Wide Receiver Analysis: NFL Week 4

Elite Plays

Julio Jones (WR), Atlanta Falcons

With Antonio Brown now playing with Mike Vick and also playing on Thursday this week, Jones stands alone of the top wideout this week. He's leading the NFL in catches and yards by quite the margin now and has an unreal connection with Matt Ryan. The Texans are nowhere near the unit that was top-5 in passing game defense and Jones has been matchup proof through 3 games. The only thing that can slow him right now is injury. It's not like teams haven't been rolling coverage and double teams to him already and Houston's defense has been worse than expected.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 25-35%

GPP: 20-30%

DraftKings

Cash: 30-40%

GPP: 25-35%

Randall Cobb (WR), Green Bay Packers

We all saw on Monday exactly what a healthy Randall Cobb can do as the No. 1 target in an Aaron Rodgers-led offense, as he racked up nearly 100 yards and 3 touchdowns as the featured option. This matchup on Sunday is just as good, if not better, with the 28th ranked 49ers passing defense. Cobb should be again the focal point of the entire offense with both short and deep throws, making him easily the no. 2 wideout option on the board after Julio Jones. If you don't have one or both in your lineups, you are likely going to regret it and Cobb is simply too cheap.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 20-30%

GPP: 20-30%

DraftKings

Cash: 30-40%

GPP: 20-30%

Value Plays

Robert Woods (WR), Buffalo Bills

With Sammy Watkins unlikely for this week with a calf issue. Woods steps into a starting spot at wide receiver, and we've seen him be a decent PPR option at minimum price in this situation over the years. Add in the fact that the Giants are just 22nd against the passt through three weeks and this being a high-scoring game and we've got one of the best value plays on the board to pair with Tyrod Taylor if we want. Woods isn't going to be a big play guy, but he can rack up short area catches and runs fairly well after teh catch, just don't expect him to start stretching the field.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash:0-10%

GPP: 0-10%

DraftKings

Cash: 5-15%

GPP: 0-10%

Allen Hurns (WR), Jacksonville Jaguars

Hurns has produced pretty well in each of the first three games, totalling double-digit PPR points in each week. He was bouyed a bit by a long 59-yard touchdown last week against the Patriots, but that's the advantage of having him play on a team that's trailing all game, which should happen once again this week with the Colts coming in as massive favorites. Hurns has proven he can be an effective deep threat and even totalled 9 catches in the first two weeks of this season. The Colts Vontae Davis has locked down top recievers over the recent past and that's left a lot of production for teams' No. 2 options, which is what Hurns is to Allen Robinson. He has quite a bit of upside if he can connect on a long one with Blake Bortles again.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

Cash: 0-10%

GPP: 5-15%

DraftKings

Cash: 5-15%

GPP: 10-20%

GPP Plays

Percy Harvin (WR), Buffalo Bills

Harvin is going to be an incredibly popular GPP-play this week with Sammy Watkins out and him stepping into the "No. 1 WR" role that people care about so much. However, let's first remember that Sammy Watkins has not been productive in that role this season and Harvin has almost never been productive in it. He's a guy that needs to operate in space to be sucessful, which I do expect him to do this week, but let's not get overly excited about a massive target game. There is a lot of upside here though.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

GPP: 15-25%

DraftKings

GPP: 15-25%

Jordan Matthews (WR), Philadelphia Eagles

Matthews had his worst game of the season last week, but still racked up 6 catches for 49 yards. If that's going to be his worst game of the season, I'll happily take it. He's a huge presence in the short-area passing game and is obviously Sam Bradford's favorite target by a wide margin.He'll deal with some wind and rain concerns thanks to the hurricane, but that should make the short area passing game all that more important and Bradford already rarely looks downfield.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

GPP: 15-25%

DraftKings

GPP: 10-20%

Donte Moncrief (WR), Indianapolis Colts

Moncrief is awful hard to argue against at a still-too-low price on DraftKings as long as Andrew Luck is good-to-go on Sunday. He's been the Colts leading target getter each of the first three weeks and Luck clearly favors him over a banged up TY Hilton who has a limited skillset to begin with. Moncrief has been far and away his go-to option in the red-zone as well, so he's a great option in all formats as long as Luck's shoulder injury doesn't keep him out.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

GPP: 10-20%

DraftKings

GPP: 5-15%

Ty Montgomery (WR), Green Bay Packers

Montgomery stepped up last week after Davante Adams went down once again and caught a touchdown early on. Montgomery would see almost all of the WR3 snaps for Green Bay is Adams misses this weeks' game as expected. Montgomery would simply be too cheap with some of the upside we all expected from Adams this season. I expect James Jones to "run ahead of him" as the No. 2 wideout, but the difference in snaps between the two has been unsubstantial, as we've seen with Jones and Adams. Aaron Rodgers can make anyone look good.

Ownership Estimates:

FanDuel

GPP: 10-20%

DraftKings

GPP: 5-15%