NFL Sports Betting Toolkit
Correlations are very relevant in NFL DFS, as we like to pair up quarterbacks with their top receiving options. While the running back and defense stack is not as high of an upside stack as using a passing game, it is still viable with the right plays around it and still brings a small correlation of upside. Game stacks can often be overlooked, but why wouldn't you want exposure to the team trying to keep up or chasing your favorite passing offense? There are ways to be contrarian by still targeting a top offense projected with higher ownership. Shifting from the popular WR1 to a WR2, TE, or even RB is going to help you get exposure at slightly less ownership. WR1, RB1, WR2, and TE1, in that order, stand the highest chances of generating the most fantasy points in a stack. This is at least for two person stacks. We will dive into more multiplayer stacks below. Volume, Vegas, opposing defensive stats, pace, and pricing are all calculated into my stacks below. You will find my top, value, contrarian, and game stacks within the article. You can find me on Twitter at @JGuilbault11 to help with the week's slate or questions/comments about the article.
Note: The Chiefs are once again a strong stack but are the obvious stacking choice each week. With 11 games and a few stackable options, we can go back to the well with the Colts (as mentioned last week).
Baltimore Ravens
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Lamar Jackson | QB | $8,200 | $7,500 |
J.K. Dobbins | RB | $5,900 | $5,900 |
Mark Andrews | TE | $6,800 | $5,500 |
There has certainly been a dropoff in Baltimore compared to last year, but it is a bit overblown when it comes to fantasy production. This is a week where they get a great matchup against the Jaguars defense and have a 29.75 implied total. Lamar Jackson has averaged 24.7 fantasy points over his last seven games and faces a Jags defense that has allowed 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. We also know Jackson has that strong rushing upside as well. Getting the running backs right will be tricky, although Dobbins should have 15+ touches, Gus Edwards is a threat to steal away some potential touchdown upside. However, this is a great spot for Dobbins, who has been excellent this season. Jacksonville is also allowing 22.9 fantasy points per game to running backs. As for the third option, I like Mark Andrews. Jacksonville has allowed double-digit touchdowns to tight ends this season. Andrews is back and had a few big plays last week against Cleveland.
Tennessee Titans
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Ryan Tannehill | QB | $7,700 | $6,700 |
Derrick Henry | RB | $10,200 | $9,500 |
A.J. Brown | WR | $8,300 | $7,600 |
While the Titans stack will be popular, on an 11 game slate there are not too many others worth mentioning. This stack has gotten more and more expensive as the season has gone on, so it will set you back a bit. Against Detroit, teams have been putting up monster numbers. Derrick Henry is undergoing his usual late-season surge and faces another mediocre run defense. Henry is averaging over 20 fantasy points in his last seven names. Detroit has allowed nearly two rushing touchdowns per game and the Titans are double-digit favorites with a 31 implied total. Ryan Tannehill will be the lesser owned part of the stack but gets a Detroit team allowing 263 passing yards per game and two touchdowns per game this season. I love the matchup for him and his receivers, as AJ Brown is a high-end option and Corey Davis is a bit cheaper. Detroit is bottom-ten in fantasy points allowed to opposing wide receivers.
Los Angeles Rams
Player | Position | FanDuel Price | DraftKings Price |
Jared Goff | QB | $7,800 | $6,300 |
Cam Akers | RB | $6,700 | $6,600 |
Robert Woods | WR | $7,400 | $6,800 |
Cam Akers is going to be the higher owned name of this stack but the rest of it should be overlooked. Akers has averaged 18.4 fantasy points per game and the Jets are a pedestrian run defense that lost their best run defender to covid this week. Akers has begun to carry a higher workload and I anticipate that to stay the same this week. He has better value on FD but is still a strong play across the board. As for the passing game, the Jets have allowed 286 yards per game through the air and 2.1 passing touchdowns per game. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 22.3 fantasy points per game against New York this season. The Rams should put up points in bunches. Getting the wide receiver portion right of this stack is tough as Cooper Kupp is also in the mix. New York has allowed the 7th most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season. Woods is averaging 17 points per game over his last seven and has a 24 point ceiling over his last eight.
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