FanDuel Thursday Optimal Lineup & Stack: Week 3

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No Filters, Exclusions, Locks, or Models Applied. Ran Colossus As Is For Thursday Slate

Cash Game Projections:

GPP Projections:

Lineup Including Stack:

Analysis:

I was a bit surprised to see Kirk Cousins in every single lineup, especially cash games. With the options of Drew Brees or even Matt Ryan on Monday night, the pivot seems odd. We also have plenty of value quarterbacks, like Ryan Tannehill, Joe Flacco, and Philip Rivers who are in plus matchups. I am fine with the move in GPP's, I am not going to be playing Cousins on the road in cash games. He's cheap, but I will take someone with a little more consistency. Cousins had a QB rating of 117 at home last season, which dropped to 87.7 on the road. This Giants secondary has seemed to improve since last year as well. I don't mind it as a very contrarian play in GPP's, and the stack is interesting, but fade him in cash.

This is the last week of DeAngelo Williams until Le'Veon Bell returns. FanDuel really priced him up this week, but it is about a week too late. There are a ton of value running backs this week with all the injuries, so I believe paying up at running back is going to give you some interesting lineup construction, which might force lower ownership into your hands. Philly's defense has looked improved this year, yet the Browns/Bears are not respectable opponents, this will really be their first test. In terms of volume alone, Williams is already a tier one back to pay up for. Often we think pairing a team's WR and RB limits upside, but the Steelers are a different animal. Brown is the best WR in the game, while Williams workload just makes him a stable threat each week he starts. Frank Gore is getting some buzz this week against a Chargers defense, that ranks 32nd against the rush, per Football Outsiders. Below $6,000, I am certainly cool with him given the salary he allows you to spend elsewhere. That total in Indy is something to get a piece of. Lamar Miller gets worked into cash, and it seems a bit forced with the other options this week. I like the workload, but the matchup might be a little on the downside for me to deploy at that price.

Antonio Brown pops up in all three lineups, which I am cool with the exposure. He is easily the best option this week, and with all the value, he can easily slot into your lineups. Doug Baldwin and Kenny Britt and especially Britt I am not on this week. Seattle's offense looks rather weak and possibly not 100% healthy for Wilson and Baldwin. There are simply better places to target this week. Britt, is just a flat no. Spinning down from Miller to upgrade here is where I would look to go. The Jamison Crowder addition in the stack is a sneaky add, especially if DeSean Jackson continues to have problems with his knee and ankle. I love me some Allen Robinson this week. He had two tough matchups with Sam Shields and Jason Verrett -- Jimmy Smith is an easier corner to go up against. For the price discount, I will be using him a ton. Jordan Matthews is another high volume guy, and given his price, go about him in all formats.

Kyle Rudolph is just 3-4 targets behind Stefon Diggs in the target share for Minnesota (depending on where you look). Carolina let Vance McDonald slip on one play, otherwise have been fairly solid against tight ends since 2015. There are better cheaper options to go with. Jordan Reed is likely to be contrarian this week, even against a Giants defense that has issues with tight ends. He fits in well with the Washington stack as Cousins number one guy. Chris Boswell is projected highly, but if you are playing Brown/Williams, you don't want Boswell kicking field goals. Go elsewhere. The Jets offense can certainly put up some points, but if Brandon Marshall doesn't play, I might consider the Chiefs in GPP formats. Other than that, I would be looking at other options.

DFC Stacking Generator: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/stackgenerator/nfl

DFC Lineup Optimizer: https://www.dailyfantasycafe.com/tools/lineupoptimizer/nfl

7 years ago

Surprised the see the Chiefs' defense. I predict the Dolphins to give Cody Kessler a rude welcome to the NFL.

7 years ago

Me too, this is early in the week so projections still tweaking things. I like the Dolphins.

7 years ago
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