DraftKings Thursday Optimal Lineup & Stack: Week 4

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No Filters, Exclusions, Locks, or Models Applied. Ran Colossus As Is For Thursday Slate

Cash Game Projections:

GPP Projections:

Lineup Including Stack:

Analysis:

No real surprise here that Cam Newton is leading the way in both cash and GPP's this week. Atlanta ranks in the bottom of the league in pass defense, and have allowed ten passing touchdowns in three games. The Panthers have the highest road total this weekend, hovering right around 26. Fire up some Newton in all formats. The stacking lineup features the Saints, which is an interesting call this week. The matchup and volume is there for Drew Brees, but his numbers on the road are lower on a year to year basis. Every now and then he has a solid road game, so you have to sit and hope with him. Much like we saw against the Giants, his floor is lower on the road.

David Johnson and Melvin Gordon dominate the lineups, and I love both options. New Orleans is allowing a five YPC this season, and Gordon's numbers are high inside the red zone. He is also grabbing a full workload in the passing game as well. Gordon is going to be chalky and hard to fade. I talked about Le'Veon Bell's return lowering Johnson's ownership for Week 4, but Johnson rivals Bell in terms of workload. The Rams/Chiefs are not perfect matchups, but volume and talent really trumps their Week 4 matchup. Johnson is a fine option if you are waiting to see Bell for a week, or waiting for him in a better matchup. LeGerrette Blount is going to continue with a heavy workload, and at $5,000, you can rely on him for a relatively safe floor. If he was getting higher, I would say you can fade. He is still cheap, and the Bills rank 21st against the rush, per Football outsiders.

Our optimizer might as well be sponsored by Doug Baldwin and Antonio Brown. The matchup with the Chiefs isn't ideal, but a near 26 total at home with Brown's workload, you know he is going to come in as the top option. There really isn't denying Brown's spot each week at the top spot. Baldwin on the other hand is in a spot most would have faded in the past, but as long as Wilson is healthy, Baldwin is rolling out big games. New York ranks 30th against the pass so far this season, and Revis Island has been a friendly place to visit for receivers. Michael Thomas is a solid value, especially if Willie Snead is out. Even if he isn't, Brees has shown the ability to throw his way. Why wouldn't he since he catches everything. Terrelle Pryor is a scary man to fade this weekend, with his high usage. QB, RB, WR -- he is playing it all and his price on DraftKings is going to make him one of the highest owned guys. I like Washington's defense, but they won't scare me off of him.

We see a two tight end strategy here with all three lineups. Zach Miller and Kyle Rudolph are in the cash pairing, and I am not against this one but. Rudolph is right behind Diggs in targets, and is used inside the red zone. With no run game and Sam Bradford throwing, Rudolph is in a solid spot against this Giants offense that has struggled against tight ends. Brian Hoyer being under center, and a team that will likely play from behind puts Miller in play at a really cheap price tag. He is going to be a chalky, but serves a purpose for value. Coby Fleener is the other name, who is coming off of a big week against Atlanta. He is always a solid GPP threat, and pairs with Brees and the Saints stack. San Diego ranks 24th against tight ends, per Football Outsiders.

We get three defenses, Steelers, Texans, and Ravens. Houston losing J.J. Watt has me kind of off them this week, and people might be in similar thinking. That is good for GPP's, which are in. Tennessee's offense is pretty abysmal, so they should still be okay this week. Pittsburgh is a defense I am not on. I know they are cheap, but I rather go with Baltimore. Oakland's offense was a bit flat last week, which might be an east coast thing. Baltimore's defense ranks third, and they have been generating a ton of pressure. Oakland might put up three touchdowns, but the Ravens should cause enough chaos to offset it.

DFC Stacking Generator: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/stackgenerator/nfl

DFC Lineup Optimizer: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/lineupoptimizer/nfl

7 years ago
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