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As you can see this week, there are a ton of games set with an over/under over 50. There are seven in fact, and only one is below 45, which is the Thursday Night game between the Giants and Eagles. At the moment Week 7 is looking very clear for playing every game as scheduled and not having to be rearranged. There are a few teams sitting as touchdown or more favorites, but Buffalo comes in as the largest favorite of the week against the Jets. No surprise there as Miami were nine point favorites last week. There are a few field goal favorites I really like this week.
Week 7 Games
|Giants @ Eagles||PHI -3.5||44|
|Lions @ Falcons||ATL -2.5||57|
|Browns @ Bengals||CLE -3||51|
|Steelers @ Titans||PIT -2||52.5|
|Panthers @ Saints||NO -7.5||51|
|Bills @ Jets||BUF -13||46.5|
|Cowboys @ Washington||DAL -1||47|
|Packers @ Texans||GB -3.5||56|
|Seahawks @ Cardinals||SEA -3.5||56.5|
|Chiefs @ Broncos||KC -9||48.5|
|49ers @ Patriots||NE -3||45|
|Jaguars @ Chargers||LAC -8||49|
|Buccaneers @ Raiders||TB -3||53|
|Bears @ Rams||LAR -5.5||46.5|
NYG @ PHI
The Giants and Eagles somehow are battling it out in the NFC East for first place as the Cowboys lead the division 2-4. Philadelphia has an injury problem as does most of the NFC East. The offensive line has struggled and Carson Wentz is throwing to a practice squad most weeks. The Giants were in a spot similar a few weeks ago at home where they had the 49ers decimated with injuries and failed to show up. The Eagles are 3.5 favorites and might be getting Jackson, Jeffery, and Goedert back. Even if these guys are 75% each, it is a massive upgrade. However, they will be without Miles Sanders and Zach Ertz. I will take the Eagles if the team gets some bodies back this week, otherwise it is a stay away game for me.
DET @ ATL
Atlanta is now 1-0 in the post Dan Quinn era as the defense was able to shut down Minnesota for three quarters last week. They also got a resurgence on offense after a few bad weeks from Matt Ryan. The Falcons are slight favorites here and they are a team I like quite a bit this week. Detroit's offense won't be able to just run the ball again and Matthew Stafford and company will have to step up. Atlanta's firepower remains a problem for opposing defenses and the Lions are included in that. I like the Falcons here as they really are a better team than the 1-5 record shows.
CLE @ CIN
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS this season and were able to backdoor cover against the Browns last time out. The issues lie on the defensive side with the Bengals, and I still like them to cover in this spot against Cleveland. The Browns defense just hasn't shown me enough to stop the pass and that is a concern against a Bengals offense that can throw the ball and has three weapons for Burrow. I also like the over in this one, I don't believe we will see a ton of offense.
PIT @ TEN
This is a very intriguing game as two 5-0 teams clash. Ryan Tannehill and the Titans are actually home dogs against the Steelers, who have been very solid but this will be their first real test. Oddsmakers have put this one at an over of 52.5, which makes sense given the Titans defense needs some work and the Steelers have made timely turnovers but are still allowing plenty of points. The Tennessee Titans will get back Corey Davis this week, which adds another weapon to their passing game. Pittsburgh's secondary has struggled a bit against the pass at points this season. I like the Titans in a close game here, at least to cover, but I will take the outright moneyline.
CAR @ NO
I am a bit surprised to see the Saints as -7.5 favorites as Carolina comes into town 3-3 and could have a better record. Carolina's offense can certainly move the ball, and the Saints have struggled on the defensive side at times this season. Carolina is 3-3 ATS this season and they are +2.8 on the year when covering the spread. Carolina's offense should be able to move the ball this week and while they will have a tough time slowing down the Saints, over a touchdown favorite is too big for me in this spot.
BUF @ NYJ
Buffalo is only 3-3 ATS this season and we have seen them struggle over the last two games against quality opponents. They will get the Jets this week, which is always a bounce back spot for any struggling team. I am never really a fan of targeting double-digit spreads like this, but this is a game where the Bills should roll. However, if Sam Darnold returns the offense won't be as bad as it was with Joe Flacco, which could cause a late cover. The Bills defense desperately needs to rebound this week, otherwise it is going to be very telling for the rest of the season.
