6,400 | 0-5 | 15.12 (DK), 12.52 (FD) |
While the information regarding Ezekiel Elliott hasn't been confirmed as of yet, it is looking increasingly likely that he sits out and begins to serve his six-game suspension beginning this week. With that information in hand, we can safely deploy Morris as the #1 back in Dallas moving forward. Dak Prescott and company didn't need to do much last week against the Redskins with Zeke posting a monster game, but they certainly will need to make some plays if they are going to knock off the Chiefs this weekend. Expect Morris to lead the backfield against a Kansas City defense that FO ranks 31st against the run unless we hear some more craziness in this Zeke saga. Pairing Bryant with Prescott provides you with elite upside to pair with the cheap floor of Morris. This stack may have a lower floor than we would like (looking at you, Dez), but the upside is massive, despite a tough matchup.
Value Stack
Cardinals at 49ers - Team Total 20.25
Name | Position | FanDuel Salary | DraftKings Salary | Estimated Ownership % | Projected Points |
Drew Stanton | QB | $6,400 | $4,700 | 0-3 | 13.21 (DK) 13.11 (FD) |
Adrian Peterson | WR | $6,800 | $5,900 | 0-5 | 13.58 (DK), 12.09 (FD) |
Larry Fitzgerald | WR | $7,000 | $7,500 | 5-10 | 15.50 (DK), 11.08 (FD) |
While this team has a total south of three touchdowns, they draw an elite matchup against a 49ers defense that FO ranks 25th or worse against both the run and pass, and has also allowed 73 points over their last two games. Stanton and company were legitimately awful against the Rams after Carson Palmer went down (again), but that matchup and this one are literal polar opposites. The 49ers are one of the top targets for opposing offenses, and while this offense has been very disappointing of late, the upside and potential are certainly there at fairly low cost and ownership. You're going to have to drink heavily before locking in some of these names, but it could pay off in a big way here.
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