NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Correlations are very relevant in NFL DFS, as we like to pair up quarterbacks with their top receiving options. While the running back and defense stack is not as high of an upside stack as using a passing game, it is still viable with the right plays around it, and still brings a small correlation of upside. Game stacks can often be overlooked, but why wouldn't you want exposure to the team trying to keep up or chasing your favorite passing offense? There are ways to be contrarian by still targeting a top offense projected with higher ownership. Shifting from the popular WR1 to a WR2, TE, or even RB is going to help you get exposure at slightly less ownership. WR1, RB1, WR2, and TE1 in that order stand the highest chances of generating the most fantasy points in a stack. This is at least for two man stacks. We will dive into more multiplayer stacks below. Volume, Vegas, opposing defensive stats, pace, and pricing are all calculated into my stacks below. You will find my top, value, contrarian, and game stacks within the article. You can find me on Twitter at @JGuilbault11 to help with the week's slate or questions/comments about the article.
Note: Green Bay is an easy stack to back to the well with. After writing them up last week they will just be a quick mention. The same goes for the Chiefs, who are always a stack on any slate.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Tom Brady | QB | $7,800 | $6,900 |
Mike Evans | WR | $7,300 | $6,600 |
Chris Godwin | WR | $7,400 | $6,300 |
The Tampa Bay stack can pay off if you get the receiving options right. It used to be fairly simple but with Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski in the mix, you have four options. The Bucs stack isn't too expensive because the upside has been a bit capped at times and in comparison to other stacks this one is frustrating. However, it can pay off if it hits and I like varying my stacks. It is a good spot for Tom Brady as the Bucs have a 29.25 implied total and the Vikings are not a huge pass rush team with a young secondary. They have allowed 261 yards and two touchdowns per game this season. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are the first two I would look at still. Minnesota's secondary is bottom five in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. You can also bring this stack back with Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen. I would much rather attack this Buccaneers defense through the air compared to with Dalvin Cook.
Los Angeles Chargers
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Justin Herbert | QB | $8,300 | $6,800 |
Austin Ekeler | RB | $7,500 | $7,000 |
Keenan Allen | WR | $8,500 | $7,700 |
The Chargers will be popular this week but they are still fighting with the Chiefs and Packers for the top stacks on the slate. They are coming off an awful game against New England and face the complete opposite when it comes to pass defense. Justin Hervert is projected for over 20 fantasy points this week and the Falcons have allowed 24.7 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks on the season. Herbert has a ceiling of 31.5 over the last eight games and a 75% consistency rating. Austin Ekeler has jumped into the scene and looks fully healthy. He is taking a lot of the targets, but both him and Keenan Allen are the featured guys. Atlanta struggles against pass-catching backs and we know they struggle against wide receivers. Allen is a prime play this week even if you don't want to go the full stack. Mike Williams is a deep GPP play if you want to fully go the passing route and avoid a chalky Ekeler.
Indianapolis Colts
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Philip Rivers | QB | $7,000 | $5,900 |
Jonathan Taylor | RB | $7,000 | $5,800 |
T.Y. Hilton | WR | $6,000 | $5,100 |
The Colts stack should get overlooked and is a value stack you can still pair with a few other options that are more expensive from other teams. Las Vegas has a weak defense still and Philip Rivers is certainly familiar with putting up big numbers against them. Rivers is averaging 20.1 fantasy points per game over the last three and the Raiders are bottom-ten in fantasy points allowed. Jonathan Taylor has been getting involved in the passing game a bit more of late and just his touches in general. Taylor is averaging 14.5 fantasy points over the last three and faces a Raiders team allowing 1.33 touchdowns per game to running backs and over 100 yards per game. I love the value he brings even as a standalone page. T.Y. Hilton has been great the last few weeks and finally in some plus matchups. This is another one where I like the upside and value he brings. The Raiders are allowing 24.9 fantasy points per game.
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