DAL @ WAS
A good old NFC East battle here as Dallas will talk into Washington after getting crushed by Arizona this past week. Neither team are particularly good but you'd expect the Cowboys to come away with a win here. They have the better weapons and while Andy Dalton didn't play all that well, he should be able to get going this week. Dallas' offensive line is a bit of a concern and the defense is of course, but this week they will have to really just focus on Terry McLaurin.
GB @ HOU
Green Bay failed to show up on the road against Tampa last week, which was a bit odd coming off a bye week. Tampa's defense is very strong and Houston's is a different story. Green Bay should get back on track this week against a soft secondary and I like the Packers coming in here and taking care of business. Houston's offensive line has struggled and the Packers secondary can limit this receiving core. David Johnson shouldn't be able to attack this bad rush defense either if the Packers get out to a lead.
SEA @ ARI
Seattle is 4-1 ATS this season and I like them a lot to cover this week. Arizona is a bit overrated after they have won against lesser opponents. Kyler Murray has really struggled through the air and the turnovers keep coming as well. Coming off a bye I expect the Seahawks to limit this Cardinals offense a bit over the first half, and dominate against what is still an average at best defense. The over/under is awfully high and would need the Cardinals to be trailing and produce 20+ points in garbage time.
KC @ DEN
Kansas City has looked a lot more vulnerable of late, but they come into Denver and face a Broncos team coming off a big win against New England. The Chiefs are nine point favorites here and I think this game is a sneaky over here as the Broncos offense isn't that bad and I expect the Chiefs offense to put up better numbers this week with Mahomes throwing the ball compared to running 40 times against Buffalo.
SF @ NE
This game I really do not know what to make of. Both teams have played up and down football this season and have been through a lot of chaos with injuries or COVID. San Francisco has the better playmakers but the Patriots defense is still very strong. Public money is on the 49ers, but only slightly. I tend to agree as this offense just has more firepower where I still have major questions about the Patriots moving the ball. If Cam Newton can't run free like the first few weeks they really haven't had anything to offer.
JAX @ LAC
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS this season and I am buying into this team with Justin Herbert. They will get the Jaguars who have shown their true colors after Week 1. The Jaguars are 2-4 ATS this season and I have a hard time looking at them to cover this week. While the Chargers defense is banged up, they will be able to shut down Gardner Minshew who has played below average the last few weeks. I expect Los Angeles to put up strong numbers this week and why they are without Austin Ekeler, Justin Jackson showed the ability to carry the rock.
TB @ LV
Jon Gruden welcomes his former team although a lot has certainly changed. Las Vegas and Tampa Bay have both been decent against the spread so far this season. Tampa is certainly the better team and especially on the defensive side. This is where I feel they have the major edge, especially with being able to slow down Josh Jacobs and lining up against Darren Waller. If the secondary continues to improve as it has been doing, it will be tough for the Raiders to put up points.
CHI @ LAR
Chicago is definitely the more surprise team out of these two and their offense is still not one I will trust. The five-point is a little high for my liking though as this should be a low scoring game. Public money is on the Bears and and yet is high on the over. I know overs have crushed this season but these are two strong defenses that should limit the opposing offenses.
NFL Week 7 FAQ
How Can I Bet On Football?
If you are a resident within one of these states: NY, NJ, PA, NH, PA, RI, WV, OR, IN, IA, NV, AR, DE, MS, NM, you can legally bet on the NFL. Sportsbooks are available, and some of them also offer mobile betting.
What Are Opening Lines?
Opening lines are the very first lines put out to the public by oddsmakers. They are put out early, and then adjustments will be made. Getting in on opening lines is where bettors can have an advantage before the lines change.
When Does Week 7 Start?
Week 7 starts on October 22nd, 2020. This is a Thursday game, and an NFC East battle. Eagles will welcome the New York Giants
What Is A Game Total?
A total set for a game is the set number. You can bet the over or under on for total points. If a game is set at 54.5, you can bet either over or under the total combined points between the two teams.
Why Do Lines Change?
Lines can change for various reasons. If there is an injury leading up to the game that has a major effect on the potential outcome, the line will adjust based on the news. Weather is another reason why it can change.
Who Is The Biggest Favorite Of Week 7?
The Bills are 12.5 point favorites against the New York Jets. It is highly likely the Jets are the largest spread team each week.