NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Super Bowl 55 is set with the Chiefs and Buccaneers squaring off. Tampa will be playing in their home field, although at limited occupancy. Kansas City handled the Bills and showed they are the top dog that AFC teams will have to go through for the next few years (at the least) to make a Super Bowl appearance. The NFC was a battle and Aaron Rodgers came up short yet again. Tom Brady is now going to his tenth Super Bowl and took a Bucs team with a lot of weapons and a talented defense to their second Super Bowl appearance. The odds below are from the DraftKings Sportsbook but for those in eligible states looking to wager on Super Bowl 55, be sure to shop around for the best odds.
Super Bowl 55 Odds
|KC @ TB||KC -3.5||KC -167 / TB +148||56.5|
The Chiefs and Buccaneers played back in Week 12 and the line was exactly the same. The Chiefs were favored by -3.5 and failed to cover as they won by a field goal. The total was set at 56 and the under was a hit after a 27-24 game. Despite Kansas City winning 16 games this year when you add in playoff wins, they have covered only seven times. The Buccaneers were a slightly better team at covering, going 11-8. The over also hit 11 times in the Buccaneers games this season and nine in the Chiefs. Kansas City had some lackluster showings this season where they looked to more coast along. After watching them in the playoffs, you can certainly say they flipped a switch, especially on the defensive side.
How They Stack Up
Both of these teams have fairly similar numbers as a team this season. Both teams averaged over six yards per play and threw over 60% of the time. Kansas City was very efficient on third down, converting 49.5%. Tampa and Kansas City both scored over 60% of the time in the red zone. The defenses are somewhat opposite, both do dial up the blitz and we saw that in the Conference Championship weekend. They are holding teams to under six yards per play. The Buccaneers have a very good run defense but that doesn't matter much against the Chiefs. You can run on the Chiefs, which will be interesting with Ronald Jones and Leonard Fournette playing an important part on this postseason run.
Despite Brady's numbers and history, the Chiefs have the edge at quarterback. Patrick Mahomes is just able to do things at this point that others can't. He is playing out of his mind in the postseason even dating back to last season and is coming off another stellar season with over 4,500 yards and 38 touchdowns. Tampa struggled against tight ends this season and now Travis Kelce steps in. He posted a 105-1416-11 line this season and then you have Tyreek Hill with an 87-1276-15 line. Clyde Edwards-Helaire played this past week which is a plus for the Chiefs. He finished with 803 rushing yards and four scores this season but also had 36 catches.
As for Tampa, Brady was able to take advantage of some weak defenses this year. He had some rough games against teams that could get pressure but he still had 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns. Mike Evans had another 1,000-yard season with 13 touchdowns. Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski combined for seven touchdowns. Antonio Brown will also be back this week who had a 45-483-4 line in eight games this season. We have also seen names like Tyler Johnson, Cameron Brate, and Scotty Miller make big plays during this run. The running game is intriguing this week. Ronald Jones had a terrific year with 5.1 yards per carry and 978 yards on 192 attempts. Leonard Fournette has been tremendous over the last few weeks against tough run defense.
This should be a close Super Bowl and come down to the final few drives. The last time these two played it was a close one and it makes sense given both offenses can put up points. The total is awfully high but I have the Chiefs winning 30-24, which means the under hits and the Chiefs cover. Kansas City will be able to take advantage of a young secondary and are prepared well for a strong Buccaneers pass-rush. The Chiefs secondary will allow some numbers just because of the weapons they face but overall they will make it tough as they did against Buffalo this past week. While the Chiefs have not been great against the spread this season, I like them to cover this week, which are at pretty decent odds across multiple sportsbooks.
Super Bowl Betting FAQ
How Can I Bet On Football?
If you are a resident within one of these states: NY, NJ, PA, NH, PA, RI, WV, OR, IN, IA, NV, AR, DE, MS, NM, you can legally bet on the NFL. Sportsbooks are available, and some of them also offer mobile betting.
What Are Opening Lines?
Opening lines are the very first lines put out to the public by oddsmakers. They are put out early, and then adjustments will be made. Getting in on opening lines is where bettors can have an advantage before the lines change.
When Does The Super Bowl Start?
The Super Bowl will be on Sunday, February 7th. It will start at 6:30 ET and be on CBS this year.
What Is A Game Total?
A total set for a game is the set number. You can bet the over or under on for total points. If a game is set at 54.5, you can bet either over or under the total combined points between the two teams.
Why Do Lines Change?
Lines can change for various reasons. If there is an injury leading up to the game that has a major effect on the potential outcome, the line will adjust based on the news. Weather is another reason why it can change.
What Channel Is The Super Bowl On?
The Super Bowl will rotate channels each season but for Super Bowl 55 it will be broadcasted on CBS. You can stream on the CBS app or any offering of live TV.