Brief Summary (updated 5:45 PM):
PPD Threats: COL(5%)
Delay Threats: WSH(10%), DET(10%), STL(10%), KC(5%), COL(20%)
Good Hitting Environments: COL, NYY, HOU, CHW
Poor Hitting Environments: TB, SEA, OAK
Please follow on twitter for weather updates @dfcafe
The longer Denver's radar stays quiet the better.....
Forecasting Analysis
SF@WSH
Thunderstorms should stay west of DC this evening. This is the simulated radar for 7 PM:
VERY LOW RISK OF PPD; LOW RISK OF SOME TYPE OF DELAY(S)
NYM@DET
The model I trust the most has become alot more optimistic in the Motor City. Around 1st pitch, the radar should look something like this:
VERY LOW CHANCE OF A PPD; LOW RISK OF SOME SORT OF DELAY(S)
TOR@KC, ATL@STL
A few thunderstorms will rumble across the Plains this evening. Certainly not a major risk as can be seen in KC:
A slightly higher risk in STL:
More of a situation that will have to be monitored. VERY LOW CHANCE OF PPD; LOW CHANCE OF ANY TYPE OF DELAY(S) IN KC; SLIGHTLY HIGHER RISKS IN STL
MIA@COL
Current radar:
Let me share the simulated radar:
9 PM:
The general quietness of the current radar, plus this model's recent trend to be less impressive with the rain, makes me more optimistic in DEN. Each successive model run is more and more optimstic.
LOW RISK OF PPD OR OF SOME SORT OF DELAY(S)