No Filters, Exclusions, Locks, or Models Applied. Ran Colossus As Is For Thursday Slate
Cash Game Projections
We saw San Francisco's defense hold their own in week 1, but we will not see that in week 2. I anticipate Cam Newton to roll through this defense at home, but I am a tad worried about the game flow for him come second half - late third quarter. Carolina are big favorites, and might rely a bit more on the run. Either way, Newton gives you a fairly solid floor with his rushing ability. Personally I might be looking at some quarterbacks involved in shootouts this week.
Cheap running backs are the theme here early on, and I really only like two of them. Jeremy Langford saw heavy volume in week 1, and I wouldn't expect that to change. I like the value he brings to the table and is a solid option in all formats. Theo Riddick and Ameer Abdullah are both going to be big parts of the Detroit offense this season, and Riddick here brings some value, especially with the PPR format. Touchdowns are never a given with PPR type backs, but 5-6 receptions and 60 all-purpose yards are. Great matchup for him against Tennessee, and I expect him to be popular given the price. We saw LeGerrette Blount handle the workload in Arizona, while James White had some targets on passing downs. We hardly can ever gauge a New England backfield, but I would say Blount gets the majority of the touches again. I will be looking in a different direction than White.
Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr. in the same lineup will raise your floor pretty high, especially with their matchups this week, more so OBJ's. Going cheap at running back, tight end, and defense -- we saw what the goal was here. Certainly no argument from me here. They are always plus plays. Steve Smith has always been sort of undervalued on DraftKings, and he is at $4,300. He was held in check in week 1 to just five catches, and was targeted nine times. As long as he is healthy, he will be around that 9-10 target mark. Smith brings some value, but I am not overly excited about it. While the matchup is fine, I believe you will need the other wideouts to carry the weight. I feel very much the same with Zach Miller, who saw just four targets in week 1. This might be a little too stars and scrubs for me, but it certainly has the upside.
Chargers defense is a no go for me with all the other defenses out there. Washington, Baltimore, and Baltimore are all at reasonable prices.
GPP Projections
The GPP projections make a minor swerve, but for the most part this is similar to cash games. I feel the same about White as I did above, and would rather go Riddick over him, even with higher ownership. The optimizer decided to pay up at a running back spot, which is DeAngelo Williams. We saw Williams upside last week, and we saw him receive a ton of dump off passes. We get him for just a little while longer before Bell comes back. I will continue to use him as this offense only has two reliable weapons. I feel better about Steve Smith in a GPP more than I do for cash, especially given the risk is small with the price. In terms of paying down from OBJ for Williams, I am not particularly thrilled. Doug Baldwin is a step down, but did show in week 1 his ability to generate a high ceiling again. My first adjustment here would to dropdown off of Newton to a cheaper QB. I like him, but there are quite a bit of QB's for a little less.
Lineup Including Stack
Carolina was not the stack I was anticipating, especially choosing Ted Ginn over Kelvin Benjamin. It is contrarian I will say that, and I don't think many will be on it given there are a few games that overshadow this one. Sticking with the same core, this is a little out of my wheelhouse.
DFC Stacking Generator: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/stackgenerator/nfl
DFC Lineup Optimizer: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/lineupoptimizer/nfl
